WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-NIL)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .8125 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2018.

sport round site Game 3 rec. series rec.
all all all 358-395 (.475) 670-83 (.890)
all all H 273-325 (.457) 542-56 (.906)
all all V 85-70 (.548) 128-27 (.826)
all Finals all 65-73 (.471) 119-19 (.862)
all Finals H 45-64 (.413) 95-14 (.872)
all Finals V 20-9 (.690) 24-5 (.828)
all Semis all 86-97 (.470) 168-15 (.918)
all Semis H 59-78 (.431) 123-14 (.898)
all Semis V 27-19 (.587) 45-1 (.978)
all Qtrs all 113-113 (.500) 204-22 (.903)
all Qtrs H 92-96 (.489) 175-13 (.931)
all Qtrs V 21-17 (.553) 29-9 (.763)
all Prelim all 94-112 (.456) 179-27 (.869)
all Prelim H 77-87 (.470) 149-15 (.909)
all Prelim V 17-25 (.405) 30-12 (.714)
MLB all all 37-46 (.446) 70-13 (.843)
MLB all H 21-36 (.368) 47-10 (.825)
MLB all V 16-10 (.615) 23-3 (.885)
MLB Finals all 24-29 (.453) 43-10 (.811)
MLB Finals H 16-23 (.410) 32-7 (.821)
MLB Finals V 8-6 (.571) 11-3 (.786)
MLB Semis all 13-17 (.433) 27-3 (.900)
MLB Semis H 5-13 (.278) 15-3 (.833)
MLB Semis V 8-4 (.667) 12-0 (1.000)
NBA all all 132-170 (.437) 282-20 (.934)
NBA all H 112-155 (.419) 251-16 (.940)
NBA all V 20-15 (.571) 31-4 (.886)
NBA Finals all 14-20 (.412) 30-4 (.882)
NBA Finals H 12-19 (.387) 27-4 (.871)
NBA Finals V 2-1 (.667) 3-0 (1.000)
NBA Semis all 30-42 (.417) 67-5 (.931)
NBA Semis H 22-36 (.379) 53-5 (.914)
NBA Semis V 8-6 (.571) 14-0 (1.000)
NBA Qtrs all 49-64 (.434) 108-5 (.956)
NBA Qtrs H 41-61 (.402) 99-3 (.971)
NBA Qtrs V 8-3 (.727) 9-2 (.818)
NBA Prelim all 39-44 (.470) 77-6 (.928)
NBA Prelim H 37-39 (.487) 72-4 (.947)
NBA Prelim V 2-5 (.286) 5-2 (.714)
NHL all all 189-179 (.514) 318-50 (.864)
NHL all H 140-134 (.511) 244-30 (.891)
NHL all V 49-45 (.521) 74-20 (.787)
NHL Finals all 27-24 (.529) 46-5 (.902)
NHL Finals H 17-22 (.436) 36-3 (.923)
NHL Finals V 10-2 (.833) 10-2 (.833)
NHL Semis all 43-38 (.531) 74-7 (.914)
NHL Semis H 32-29 (.525) 55-6 (.902)
NHL Semis V 11-9 (.550) 19-1 (.950)
NHL Qtrs all 64-49 (.566) 96-17 (.850)
NHL Qtrs H 51-35 (.593) 76-10 (.884)
NHL Qtrs V 13-14 (.481) 20-7 (.741)
NHL Prelim all 55-68 (.447) 102-21 (.829)
NHL Prelim H 40-48 (.455) 77-11 (.875)
NHL Prelim V 15-20 (.429) 25-10 (.714)