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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-NIL)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .8125 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2009.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 3 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
278-317 (.467) |
528-67 (.887) |
| all |
all |
H |
216-260 (.454) |
432-44 (.908) |
| all |
all |
V |
62-57 (.521) |
96-23 (.807) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
60-65 (.480) |
108-17 (.864) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
41-56 (.423) |
85-12 (.876) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
19-9 (.679) |
23-5 (.821) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
73-81 (.474) |
141-13 (.916) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
53-65 (.449) |
106-12 (.898) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
20-16 (.556) |
35-1 (.972) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
93-97 (.489) |
170-20 (.895) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
78-83 (.484) |
149-12 (.925) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
15-14 (.517) |
21-8 (.724) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
52-74 (.413) |
109-17 (.865) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
44-56 (.440) |
92-8 (.920) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
8-18 (.308) |
17-9 (.654) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
31-39 (.443) |
57-13 (.814) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
17-29 (.370) |
36-10 (.783) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
14-10 (.583) |
21-3 (.875) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
23-26 (.469) |
39-10 (.796) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
15-20 (.429) |
28-7 (.800) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
8-6 (.571) |
11-3 (.786) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
8-13 (.381) |
18-3 (.857) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
2-9 (.182) |
8-3 (.727) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
6-4 (.600) |
10-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
88-135 (.395) |
209-14 (.937) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
74-124 (.374) |
187-11 (.944) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
14-11 (.560) |
22-3 (.880) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
12-19 (.387) |
28-3 (.903) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
10-18 (.357) |
25-3 (.893) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
2-1 (.667) |
3-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
25-35 (.417) |
57-3 (.950) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
19-30 (.388) |
46-3 (.939) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
6-5 (.545) |
11-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
38-58 (.396) |
91-5 (.948) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
32-55 (.368) |
84-3 (.966) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
6-3 (.667) |
7-2 (.778) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
13-23 (.361) |
33-3 (.917) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
13-21 (.382) |
32-2 (.941) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
0-2 (.000) |
1-1 (.500) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
159-143 (.526) |
262-40 (.868) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
125-107 (.539) |
209-23 (.901) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
34-36 (.486) |
53-17 (.757) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
25-20 (.556) |
41-4 (.911) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
16-18 (.471) |
32-2 (.941) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
9-2 (.818) |
9-2 (.818) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
40-33 (.548) |
66-7 (.904) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
32-26 (.552) |
52-6 (.897) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
8-7 (.533) |
14-1 (.933) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
55-39 (.585) |
79-15 (.840) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
46-28 (.622) |
65-9 (.878) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
9-11 (.450) |
14-6 (.700) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
39-51 (.433) |
76-14 (.844) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
31-35 (.470) |
60-6 (.909) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
8-16 (.333) |
16-8 (.667) |
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