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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-2)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 2. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-2 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-2 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .75 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2007.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 6 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
314-265 (.542) |
463-116 (.800) |
| all |
all |
H |
178-162 (.524) |
291-49 (.856) |
| all |
all |
V |
136-103 (.569) |
172-67 (.720) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
62-65 (.488) |
97-30 (.764) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
39-32 (.549) |
62-9 (.873) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
23-33 (.411) |
35-21 (.625) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
89-72 (.553) |
126-35 (.783) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
44-47 (.484) |
75-16 (.824) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
45-25 (.643) |
51-19 (.729) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
90-79 (.533) |
143-26 (.846) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
54-56 (.491) |
97-13 (.882) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
36-23 (.610) |
46-13 (.780) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
73-49 (.598) |
97-25 (.795) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
41-27 (.603) |
57-11 (.838) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
32-22 (.593) |
40-14 (.741) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
36-48 (.429) |
57-27 (.679) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
18-20 (.474) |
28-10 (.737) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
18-28 (.391) |
29-17 (.630) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
22-35 (.386) |
39-18 (.684) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
12-13 (.480) |
19-6 (.760) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
10-22 (.313) |
20-12 (.625) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
14-13 (.519) |
18-9 (.667) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
6-7 (.462) |
9-4 (.692) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
8-6 (.571) |
9-5 (.643) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
114-97 (.540) |
180-31 (.853) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
68-69 (.496) |
126-11 (.920) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
46-28 (.622) |
54-20 (.730) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
23-16 (.590) |
33-6 (.846) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
14-11 (.560) |
23-2 (.920) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
9-5 (.643) |
10-4 (.714) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
33-31 (.516) |
51-13 (.797) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
18-22 (.450) |
34-6 (.850) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
15-9 (.625) |
17-7 (.708) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
46-43 (.517) |
80-9 (.899) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
29-32 (.475) |
59-2 (.967) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
17-11 (.607) |
21-7 (.750) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
12-7 (.632) |
16-3 (.842) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
7-4 (.636) |
10-1 (.909) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
5-3 (.625) |
6-2 (.750) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
164-120 (.577) |
226-58 (.796) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
92-73 (.558) |
137-28 (.830) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
72-47 (.605) |
89-30 (.748) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
17-14 (.548) |
25-6 (.806) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
13-8 (.619) |
20-1 (.952) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
4-6 (.400) |
5-5 (.500) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
42-28 (.600) |
57-13 (.814) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
20-18 (.526) |
32-6 (.842) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
22-10 (.688) |
25-7 (.781) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
44-36 (.550) |
63-17 (.788) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
25-24 (.510) |
38-11 (.776) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
19-12 (.613) |
25-6 (.806) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
61-42 (.592) |
81-22 (.786) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
34-23 (.596) |
47-10 (.825) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
27-19 (.587) |
34-12 (.739) |
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