WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-2)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 2. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-2 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-2 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .75 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2020.

sport round site Game 6 rec. series rec.
all all all 456-379 (.546) 665-170 (.796)
all all H 267-231 (.536) 420-78 (.843)
all all V 189-148 (.561) 245-92 (.727)
all Finals all 78-76 (.506) 116-38 (.753)
all Finals H 52-37 (.584) 75-14 (.843)
all Finals V 26-39 (.400) 41-24 (.631)
all Semis all 117-90 (.565) 162-45 (.783)
all Semis H 59-56 (.513) 95-20 (.826)
all Semis V 58-34 (.630) 67-25 (.728)
all Qtrs all 116-115 (.502) 192-39 (.831)
all Qtrs H 72-80 (.474) 130-22 (.855)
all Qtrs V 44-35 (.557) 62-17 (.785)
all Prelim all 145-98 (.597) 195-48 (.802)
all Prelim H 84-58 (.592) 120-22 (.845)
all Prelim V 61-40 (.604) 75-26 (.743)
MLB all all 49-59 (.454) 75-33 (.694)
MLB all H 29-24 (.547) 41-12 (.774)
MLB all V 20-35 (.364) 34-21 (.618)
MLB Finals all 25-40 (.385) 44-21 (.677)
MLB Finals H 15-15 (.500) 22-8 (.733)
MLB Finals V 10-25 (.286) 22-13 (.629)
MLB Semis all 24-19 (.558) 31-12 (.721)
MLB Semis H 14-9 (.609) 19-4 (.826)
MLB Semis V 10-10 (.500) 12-8 (.600)
NBA all all 177-139 (.560) 266-50 (.842)
NBA all H 108-96 (.529) 185-19 (.907)
NBA all V 69-43 (.616) 81-31 (.723)
NBA Finals all 28-19 (.596) 38-9 (.809)
NBA Finals H 18-12 (.600) 27-3 (.900)
NBA Finals V 10-7 (.588) 11-6 (.647)
NBA Semis all 44-36 (.550) 63-17 (.788)
NBA Semis H 23-25 (.479) 40-8 (.833)
NBA Semis V 21-11 (.656) 23-9 (.719)
NBA Qtrs all 60-56 (.517) 102-14 (.879)
NBA Qtrs H 40-43 (.482) 77-6 (.928)
NBA Qtrs V 20-13 (.606) 25-8 (.758)
NBA Prelim all 45-28 (.616) 63-10 (.863)
NBA Prelim H 27-16 (.628) 41-2 (.953)
NBA Prelim V 18-12 (.600) 22-8 (.733)
NHL all all 230-181 (.560) 324-87 (.788)
NHL all H 130-111 (.539) 194-47 (.805)
NHL all V 100-70 (.588) 130-40 (.765)
NHL Finals all 25-17 (.595) 34-8 (.810)
NHL Finals H 19-10 (.655) 26-3 (.897)
NHL Finals V 6-7 (.462) 8-5 (.615)
NHL Semis all 49-35 (.583) 68-16 (.810)
NHL Semis H 22-22 (.500) 36-8 (.818)
NHL Semis V 27-13 (.675) 32-8 (.800)
NHL Qtrs all 56-59 (.487) 90-25 (.783)
NHL Qtrs H 32-37 (.464) 53-16 (.768)
NHL Qtrs V 24-22 (.522) 37-9 (.804)
NHL Prelim all 100-70 (.588) 132-38 (.776)
NHL Prelim H 57-42 (.576) 79-20 (.798)
NHL Prelim V 43-28 (.606) 53-18 (.746)