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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-NIL)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .8125 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2010.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 3 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
287-324 (.470) |
543-68 (.889) |
| all |
all |
H |
223-267 (.455) |
445-45 (.908) |
| all |
all |
V |
64-57 (.529) |
98-23 (.810) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
60-67 (.472) |
110-17 (.866) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
41-58 (.414) |
87-12 (.879) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
19-9 (.679) |
23-5 (.821) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
75-83 (.475) |
145-13 (.918) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
53-67 (.442) |
108-12 (.900) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
22-16 (.579) |
37-1 (.974) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
98-97 (.503) |
174-21 (.892) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
83-83 (.500) |
153-13 (.922) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
15-14 (.517) |
21-8 (.724) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
54-77 (.412) |
114-17 (.870) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
46-59 (.438) |
97-8 (.924) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
8-18 (.308) |
17-9 (.654) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
31-40 (.437) |
58-13 (.817) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
17-30 (.362) |
37-10 (.787) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
14-10 (.583) |
21-3 (.875) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
23-27 (.460) |
40-10 (.800) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
15-21 (.417) |
29-7 (.806) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
8-6 (.571) |
11-3 (.786) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
8-13 (.381) |
18-3 (.857) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
2-9 (.182) |
8-3 (.727) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
6-4 (.600) |
10-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
94-139 (.403) |
219-14 (.940) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
79-128 (.382) |
196-11 (.947) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
15-11 (.577) |
23-3 (.885) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
12-19 (.387) |
28-3 (.903) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
10-18 (.357) |
25-3 (.893) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
2-1 (.667) |
3-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
26-36 (.419) |
59-3 (.952) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
19-31 (.380) |
47-3 (.940) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
7-5 (.583) |
12-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
41-58 (.414) |
94-5 (.949) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
35-55 (.389) |
87-3 (.967) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
6-3 (.667) |
7-2 (.778) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
15-26 (.366) |
38-3 (.927) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
15-24 (.385) |
37-2 (.949) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
0-2 (.000) |
1-1 (.500) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
162-145 (.528) |
266-41 (.866) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
127-109 (.538) |
212-24 (.898) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
35-36 (.493) |
54-17 (.761) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
25-21 (.543) |
42-4 (.913) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
16-19 (.457) |
33-2 (.943) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
9-2 (.818) |
9-2 (.818) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
41-34 (.547) |
68-7 (.907) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
32-27 (.542) |
53-6 (.898) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
9-7 (.563) |
15-1 (.938) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
57-39 (.594) |
80-16 (.833) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
48-28 (.632) |
66-10 (.868) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
9-11 (.450) |
14-6 (.700) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
39-51 (.433) |
76-14 (.844) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
31-35 (.470) |
60-6 (.909) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
8-16 (.333) |
16-8 (.667) |
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