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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-2)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 2. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-2 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-2 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .75 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2010.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 6 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
352-288 (.550) |
514-126 (.803) |
| all |
all |
H |
202-178 (.532) |
324-56 (.853) |
| all |
all |
V |
150-110 (.577) |
190-70 (.731) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
66-67 (.496) |
101-32 (.759) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
43-33 (.566) |
66-10 (.868) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
23-34 (.404) |
35-22 (.614) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
98-73 (.573) |
136-35 (.795) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
50-48 (.510) |
82-16 (.837) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
48-25 (.658) |
54-19 (.740) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
95-88 (.519) |
153-30 (.836) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
56-63 (.471) |
102-17 (.857) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
39-25 (.609) |
51-13 (.797) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
93-60 (.608) |
124-29 (.810) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
53-34 (.609) |
74-13 (.851) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
40-26 (.606) |
50-16 (.758) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
40-49 (.449) |
62-27 (.697) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
21-21 (.500) |
32-10 (.762) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
19-28 (.404) |
30-17 (.638) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
23-35 (.397) |
40-18 (.690) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
13-13 (.500) |
20-6 (.769) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
10-22 (.313) |
20-12 (.625) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
17-14 (.548) |
22-9 (.710) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
8-8 (.500) |
12-4 (.750) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
9-6 (.600) |
10-5 (.667) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
131-106 (.553) |
202-35 (.852) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
78-76 (.506) |
141-13 (.916) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
53-30 (.639) |
61-22 (.735) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
24-17 (.585) |
34-7 (.829) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
15-11 (.577) |
24-2 (.923) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
9-6 (.600) |
10-5 (.667) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
38-31 (.551) |
56-13 (.812) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
21-22 (.488) |
37-6 (.860) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
17-9 (.654) |
19-7 (.731) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
48-47 (.505) |
84-11 (.884) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
30-36 (.455) |
62-4 (.939) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
18-11 (.621) |
22-7 (.759) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
21-11 (.656) |
28-4 (.875) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
12-7 (.632) |
18-1 (.947) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
9-4 (.692) |
10-3 (.769) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
181-133 (.576) |
250-64 (.796) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
103-81 (.560) |
151-33 (.821) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
78-52 (.600) |
99-31 (.762) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
19-15 (.559) |
27-7 (.794) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
15-9 (.625) |
22-2 (.917) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
4-6 (.400) |
5-5 (.500) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
43-28 (.606) |
58-13 (.817) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
21-18 (.538) |
33-6 (.846) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
22-10 (.688) |
25-7 (.781) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
47-41 (.534) |
69-19 (.784) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
26-27 (.491) |
40-13 (.755) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
21-14 (.600) |
29-6 (.829) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
72-49 (.595) |
96-25 (.793) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
41-27 (.603) |
56-12 (.824) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
31-22 (.585) |
40-13 (.755) |
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