WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-2)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 2. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-2 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-2 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .75 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2016.

sport round site Game 6 rec. series rec.
all all all 418-345 (.548) 606-157 (.794)
all all H 239-212 (.530) 380-71 (.843)
all all V 179-133 (.574) 226-86 (.724)
all Finals all 73-73 (.500) 109-37 (.747)
all Finals H 47-36 (.566) 70-13 (.843)
all Finals V 26-37 (.413) 39-24 (.619)
all Semis all 111-82 (.575) 153-40 (.793)
all Semis H 57-51 (.528) 91-17 (.843)
all Semis V 54-31 (.635) 62-23 (.729)
all Qtrs all 109-102 (.517) 175-36 (.829)
all Qtrs H 66-73 (.475) 119-20 (.856)
all Qtrs V 43-29 (.597) 56-16 (.778)
all Prelim all 125-88 (.587) 169-44 (.793)
all Prelim H 69-52 (.570) 100-21 (.826)
all Prelim V 56-36 (.609) 69-23 (.750)
MLB all all 47-53 (.470) 70-30 (.700)
MLB all H 27-22 (.551) 38-11 (.776)
MLB all V 20-31 (.392) 32-19 (.627)
MLB Finals all 24-38 (.387) 42-20 (.677)
MLB Finals H 14-14 (.500) 21-7 (.750)
MLB Finals V 10-24 (.294) 21-13 (.618)
MLB Semis all 23-15 (.605) 28-10 (.737)
MLB Semis H 13-8 (.619) 17-4 (.810)
MLB Semis V 10-7 (.588) 11-6 (.647)
NBA all all 163-126 (.564) 244-45 (.844)
NBA all H 97-86 (.530) 168-15 (.918)
NBA all V 66-40 (.623) 76-30 (.717)
NBA Finals all 26-19 (.578) 36-9 (.800)
NBA Finals H 16-12 (.571) 25-3 (.893)
NBA Finals V 10-7 (.588) 11-6 (.647)
NBA Semis all 42-34 (.553) 61-15 (.803)
NBA Semis H 23-23 (.500) 40-6 (.870)
NBA Semis V 19-11 (.633) 21-9 (.700)
NBA Qtrs all 58-51 (.532) 97-12 (.890)
NBA Qtrs H 38-39 (.494) 73-4 (.948)
NBA Qtrs V 20-12 (.625) 24-8 (.750)
NBA Prelim all 37-22 (.627) 50-9 (.847)
NBA Prelim H 20-12 (.625) 30-2 (.938)
NBA Prelim V 17-10 (.630) 20-7 (.741)
NHL all all 208-166 (.556) 292-82 (.781)
NHL all H 115-104 (.525) 174-45 (.795)
NHL all V 93-62 (.600) 118-37 (.761)
NHL Finals all 23-16 (.590) 31-8 (.795)
NHL Finals H 17-10 (.630) 24-3 (.889)
NHL Finals V 6-6 (.500) 7-5 (.583)
NHL Semis all 46-33 (.582) 64-15 (.810)
NHL Semis H 21-20 (.512) 34-7 (.829)
NHL Semis V 25-13 (.658) 30-8 (.789)
NHL Qtrs all 51-51 (.500) 78-24 (.765)
NHL Qtrs H 28-34 (.452) 46-16 (.742)
NHL Qtrs V 23-17 (.575) 32-8 (.800)
NHL Prelim all 88-66 (.571) 119-35 (.773)
NHL Prelim H 49-40 (.551) 70-19 (.787)
NHL Prelim V 39-26 (.600) 49-16 (.754)