WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-NIL)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .8125 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2013.

sport round site Game 3 rec. series rec.
all all all 316-345 (.478) 587-74 (.888)
all all H 241-287 (.456) 478-50 (.905)
all all V 75-58 (.564) 109-24 (.820)
all Finals all 62-68 (.477) 112-18 (.862)
all Finals H 42-59 (.416) 88-13 (.871)
all Finals V 20-9 (.690) 24-5 (.828)
all Semis all 79-89 (.470) 154-14 (.917)
all Semis H 54-73 (.425) 114-13 (.898)
all Semis V 25-16 (.610) 40-1 (.976)
all Qtrs all 105-102 (.507) 186-21 (.899)
all Qtrs H 86-88 (.494) 161-13 (.925)
all Qtrs V 19-14 (.576) 25-8 (.758)
all Prelim all 70-86 (.449) 135-21 (.865)
all Prelim H 59-67 (.468) 115-11 (.913)
all Prelim V 11-19 (.367) 20-10 (.667)
MLB all all 33-42 (.440) 62-13 (.827)
MLB all H 18-32 (.360) 40-10 (.800)
MLB all V 15-10 (.600) 22-3 (.880)
MLB Finals all 24-27 (.471) 41-10 (.804)
MLB Finals H 16-21 (.432) 30-7 (.811)
MLB Finals V 8-6 (.571) 11-3 (.786)
MLB Semis all 9-15 (.375) 21-3 (.875)
MLB Semis H 2-11 (.154) 10-3 (.769)
MLB Semis V 7-4 (.636) 11-0 (1.000)
NBA all all 108-147 (.424) 239-16 (.937)
NBA all H 92-136 (.404) 215-13 (.943)
NBA all V 16-11 (.593) 24-3 (.889)
NBA Finals all 12-19 (.387) 28-3 (.903)
NBA Finals H 10-18 (.357) 25-3 (.893)
NBA Finals V 2-1 (.667) 3-0 (1.000)
NBA Semis all 27-38 (.415) 61-4 (.938)
NBA Semis H 20-33 (.377) 49-4 (.925)
NBA Semis V 7-5 (.583) 12-0 (1.000)
NBA Qtrs all 43-60 (.417) 98-5 (.951)
NBA Qtrs H 36-57 (.387) 90-3 (.968)
NBA Qtrs V 7-3 (.700) 8-2 (.800)
NBA Prelim all 26-30 (.464) 52-4 (.929)
NBA Prelim H 26-28 (.481) 51-3 (.944)
NBA Prelim V 0-2 (.000) 1-1 (.500)
NHL all all 175-156 (.529) 286-45 (.864)
NHL all H 131-119 (.524) 223-27 (.892)
NHL all V 44-37 (.543) 63-18 (.778)
NHL Finals all 26-22 (.542) 43-5 (.896)
NHL Finals H 16-20 (.444) 33-3 (.917)
NHL Finals V 10-2 (.833) 10-2 (.833)
NHL Semis all 43-36 (.544) 72-7 (.911)
NHL Semis H 32-29 (.525) 55-6 (.902)
NHL Semis V 11-7 (.611) 17-1 (.944)
NHL Qtrs all 62-42 (.596) 88-16 (.846)
NHL Qtrs H 50-31 (.617) 71-10 (.877)
NHL Qtrs V 12-11 (.522) 17-6 (.739)
NHL Prelim all 44-56 (.440) 83-17 (.830)
NHL Prelim H 33-39 (.458) 64-8 (.889)
NHL Prelim V 11-17 (.393) 19-9 (.679)