WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-2)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 2. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-2 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-2 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .75 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2013.

sport round site Game 6 rec. series rec.
all all all 384-314 (.550) 560-138 (.802)
all all H 219-194 (.530) 352-61 (.852)
all all V 165-120 (.579) 208-77 (.730)
all Finals all 70-70 (.500) 105-35 (.750)
all Finals H 45-34 (.570) 68-11 (.861)
all Finals V 25-36 (.410) 37-24 (.607)
all Semis all 104-77 (.575) 144-37 (.796)
all Semis H 53-50 (.515) 87-16 (.845)
all Semis V 51-27 (.654) 57-21 (.731)
all Qtrs all 100-94 (.515) 163-31 (.840)
all Qtrs H 60-68 (.469) 111-17 (.867)
all Qtrs V 40-26 (.606) 52-14 (.788)
all Prelim all 110-73 (.601) 148-35 (.809)
all Prelim H 61-42 (.592) 86-17 (.835)
all Prelim V 49-31 (.613) 62-18 (.775)
MLB all all 45-51 (.469) 67-29 (.698)
MLB all H 25-21 (.543) 36-10 (.783)
MLB all V 20-30 (.400) 31-19 (.620)
MLB Finals all 24-36 (.400) 41-19 (.683)
MLB Finals H 14-13 (.519) 21-6 (.778)
MLB Finals V 10-23 (.303) 20-13 (.606)
MLB Semis all 21-15 (.583) 26-10 (.722)
MLB Semis H 11-8 (.579) 15-4 (.789)
MLB Semis V 10-7 (.588) 11-6 (.647)
NBA all all 148-114 (.565) 225-37 (.859)
NBA all H 86-80 (.518) 153-13 (.922)
NBA all V 62-34 (.646) 72-24 (.750)
NBA Finals all 25-18 (.581) 35-8 (.814)
NBA Finals H 15-11 (.577) 24-2 (.923)
NBA Finals V 10-7 (.588) 11-6 (.647)
NBA Semis all 39-33 (.542) 58-14 (.806)
NBA Semis H 21-23 (.477) 38-6 (.864)
NBA Semis V 18-10 (.643) 20-8 (.714)
NBA Qtrs all 52-49 (.515) 90-11 (.891)
NBA Qtrs H 33-38 (.465) 67-4 (.944)
NBA Qtrs V 19-11 (.633) 23-7 (.767)
NBA Prelim all 32-14 (.696) 42-4 (.913)
NBA Prelim H 17-8 (.680) 24-1 (.960)
NBA Prelim V 15-6 (.714) 18-3 (.857)
NHL all all 191-149 (.562) 268-72 (.788)
NHL all H 108-93 (.537) 163-38 (.811)
NHL all V 83-56 (.597) 105-34 (.755)
NHL Finals all 21-16 (.568) 29-8 (.784)
NHL Finals H 16-10 (.615) 23-3 (.885)
NHL Finals V 5-6 (.455) 6-5 (.545)
NHL Semis all 44-29 (.603) 60-13 (.822)
NHL Semis H 21-19 (.525) 34-6 (.850)
NHL Semis V 23-10 (.697) 26-7 (.788)
NHL Qtrs all 48-45 (.516) 73-20 (.785)
NHL Qtrs H 27-30 (.474) 44-13 (.772)
NHL Qtrs V 21-15 (.583) 29-7 (.806)
NHL Prelim all 78-59 (.569) 106-31 (.774)
NHL Prelim H 44-34 (.564) 62-16 (.795)
NHL Prelim V 34-25 (.576) 44-15 (.746)