WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-2)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 2. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-2 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-2 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .75 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2018.

sport round site Game 6 rec. series rec.
all all all 438-360 (.549) 637-161 (.798)
all all H 255-221 (.536) 402-74 (.845)
all all V 183-139 (.568) 235-87 (.730)
all Finals all 74-74 (.500) 111-37 (.750)
all Finals H 48-36 (.571) 71-13 (.845)
all Finals V 26-38 (.406) 40-24 (.625)
all Semis all 112-88 (.560) 156-44 (.780)
all Semis H 57-55 (.509) 92-20 (.821)
all Semis V 55-33 (.625) 64-24 (.727)
all Qtrs all 114-106 (.518) 184-36 (.836)
all Qtrs H 70-75 (.483) 125-20 (.862)
all Qtrs V 44-31 (.587) 59-16 (.787)
all Prelim all 138-92 (.600) 186-44 (.809)
all Prelim H 80-55 (.593) 114-21 (.844)
all Prelim V 58-37 (.611) 72-23 (.758)
MLB all all 47-56 (.456) 72-31 (.699)
MLB all H 27-22 (.551) 38-11 (.776)
MLB all V 20-34 (.370) 34-20 (.630)
MLB Finals all 24-39 (.381) 43-20 (.683)
MLB Finals H 14-14 (.500) 21-7 (.750)
MLB Finals V 10-25 (.286) 22-13 (.629)
MLB Semis all 23-17 (.575) 29-11 (.725)
MLB Semis H 13-8 (.619) 17-4 (.810)
MLB Semis V 10-9 (.526) 12-7 (.632)
NBA all all 170-132 (.563) 255-47 (.844)
NBA all H 103-91 (.531) 177-17 (.912)
NBA all V 67-41 (.620) 78-30 (.722)
NBA Finals all 26-19 (.578) 36-9 (.800)
NBA Finals H 16-12 (.571) 25-3 (.893)
NBA Finals V 10-7 (.588) 11-6 (.647)
NBA Semis all 42-36 (.538) 61-17 (.782)
NBA Semis H 23-25 (.479) 40-8 (.833)
NBA Semis V 19-11 (.633) 21-9 (.700)
NBA Qtrs all 59-52 (.532) 99-12 (.892)
NBA Qtrs H 39-40 (.494) 75-4 (.949)
NBA Qtrs V 20-12 (.625) 24-8 (.750)
NBA Prelim all 43-25 (.632) 59-9 (.868)
NBA Prelim H 25-14 (.641) 37-2 (.949)
NBA Prelim V 18-11 (.621) 22-7 (.759)
NHL all all 221-172 (.562) 310-83 (.789)
NHL all H 125-108 (.536) 187-46 (.803)
NHL all V 96-64 (.600) 123-37 (.769)
NHL Finals all 24-16 (.600) 32-8 (.800)
NHL Finals H 18-10 (.643) 25-3 (.893)
NHL Finals V 6-6 (.500) 7-5 (.583)
NHL Semis all 47-35 (.573) 66-16 (.805)
NHL Semis H 21-22 (.488) 35-8 (.814)
NHL Semis V 26-13 (.667) 31-8 (.795)
NHL Qtrs all 55-54 (.505) 85-24 (.780)
NHL Qtrs H 31-35 (.470) 50-16 (.758)
NHL Qtrs V 24-19 (.558) 35-8 (.814)
NHL Prelim all 95-67 (.586) 127-35 (.784)
NHL Prelim H 55-41 (.573) 77-19 (.802)
NHL Prelim V 40-26 (.606) 50-16 (.758)