WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-2)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 2. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-2 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-2 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .75 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2017.

sport round site Game 6 rec. series rec.
all all all 431-352 (.550) 625-158 (.798)
all all H 249-215 (.537) 393-71 (.847)
all all V 182-137 (.571) 232-87 (.727)
all Finals all 74-74 (.500) 111-37 (.750)
all Finals H 48-36 (.571) 71-13 (.845)
all Finals V 26-38 (.406) 40-24 (.625)
all Semis all 112-84 (.571) 155-41 (.791)
all Semis H 57-52 (.523) 92-17 (.844)
all Semis V 55-32 (.632) 63-24 (.724)
all Qtrs all 112-105 (.516) 181-36 (.834)
all Qtrs H 68-75 (.476) 123-20 (.860)
all Qtrs V 44-30 (.595) 58-16 (.784)
all Prelim all 133-89 (.599) 178-44 (.802)
all Prelim H 76-52 (.594) 107-21 (.836)
all Prelim V 57-37 (.606) 71-23 (.755)
MLB all all 47-55 (.461) 71-31 (.696)
MLB all H 27-22 (.551) 38-11 (.776)
MLB all V 20-33 (.377) 33-20 (.623)
MLB Finals all 24-39 (.381) 43-20 (.683)
MLB Finals H 14-14 (.500) 21-7 (.750)
MLB Finals V 10-25 (.286) 22-13 (.629)
MLB Semis all 23-16 (.590) 28-11 (.718)
MLB Semis H 13-8 (.619) 17-4 (.810)
MLB Semis V 10-8 (.556) 11-7 (.611)
NBA all all 168-128 (.568) 251-45 (.848)
NBA all H 102-87 (.540) 174-15 (.921)
NBA all V 66-41 (.617) 77-30 (.720)
NBA Finals all 26-19 (.578) 36-9 (.800)
NBA Finals H 16-12 (.571) 25-3 (.893)
NBA Finals V 10-7 (.588) 11-6 (.647)
NBA Semis all 42-34 (.553) 61-15 (.803)
NBA Semis H 23-23 (.500) 40-6 (.870)
NBA Semis V 19-11 (.633) 21-9 (.700)
NBA Qtrs all 59-52 (.532) 99-12 (.892)
NBA Qtrs H 39-40 (.494) 75-4 (.949)
NBA Qtrs V 20-12 (.625) 24-8 (.750)
NBA Prelim all 41-23 (.641) 55-9 (.859)
NBA Prelim H 24-12 (.667) 34-2 (.944)
NBA Prelim V 17-11 (.607) 21-7 (.750)
NHL all all 216-169 (.561) 303-82 (.787)
NHL all H 120-106 (.531) 181-45 (.801)
NHL all V 96-63 (.604) 122-37 (.767)
NHL Finals all 24-16 (.600) 32-8 (.800)
NHL Finals H 18-10 (.643) 25-3 (.893)
NHL Finals V 6-6 (.500) 7-5 (.583)
NHL Semis all 47-34 (.580) 66-15 (.815)
NHL Semis H 21-21 (.500) 35-7 (.833)
NHL Semis V 26-13 (.667) 31-8 (.795)
NHL Qtrs all 53-53 (.500) 82-24 (.774)
NHL Qtrs H 29-35 (.453) 48-16 (.750)
NHL Qtrs V 24-18 (.571) 34-8 (.810)
NHL Prelim all 92-66 (.582) 123-35 (.778)
NHL Prelim H 52-40 (.565) 73-19 (.793)
NHL Prelim V 40-26 (.606) 50-16 (.758)