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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-NIL)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .8125 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2007.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 3 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
263-289 (.476) |
489-63 (.886) |
| all |
all |
H |
202-237 (.460) |
398-41 (.907) |
| all |
all |
V |
61-52 (.540) |
91-22 (.805) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
60-61 (.496) |
105-16 (.868) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
41-52 (.441) |
82-11 (.882) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
19-9 (.679) |
23-5 (.821) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
70-77 (.476) |
134-13 (.912) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
50-61 (.450) |
99-12 (.892) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
20-16 (.556) |
35-1 (.972) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
88-92 (.489) |
162-18 (.900) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
74-78 (.487) |
142-10 (.934) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
14-14 (.500) |
20-8 (.714) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
45-59 (.433) |
88-16 (.846) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
37-46 (.446) |
75-8 (.904) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
8-13 (.381) |
13-8 (.619) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
31-37 (.456) |
55-13 (.809) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
17-27 (.386) |
34-10 (.773) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
14-10 (.583) |
21-3 (.875) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
23-26 (.469) |
39-10 (.796) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
15-20 (.429) |
28-7 (.800) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
8-6 (.571) |
11-3 (.786) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
8-11 (.421) |
16-3 (.842) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
2-7 (.222) |
6-3 (.667) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
6-4 (.600) |
10-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
83-121 (.407) |
191-13 (.936) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
69-111 (.383) |
170-10 (.944) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
14-10 (.583) |
21-3 (.875) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
12-17 (.414) |
26-3 (.897) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
10-16 (.385) |
23-3 (.885) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
2-1 (.667) |
3-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
25-34 (.424) |
56-3 (.949) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
19-29 (.396) |
45-3 (.938) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
6-5 (.545) |
11-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
36-54 (.400) |
86-4 (.956) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
30-51 (.370) |
79-2 (.975) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
6-3 (.667) |
7-2 (.778) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
10-16 (.385) |
23-3 (.885) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
10-15 (.400) |
23-2 (.920) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
0-1 (.000) |
0-1 (.000) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
149-131 (.532) |
243-37 (.868) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
116-99 (.540) |
194-21 (.902) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
33-32 (.508) |
49-16 (.754) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
25-18 (.581) |
40-3 (.930) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
16-16 (.500) |
31-1 (.969) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
9-2 (.818) |
9-2 (.818) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
37-32 (.536) |
62-7 (.899) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
29-25 (.537) |
48-6 (.889) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
8-7 (.533) |
14-1 (.933) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
52-38 (.578) |
76-14 (.844) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
44-27 (.620) |
63-8 (.887) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
8-11 (.421) |
13-6 (.684) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
35-43 (.449) |
65-13 (.833) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
27-31 (.466) |
52-6 (.897) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
8-12 (.400) |
13-7 (.650) |
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