WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-NIL)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .8125 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2014.

sport round site Game 3 rec. series rec.
all all all 322-355 (.476) 600-77 (.886)
all all H 245-293 (.455) 485-53 (.901)
all all V 77-62 (.554) 115-24 (.827)
all Finals all 63-68 (.481) 113-18 (.863)
all Finals H 43-59 (.422) 89-13 (.873)
all Finals V 20-9 (.690) 24-5 (.828)
all Semis all 80-91 (.468) 157-14 (.918)
all Semis H 54-74 (.422) 115-13 (.898)
all Semis V 26-17 (.605) 42-1 (.977)
all Qtrs all 106-105 (.502) 190-21 (.900)
all Qtrs H 87-90 (.492) 164-13 (.927)
all Qtrs V 19-15 (.559) 26-8 (.765)
all Prelim all 73-91 (.445) 140-24 (.854)
all Prelim H 61-70 (.466) 117-14 (.893)
all Prelim V 12-21 (.364) 23-10 (.697)
MLB all all 34-42 (.447) 63-13 (.829)
MLB all H 18-32 (.360) 40-10 (.800)
MLB all V 16-10 (.615) 23-3 (.885)
MLB Finals all 24-27 (.471) 41-10 (.804)
MLB Finals H 16-21 (.432) 30-7 (.811)
MLB Finals V 8-6 (.571) 11-3 (.786)
MLB Semis all 10-15 (.400) 22-3 (.880)
MLB Semis H 2-11 (.154) 10-3 (.769)
MLB Semis V 8-4 (.667) 12-0 (1.000)
NBA all all 110-151 (.421) 245-16 (.939)
NBA all H 94-138 (.405) 219-13 (.944)
NBA all V 16-13 (.552) 26-3 (.897)
NBA Finals all 12-19 (.387) 28-3 (.903)
NBA Finals H 10-18 (.357) 25-3 (.893)
NBA Finals V 2-1 (.667) 3-0 (1.000)
NBA Semis all 27-39 (.409) 62-4 (.939)
NBA Semis H 20-34 (.370) 50-4 (.926)
NBA Semis V 7-5 (.583) 12-0 (1.000)
NBA Qtrs all 44-61 (.419) 100-5 (.952)
NBA Qtrs H 37-58 (.389) 92-3 (.968)
NBA Qtrs V 7-3 (.700) 8-2 (.800)
NBA Prelim all 27-32 (.458) 55-4 (.932)
NBA Prelim H 27-28 (.491) 52-3 (.945)
NBA Prelim V 0-4 (.000) 3-1 (.750)
NHL all all 178-162 (.524) 292-48 (.859)
NHL all H 133-123 (.520) 226-30 (.883)
NHL all V 45-39 (.536) 66-18 (.786)
NHL Finals all 27-22 (.551) 44-5 (.898)
NHL Finals H 17-20 (.459) 34-3 (.919)
NHL Finals V 10-2 (.833) 10-2 (.833)
NHL Semis all 43-37 (.538) 73-7 (.913)
NHL Semis H 32-29 (.525) 55-6 (.902)
NHL Semis V 11-8 (.579) 18-1 (.947)
NHL Qtrs all 62-44 (.585) 90-16 (.849)
NHL Qtrs H 50-32 (.610) 72-10 (.878)
NHL Qtrs V 12-12 (.500) 18-6 (.750)
NHL Prelim all 46-59 (.438) 85-20 (.810)
NHL Prelim H 34-42 (.447) 65-11 (.855)
NHL Prelim V 12-17 (.414) 20-9 (.690)