WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-NIL)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .8125 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2015.

sport round site Game 3 rec. series rec.
all all all 335-359 (.483) 617-77 (.889)
all all H 255-297 (.462) 499-53 (.904)
all all V 80-62 (.563) 118-24 (.831)
all Finals all 63-69 (.477) 114-18 (.864)
all Finals H 43-60 (.417) 90-13 (.874)
all Finals V 20-9 (.690) 24-5 (.828)
all Semis all 83-92 (.474) 161-14 (.920)
all Semis H 56-75 (.427) 118-13 (.901)
all Semis V 27-17 (.614) 43-1 (.977)
all Qtrs all 108-106 (.505) 193-21 (.902)
all Qtrs H 88-91 (.492) 166-13 (.927)
all Qtrs V 20-15 (.571) 27-8 (.771)
all Prelim all 81-92 (.468) 149-24 (.861)
all Prelim H 68-71 (.489) 125-14 (.899)
all Prelim V 13-21 (.382) 24-10 (.706)
MLB all all 35-44 (.443) 66-13 (.835)
MLB all H 19-34 (.358) 43-10 (.811)
MLB all V 16-10 (.615) 23-3 (.885)
MLB Finals all 24-28 (.462) 42-10 (.808)
MLB Finals H 16-22 (.421) 31-7 (.816)
MLB Finals V 8-6 (.571) 11-3 (.786)
MLB Semis all 11-16 (.407) 24-3 (.889)
MLB Semis H 3-12 (.200) 12-3 (.800)
MLB Semis V 8-4 (.667) 12-0 (1.000)
NBA all all 118-152 (.437) 254-16 (.941)
NBA all H 100-139 (.418) 226-13 (.946)
NBA all V 18-13 (.581) 28-3 (.903)
NBA Finals all 12-19 (.387) 28-3 (.903)
NBA Finals H 10-18 (.357) 25-3 (.893)
NBA Finals V 2-1 (.667) 3-0 (1.000)
NBA Semis all 29-39 (.426) 64-4 (.941)
NBA Semis H 21-34 (.382) 51-4 (.927)
NBA Semis V 8-5 (.615) 13-0 (1.000)
NBA Qtrs all 44-61 (.419) 100-5 (.952)
NBA Qtrs H 37-58 (.389) 92-3 (.968)
NBA Qtrs V 7-3 (.700) 8-2 (.800)
NBA Prelim all 33-33 (.500) 62-4 (.939)
NBA Prelim H 32-29 (.525) 58-3 (.951)
NBA Prelim V 1-4 (.200) 4-1 (.800)
NHL all all 182-163 (.528) 297-48 (.861)
NHL all H 136-124 (.523) 230-30 (.885)
NHL all V 46-39 (.541) 67-18 (.788)
NHL Finals all 27-22 (.551) 44-5 (.898)
NHL Finals H 17-20 (.459) 34-3 (.919)
NHL Finals V 10-2 (.833) 10-2 (.833)
NHL Semis all 43-37 (.538) 73-7 (.913)
NHL Semis H 32-29 (.525) 55-6 (.902)
NHL Semis V 11-8 (.579) 18-1 (.947)
NHL Qtrs all 64-45 (.587) 93-16 (.853)
NHL Qtrs H 51-33 (.607) 74-10 (.881)
NHL Qtrs V 13-12 (.520) 19-6 (.760)
NHL Prelim all 48-59 (.449) 87-20 (.813)
NHL Prelim H 36-42 (.462) 67-11 (.859)
NHL Prelim V 12-17 (.414) 20-9 (.690)