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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-2)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 2. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-2 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-2 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .75 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2008.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 6 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
326-272 (.545) |
481-117 (.804) |
| all |
all |
H |
186-168 (.525) |
304-50 (.859) |
| all |
all |
V |
140-104 (.574) |
177-67 (.725) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
64-65 (.496) |
99-30 (.767) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
41-32 (.562) |
64-9 (.877) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
23-33 (.411) |
35-21 (.625) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
91-73 (.555) |
129-35 (.787) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
46-48 (.489) |
78-16 (.830) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
45-25 (.643) |
51-19 (.729) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
92-81 (.532) |
146-27 (.844) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
55-58 (.487) |
99-14 (.876) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
37-23 (.617) |
47-13 (.783) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
79-53 (.598) |
107-25 (.811) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
44-30 (.595) |
63-11 (.851) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
35-23 (.603) |
44-14 (.759) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
36-49 (.424) |
58-27 (.682) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
18-21 (.462) |
29-10 (.744) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
18-28 (.391) |
29-17 (.630) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
22-35 (.386) |
39-18 (.684) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
12-13 (.480) |
19-6 (.760) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
10-22 (.313) |
20-12 (.625) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
14-14 (.500) |
19-9 (.679) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
6-8 (.429) |
10-4 (.714) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
8-6 (.571) |
9-5 (.643) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
120-100 (.545) |
188-32 (.855) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
73-72 (.503) |
133-12 (.917) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
47-28 (.627) |
55-20 (.733) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
24-16 (.600) |
34-6 (.850) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
15-11 (.577) |
24-2 (.923) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
9-5 (.643) |
10-4 (.714) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
34-31 (.523) |
52-13 (.800) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
19-22 (.463) |
35-6 (.854) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
15-9 (.625) |
17-7 (.708) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
47-45 (.511) |
82-10 (.891) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
30-34 (.469) |
61-3 (.953) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
17-11 (.607) |
21-7 (.750) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
15-8 (.652) |
20-3 (.870) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
9-5 (.643) |
13-1 (.929) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
6-3 (.667) |
7-2 (.778) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
170-123 (.580) |
235-58 (.802) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
95-75 (.559) |
142-28 (.835) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
75-48 (.610) |
93-30 (.756) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
18-14 (.563) |
26-6 (.813) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
14-8 (.636) |
21-1 (.955) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
4-6 (.400) |
5-5 (.500) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
43-28 (.606) |
58-13 (.817) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
21-18 (.538) |
33-6 (.846) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
22-10 (.688) |
25-7 (.781) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
45-36 (.556) |
64-17 (.790) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
25-24 (.510) |
38-11 (.776) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
20-12 (.625) |
26-6 (.813) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
64-45 (.587) |
87-22 (.798) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
35-25 (.583) |
50-10 (.833) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
29-20 (.592) |
37-12 (.755) |
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