WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-2)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 2. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-2 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-2 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .75 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2015.

sport round site Game 6 rec. series rec.
all all all 407-334 (.549) 590-151 (.796)
all all H 233-205 (.532) 370-68 (.845)
all all V 174-129 (.574) 220-83 (.726)
all Finals all 72-71 (.503) 108-35 (.755)
all Finals H 46-34 (.575) 69-11 (.863)
all Finals V 26-37 (.413) 39-24 (.619)
all Semis all 108-80 (.574) 150-38 (.798)
all Semis H 55-51 (.519) 89-17 (.840)
all Semis V 53-29 (.646) 61-21 (.744)
all Qtrs all 107-99 (.519) 170-36 (.825)
all Qtrs H 66-71 (.482) 117-20 (.854)
all Qtrs V 41-28 (.594) 53-16 (.768)
all Prelim all 120-84 (.588) 162-42 (.794)
all Prelim H 66-49 (.574) 95-20 (.826)
all Prelim V 54-35 (.607) 67-22 (.753)
MLB all all 46-52 (.469) 69-29 (.704)
MLB all H 26-21 (.553) 37-10 (.787)
MLB all V 20-31 (.392) 32-19 (.627)
MLB Finals all 24-37 (.393) 42-19 (.689)
MLB Finals H 14-13 (.519) 21-6 (.778)
MLB Finals V 10-24 (.294) 21-13 (.618)
MLB Semis all 22-15 (.595) 27-10 (.730)
MLB Semis H 12-8 (.600) 16-4 (.800)
MLB Semis V 10-7 (.588) 11-6 (.647)
NBA all all 159-121 (.568) 238-42 (.850)
NBA all H 95-83 (.534) 164-14 (.921)
NBA all V 64-38 (.627) 74-28 (.725)
NBA Finals all 26-18 (.591) 36-8 (.818)
NBA Finals H 16-11 (.593) 25-2 (.926)
NBA Finals V 10-7 (.588) 11-6 (.647)
NBA Semis all 41-33 (.554) 60-14 (.811)
NBA Semis H 22-23 (.489) 39-6 (.867)
NBA Semis V 19-10 (.655) 21-8 (.724)
NBA Qtrs all 57-50 (.533) 95-12 (.888)
NBA Qtrs H 38-38 (.500) 72-4 (.947)
NBA Qtrs V 19-12 (.613) 23-8 (.742)
NBA Prelim all 35-20 (.636) 47-8 (.855)
NBA Prelim H 19-11 (.633) 28-2 (.933)
NBA Prelim V 16-9 (.640) 19-6 (.760)
NHL all all 202-161 (.556) 283-80 (.780)
NHL all H 112-101 (.526) 169-44 (.793)
NHL all V 90-60 (.600) 114-36 (.760)
NHL Finals all 22-16 (.579) 30-8 (.789)
NHL Finals H 16-10 (.615) 23-3 (.885)
NHL Finals V 6-6 (.500) 7-5 (.583)
NHL Semis all 45-32 (.584) 63-14 (.818)
NHL Semis H 21-20 (.512) 34-7 (.829)
NHL Semis V 24-12 (.667) 29-7 (.806)
NHL Qtrs all 50-49 (.505) 75-24 (.758)
NHL Qtrs H 28-33 (.459) 45-16 (.738)
NHL Qtrs V 22-16 (.579) 30-8 (.789)
NHL Prelim all 85-64 (.570) 115-34 (.772)
NHL Prelim H 47-38 (.553) 67-18 (.788)
NHL Prelim V 38-26 (.594) 48-16 (.750)