WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-NIL)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .8125 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2010.

sport round site Game 3 rec. series rec.
all all all 287-324 (.470) 543-68 (.889)
all all H 223-267 (.455) 445-45 (.908)
all all V 64-57 (.529) 98-23 (.810)
all Finals all 60-67 (.472) 110-17 (.866)
all Finals H 41-58 (.414) 87-12 (.879)
all Finals V 19-9 (.679) 23-5 (.821)
all Semis all 75-83 (.475) 145-13 (.918)
all Semis H 53-67 (.442) 108-12 (.900)
all Semis V 22-16 (.579) 37-1 (.974)
all Qtrs all 98-97 (.503) 174-21 (.892)
all Qtrs H 83-83 (.500) 153-13 (.922)
all Qtrs V 15-14 (.517) 21-8 (.724)
all Prelim all 54-77 (.412) 114-17 (.870)
all Prelim H 46-59 (.438) 97-8 (.924)
all Prelim V 8-18 (.308) 17-9 (.654)
MLB all all 31-40 (.437) 58-13 (.817)
MLB all H 17-30 (.362) 37-10 (.787)
MLB all V 14-10 (.583) 21-3 (.875)
MLB Finals all 23-27 (.460) 40-10 (.800)
MLB Finals H 15-21 (.417) 29-7 (.806)
MLB Finals V 8-6 (.571) 11-3 (.786)
MLB Semis all 8-13 (.381) 18-3 (.857)
MLB Semis H 2-9 (.182) 8-3 (.727)
MLB Semis V 6-4 (.600) 10-0 (1.000)
NBA all all 94-139 (.403) 219-14 (.940)
NBA all H 79-128 (.382) 196-11 (.947)
NBA all V 15-11 (.577) 23-3 (.885)
NBA Finals all 12-19 (.387) 28-3 (.903)
NBA Finals H 10-18 (.357) 25-3 (.893)
NBA Finals V 2-1 (.667) 3-0 (1.000)
NBA Semis all 26-36 (.419) 59-3 (.952)
NBA Semis H 19-31 (.380) 47-3 (.940)
NBA Semis V 7-5 (.583) 12-0 (1.000)
NBA Qtrs all 41-58 (.414) 94-5 (.949)
NBA Qtrs H 35-55 (.389) 87-3 (.967)
NBA Qtrs V 6-3 (.667) 7-2 (.778)
NBA Prelim all 15-26 (.366) 38-3 (.927)
NBA Prelim H 15-24 (.385) 37-2 (.949)
NBA Prelim V 0-2 (.000) 1-1 (.500)
NHL all all 162-145 (.528) 266-41 (.866)
NHL all H 127-109 (.538) 212-24 (.898)
NHL all V 35-36 (.493) 54-17 (.761)
NHL Finals all 25-21 (.543) 42-4 (.913)
NHL Finals H 16-19 (.457) 33-2 (.943)
NHL Finals V 9-2 (.818) 9-2 (.818)
NHL Semis all 41-34 (.547) 68-7 (.907)
NHL Semis H 32-27 (.542) 53-6 (.898)
NHL Semis V 9-7 (.563) 15-1 (.938)
NHL Qtrs all 57-39 (.594) 80-16 (.833)
NHL Qtrs H 48-28 (.632) 66-10 (.868)
NHL Qtrs V 9-11 (.450) 14-6 (.700)
NHL Prelim all 39-51 (.433) 76-14 (.844)
NHL Prelim H 31-35 (.470) 60-6 (.909)
NHL Prelim V 8-16 (.333) 16-8 (.667)