WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-2)

Follow this link for specific series information wherein a 3-games-2 lead now exists:
Series 1212: Indiana(3) vs. New York(2)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 2. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-2 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-2 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .75 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2012.

sport round site Game 6 rec. series rec.
all all all 371-306 (.548) 543-134 (.802)
all all H 210-189 (.526) 340-59 (.852)
all all V 161-117 (.579) 203-75 (.730)
all Finals all 68-69 (.496) 103-34 (.752)
all Finals H 43-34 (.558) 66-11 (.857)
all Finals V 25-35 (.417) 37-23 (.617)
all Semis all 102-76 (.573) 141-37 (.792)
all Semis H 51-49 (.510) 84-16 (.840)
all Semis V 51-27 (.654) 57-21 (.731)
all Qtrs all 98-92 (.516) 160-30 (.842)
all Qtrs H 59-67 (.468) 109-17 (.865)
all Qtrs V 39-25 (.609) 51-13 (.797)
all Prelim all 103-69 (.599) 139-33 (.808)
all Prelim H 57-39 (.594) 81-15 (.844)
all Prelim V 46-30 (.605) 58-18 (.763)
MLB all all 42-51 (.452) 64-29 (.688)
MLB all H 22-21 (.512) 33-10 (.767)
MLB all V 20-30 (.400) 31-19 (.620)
MLB Finals all 23-36 (.390) 40-19 (.678)
MLB Finals H 13-13 (.500) 20-6 (.769)
MLB Finals V 10-23 (.303) 20-13 (.606)
MLB Semis all 19-15 (.559) 24-10 (.706)
MLB Semis H 9-8 (.529) 13-4 (.765)
MLB Semis V 10-7 (.588) 11-6 (.647)
NBA all all 141-111 (.560) 216-36 (.857)
NBA all H 82-79 (.509) 148-13 (.919)
NBA all V 59-32 (.648) 68-23 (.747)
NBA Finals all 25-17 (.595) 35-7 (.833)
NBA Finals H 15-11 (.577) 24-2 (.923)
NBA Finals V 10-6 (.625) 11-5 (.688)
NBA Semis all 39-32 (.549) 57-14 (.803)
NBA Semis H 21-22 (.488) 37-6 (.860)
NBA Semis V 18-10 (.643) 20-8 (.714)
NBA Qtrs all 50-49 (.505) 88-11 (.889)
NBA Qtrs H 32-38 (.457) 66-4 (.943)
NBA Qtrs V 18-11 (.621) 22-7 (.759)
NBA Prelim all 27-13 (.675) 36-4 (.900)
NBA Prelim H 14-8 (.636) 21-1 (.955)
NBA Prelim V 13-5 (.722) 15-3 (.833)
NHL all all 188-144 (.566) 263-69 (.792)
NHL all H 106-89 (.544) 159-36 (.815)
NHL all V 82-55 (.599) 104-33 (.759)
NHL Finals all 20-16 (.556) 28-8 (.778)
NHL Finals H 15-10 (.600) 22-3 (.880)
NHL Finals V 5-6 (.455) 6-5 (.545)
NHL Semis all 44-29 (.603) 60-13 (.822)
NHL Semis H 21-19 (.525) 34-6 (.850)
NHL Semis V 23-10 (.697) 26-7 (.788)
NHL Qtrs all 48-43 (.527) 72-19 (.791)
NHL Qtrs H 27-29 (.482) 43-13 (.768)
NHL Qtrs V 21-14 (.600) 29-6 (.829)
NHL Prelim all 76-56 (.576) 103-29 (.780)
NHL Prelim H 43-31 (.581) 60-14 (.811)
NHL Prelim V 33-25 (.569) 43-15 (.741)