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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-NIL)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .8125 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2008.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 3 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
271-306 (.470) |
513-64 (.889) |
| all |
all |
H |
209-251 (.454) |
418-42 (.909) |
| all |
all |
V |
62-55 (.530) |
95-22 (.812) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
60-63 (.488) |
107-16 (.870) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
41-54 (.432) |
84-11 (.884) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
19-9 (.679) |
23-5 (.821) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
72-79 (.477) |
138-13 (.914) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
52-63 (.452) |
103-12 (.896) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
20-16 (.556) |
35-1 (.972) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
91-96 (.487) |
168-19 (.898) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
76-82 (.481) |
147-11 (.930) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
15-14 (.517) |
21-8 (.724) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
48-68 (.414) |
100-16 (.862) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
40-52 (.435) |
84-8 (.913) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
8-16 (.333) |
16-8 (.667) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
31-38 (.449) |
56-13 (.812) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
17-28 (.378) |
35-10 (.778) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
14-10 (.583) |
21-3 (.875) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
23-26 (.469) |
39-10 (.796) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
15-20 (.429) |
28-7 (.800) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
8-6 (.571) |
11-3 (.786) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
8-12 (.400) |
17-3 (.850) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
2-8 (.200) |
7-3 (.700) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
6-4 (.600) |
10-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
85-132 (.392) |
203-14 (.935) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
71-121 (.370) |
181-11 (.943) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
14-11 (.560) |
22-3 (.880) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
12-18 (.400) |
27-3 (.900) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
10-17 (.370) |
24-3 (.889) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
2-1 (.667) |
3-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
25-35 (.417) |
57-3 (.950) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
19-30 (.388) |
46-3 (.939) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
6-5 (.545) |
11-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
36-58 (.383) |
89-5 (.947) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
30-55 (.353) |
82-3 (.965) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
6-3 (.667) |
7-2 (.778) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
12-21 (.364) |
30-3 (.909) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
12-19 (.387) |
29-2 (.935) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
0-2 (.000) |
1-1 (.500) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
155-136 (.533) |
254-37 (.873) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
121-102 (.543) |
202-21 (.906) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
34-34 (.500) |
52-16 (.765) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
25-19 (.568) |
41-3 (.932) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
16-17 (.485) |
32-1 (.970) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
9-2 (.818) |
9-2 (.818) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
39-32 (.549) |
64-7 (.901) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
31-25 (.554) |
50-6 (.893) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
8-7 (.533) |
14-1 (.933) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
55-38 (.591) |
79-14 (.849) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
46-27 (.630) |
65-8 (.890) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
9-11 (.450) |
14-6 (.700) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
36-47 (.434) |
70-13 (.843) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
28-33 (.459) |
55-6 (.902) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
8-14 (.364) |
15-7 (.682) |
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