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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-NIL)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .8125 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2022.
sport |
round |
site |
Game 3 rec. |
series rec. |
all |
all |
all |
389-429 (.476) |
724-94 (.885) |
all |
all |
H |
295-349 (.458) |
579-65 (.899) |
all |
all |
V |
94-80 (.540) |
145-29 (.833) |
all |
Finals |
all |
66-77 (.462) |
123-20 (.860) |
all |
Finals |
H |
46-67 (.407) |
98-15 (.867) |
all |
Finals |
V |
20-10 (.667) |
25-5 (.833) |
all |
Semis |
all |
93-105 (.470) |
180-18 (.909) |
all |
Semis |
H |
65-84 (.436) |
133-16 (.893) |
all |
Semis |
V |
28-21 (.571) |
47-2 (.959) |
all |
Qtrs |
all |
118-123 (.490) |
214-27 (.888) |
all |
Qtrs |
H |
93-103 (.474) |
178-18 (.908) |
all |
Qtrs |
V |
25-20 (.556) |
36-9 (.800) |
all |
Prelim |
all |
112-124 (.475) |
207-29 (.877) |
all |
Prelim |
H |
91-95 (.489) |
170-16 (.914) |
all |
Prelim |
V |
21-29 (.420) |
37-13 (.740) |
MLB |
all |
all |
40-49 (.449) |
75-14 (.843) |
MLB |
all |
H |
23-37 (.383) |
50-10 (.833) |
MLB |
all |
V |
17-12 (.586) |
25-4 (.862) |
MLB |
Finals |
all |
24-30 (.444) |
44-10 (.815) |
MLB |
Finals |
H |
16-23 (.410) |
32-7 (.821) |
MLB |
Finals |
V |
8-7 (.533) |
12-3 (.800) |
MLB |
Semis |
all |
16-19 (.457) |
31-4 (.886) |
MLB |
Semis |
H |
7-14 (.333) |
18-3 (.857) |
MLB |
Semis |
V |
9-5 (.643) |
13-1 (.929) |
NBA |
all |
all |
147-187 (.440) |
308-26 (.922) |
NBA |
all |
H |
125-169 (.425) |
273-21 (.929) |
NBA |
all |
V |
22-18 (.550) |
35-5 (.875) |
NBA |
Finals |
all |
14-22 (.389) |
31-5 (.861) |
NBA |
Finals |
H |
12-21 (.364) |
28-5 (.848) |
NBA |
Finals |
V |
2-1 (.667) |
3-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Semis |
all |
32-46 (.410) |
72-6 (.923) |
NBA |
Semis |
H |
24-39 (.381) |
57-6 (.905) |
NBA |
Semis |
V |
8-7 (.533) |
15-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
51-70 (.421) |
113-8 (.934) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
42-66 (.389) |
102-6 (.944) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
9-4 (.692) |
11-2 (.846) |
NBA |
Prelim |
all |
50-49 (.505) |
92-7 (.929) |
NBA |
Prelim |
H |
47-43 (.522) |
86-4 (.956) |
NBA |
Prelim |
V |
3-6 (.333) |
6-3 (.667) |
NHL |
all |
all |
202-193 (.511) |
341-54 (.863) |
NHL |
all |
H |
147-143 (.507) |
256-34 (.883) |
NHL |
all |
V |
55-50 (.524) |
85-20 (.810) |
NHL |
Finals |
all |
28-25 (.528) |
48-5 (.906) |
NHL |
Finals |
H |
18-23 (.439) |
38-3 (.927) |
NHL |
Finals |
V |
10-2 (.833) |
10-2 (.833) |
NHL |
Semis |
all |
45-40 (.529) |
77-8 (.906) |
NHL |
Semis |
H |
34-31 (.523) |
58-7 (.892) |
NHL |
Semis |
V |
11-9 (.550) |
19-1 (.950) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
67-53 (.558) |
101-19 (.842) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
51-37 (.580) |
76-12 (.864) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
16-16 (.500) |
25-7 (.781) |
NHL |
Prelim |
all |
62-75 (.453) |
115-22 (.839) |
NHL |
Prelim |
H |
44-52 (.458) |
84-12 (.875) |
NHL |
Prelim |
V |
18-23 (.439) |
31-10 (.756) |
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