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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-2)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 2. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-2 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-2 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .75 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2009.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 6 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
336-282 (.544) |
497-121 (.804) |
| all |
all |
H |
192-175 (.523) |
314-53 (.856) |
| all |
all |
V |
144-107 (.574) |
183-68 (.729) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
65-66 (.496) |
100-31 (.763) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
42-33 (.560) |
65-10 (.867) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
23-33 (.411) |
35-21 (.625) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
94-73 (.563) |
132-35 (.790) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
48-48 (.500) |
80-16 (.833) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
46-25 (.648) |
52-19 (.732) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
93-86 (.520) |
151-28 (.844) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
55-61 (.474) |
101-15 (.871) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
38-25 (.603) |
50-13 (.794) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
84-57 (.596) |
114-27 (.809) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
47-33 (.588) |
68-12 (.850) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
37-24 (.607) |
46-15 (.754) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
38-49 (.437) |
60-27 (.690) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
20-21 (.488) |
31-10 (.756) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
18-28 (.391) |
29-17 (.630) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
23-35 (.397) |
40-18 (.690) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
13-13 (.500) |
20-6 (.769) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
10-22 (.313) |
20-12 (.625) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
15-14 (.517) |
20-9 (.690) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
7-8 (.467) |
11-4 (.733) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
8-6 (.571) |
9-5 (.643) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
124-104 (.544) |
195-33 (.855) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
75-76 (.497) |
138-13 (.914) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
49-28 (.636) |
57-20 (.740) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
24-16 (.600) |
34-6 (.850) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
15-11 (.577) |
24-2 (.923) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
9-5 (.643) |
10-4 (.714) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
36-31 (.537) |
54-13 (.806) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
20-22 (.476) |
36-6 (.857) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
16-9 (.640) |
18-7 (.720) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
47-47 (.500) |
83-11 (.883) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
30-36 (.455) |
62-4 (.939) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
17-11 (.607) |
21-7 (.750) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
17-10 (.630) |
24-3 (.889) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
10-7 (.588) |
16-1 (.941) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
7-3 (.700) |
8-2 (.800) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
174-129 (.574) |
242-61 (.799) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
97-78 (.554) |
145-30 (.829) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
77-51 (.602) |
97-31 (.758) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
18-15 (.545) |
26-7 (.788) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
14-9 (.609) |
21-2 (.913) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
4-6 (.400) |
5-5 (.500) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
43-28 (.606) |
58-13 (.817) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
21-18 (.538) |
33-6 (.846) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
22-10 (.688) |
25-7 (.781) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
46-39 (.541) |
68-17 (.800) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
25-25 (.500) |
39-11 (.780) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
21-14 (.600) |
29-6 (.829) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
67-47 (.588) |
90-24 (.789) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
37-26 (.587) |
52-11 (.825) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
30-21 (.588) |
38-13 (.745) |
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