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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-2)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 2. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-2 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-2 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .75 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2022.
sport |
round |
site |
Game 6 rec. |
series rec. |
all |
all |
all |
484-394 (.551) |
699-179 (.796) |
all |
all |
H |
284-240 (.542) |
441-83 (.842) |
all |
all |
V |
200-154 (.565) |
258-96 (.729) |
all |
Finals |
all |
83-76 (.522) |
121-38 (.761) |
all |
Finals |
H |
55-37 (.598) |
78-14 (.848) |
all |
Finals |
V |
28-39 (.418) |
43-24 (.642) |
all |
Semis |
all |
123-92 (.572) |
170-45 (.791) |
all |
Semis |
H |
63-57 (.525) |
100-20 (.833) |
all |
Semis |
V |
60-35 (.632) |
70-25 (.737) |
all |
Qtrs |
all |
122-120 (.504) |
199-43 (.822) |
all |
Qtrs |
H |
74-83 (.471) |
132-25 (.841) |
all |
Qtrs |
V |
48-37 (.565) |
67-18 (.788) |
all |
Prelim |
all |
156-106 (.595) |
209-53 (.798) |
all |
Prelim |
H |
92-63 (.594) |
131-24 (.845) |
all |
Prelim |
V |
64-43 (.598) |
78-29 (.729) |
MLB |
all |
all |
53-59 (.473) |
79-33 (.705) |
MLB |
all |
H |
32-24 (.571) |
44-12 (.786) |
MLB |
all |
V |
21-35 (.375) |
35-21 (.625) |
MLB |
Finals |
all |
27-40 (.403) |
46-21 (.687) |
MLB |
Finals |
H |
16-15 (.516) |
23-8 (.742) |
MLB |
Finals |
V |
11-25 (.306) |
23-13 (.639) |
MLB |
Semis |
all |
26-19 (.578) |
33-12 (.733) |
MLB |
Semis |
H |
16-9 (.640) |
21-4 (.840) |
MLB |
Semis |
V |
10-10 (.500) |
12-8 (.600) |
NBA |
all |
all |
190-145 (.567) |
281-54 (.839) |
NBA |
all |
H |
118-98 (.546) |
195-21 (.903) |
NBA |
all |
V |
72-47 (.605) |
86-33 (.723) |
NBA |
Finals |
all |
30-19 (.612) |
40-9 (.816) |
NBA |
Finals |
H |
19-12 (.613) |
28-3 (.903) |
NBA |
Finals |
V |
11-7 (.611) |
12-6 (.667) |
NBA |
Semis |
all |
46-37 (.554) |
66-17 (.795) |
NBA |
Semis |
H |
25-25 (.500) |
42-8 (.840) |
NBA |
Semis |
V |
21-12 (.636) |
24-9 (.727) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
63-60 (.512) |
106-17 (.862) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
41-45 (.477) |
78-8 (.907) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
22-15 (.595) |
28-9 (.757) |
NBA |
Prelim |
all |
51-29 (.638) |
69-11 (.863) |
NBA |
Prelim |
H |
33-16 (.673) |
47-2 (.959) |
NBA |
Prelim |
V |
18-13 (.581) |
22-9 (.710) |
NHL |
all |
all |
241-190 (.559) |
339-92 (.787) |
NHL |
all |
H |
134-118 (.532) |
202-50 (.802) |
NHL |
all |
V |
107-72 (.598) |
137-42 (.765) |
NHL |
Finals |
all |
26-17 (.605) |
35-8 (.814) |
NHL |
Finals |
H |
20-10 (.667) |
27-3 (.900) |
NHL |
Finals |
V |
6-7 (.462) |
8-5 (.615) |
NHL |
Semis |
all |
51-36 (.586) |
71-16 (.816) |
NHL |
Semis |
H |
22-23 (.489) |
37-8 (.822) |
NHL |
Semis |
V |
29-13 (.690) |
34-8 (.810) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
59-60 (.496) |
93-26 (.782) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
33-38 (.465) |
54-17 (.761) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
26-22 (.542) |
39-9 (.813) |
NHL |
Prelim |
all |
105-77 (.577) |
140-42 (.769) |
NHL |
Prelim |
H |
59-47 (.557) |
84-22 (.792) |
NHL |
Prelim |
V |
46-30 (.605) |
56-20 (.737) |
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