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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-2)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 2. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-2 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-2 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .75 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2023.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 6 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
495-403 (.551) |
715-183 (.796) |
| all |
all |
H |
292-245 (.544) |
451-86 (.840) |
| all |
all |
V |
203-158 (.562) |
264-97 (.731) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
83-76 (.522) |
121-38 (.761) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
55-37 (.598) |
78-14 (.848) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
28-39 (.418) |
43-24 (.642) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
124-95 (.566) |
172-47 (.785) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
64-59 (.520) |
101-22 (.821) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
60-36 (.625) |
71-25 (.740) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
126-122 (.508) |
204-44 (.823) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
76-84 (.475) |
135-25 (.844) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
50-38 (.568) |
69-19 (.784) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
162-110 (.596) |
218-54 (.801) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
97-65 (.599) |
137-25 (.846) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
65-45 (.591) |
81-29 (.736) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
53-61 (.465) |
79-35 (.693) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
32-26 (.552) |
44-14 (.759) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
21-35 (.375) |
35-21 (.625) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
27-40 (.403) |
46-21 (.687) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
16-15 (.516) |
23-8 (.742) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
11-25 (.306) |
23-13 (.639) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
26-21 (.553) |
33-14 (.702) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
16-11 (.593) |
21-6 (.778) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
10-10 (.500) |
12-8 (.600) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
195-148 (.569) |
288-55 (.840) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
120-98 (.550) |
197-21 (.904) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
75-50 (.600) |
91-34 (.728) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
30-19 (.612) |
40-9 (.816) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
19-12 (.613) |
28-3 (.903) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
11-7 (.611) |
12-6 (.667) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
46-38 (.548) |
67-17 (.798) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
25-25 (.500) |
42-8 (.840) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
21-13 (.618) |
25-9 (.735) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
66-61 (.520) |
109-18 (.858) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
42-45 (.483) |
79-8 (.908) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
24-16 (.600) |
30-10 (.750) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
53-30 (.639) |
72-11 (.867) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
34-16 (.680) |
48-2 (.960) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
19-14 (.576) |
24-9 (.727) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
247-194 (.560) |
348-93 (.789) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
140-121 (.536) |
210-51 (.805) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
107-73 (.594) |
138-42 (.767) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
26-17 (.605) |
35-8 (.814) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
20-10 (.667) |
27-3 (.900) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
6-7 (.462) |
8-5 (.615) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
52-36 (.591) |
72-16 (.818) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
23-23 (.500) |
38-8 (.826) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
29-13 (.690) |
34-8 (.810) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
60-61 (.496) |
95-26 (.785) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
34-39 (.466) |
56-17 (.767) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
26-22 (.542) |
39-9 (.813) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
109-80 (.577) |
146-43 (.772) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
63-49 (.563) |
89-23 (.795) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
46-31 (.597) |
57-20 (.740) |
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