WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-NIL)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .8125 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2017.

sport round site Game 3 rec. series rec.
all all all 351-383 (.478) 653-81 (.890)
all all H 269-315 (.461) 529-55 (.906)
all all V 82-68 (.547) 124-26 (.827)
all Finals all 64-72 (.471) 117-19 (.860)
all Finals H 44-63 (.411) 93-14 (.869)
all Finals V 20-9 (.690) 24-5 (.828)
all Semis all 86-95 (.475) 167-14 (.923)
all Semis H 59-77 (.434) 123-13 (.904)
all Semis V 27-18 (.600) 44-1 (.978)
all Qtrs all 111-112 (.498) 201-22 (.901)
all Qtrs H 91-95 (.489) 173-13 (.930)
all Qtrs V 20-17 (.541) 28-9 (.757)
all Prelim all 90-104 (.464) 168-26 (.866)
all Prelim H 75-80 (.484) 140-15 (.903)
all Prelim V 15-24 (.385) 28-11 (.718)
MLB all all 37-45 (.451) 69-13 (.841)
MLB all H 21-35 (.375) 46-10 (.821)
MLB all V 16-10 (.615) 23-3 (.885)
MLB Finals all 24-28 (.462) 42-10 (.808)
MLB Finals H 16-22 (.421) 31-7 (.816)
MLB Finals V 8-6 (.571) 11-3 (.786)
MLB Semis all 13-17 (.433) 27-3 (.900)
MLB Semis H 5-13 (.278) 15-3 (.833)
MLB Semis V 8-4 (.667) 12-0 (1.000)
NBA all all 127-165 (.435) 273-19 (.935)
NBA all H 109-150 (.421) 244-15 (.942)
NBA all V 18-15 (.545) 29-4 (.879)
NBA Finals all 13-20 (.394) 29-4 (.879)
NBA Finals H 11-19 (.367) 26-4 (.867)
NBA Finals V 2-1 (.667) 3-0 (1.000)
NBA Semis all 30-41 (.423) 67-4 (.944)
NBA Semis H 22-35 (.386) 53-4 (.930)
NBA Semis V 8-6 (.571) 14-0 (1.000)
NBA Qtrs all 47-63 (.427) 105-5 (.955)
NBA Qtrs H 40-60 (.400) 97-3 (.970)
NBA Qtrs V 7-3 (.700) 8-2 (.800)
NBA Prelim all 37-41 (.474) 72-6 (.923)
NBA Prelim H 36-36 (.500) 68-4 (.944)
NBA Prelim V 1-5 (.167) 4-2 (.667)
NHL all all 187-173 (.519) 311-49 (.864)
NHL all H 139-130 (.517) 239-30 (.888)
NHL all V 48-43 (.527) 72-19 (.791)
NHL Finals all 27-24 (.529) 46-5 (.902)
NHL Finals H 17-22 (.436) 36-3 (.923)
NHL Finals V 10-2 (.833) 10-2 (.833)
NHL Semis all 43-37 (.538) 73-7 (.913)
NHL Semis H 32-29 (.525) 55-6 (.902)
NHL Semis V 11-8 (.579) 18-1 (.947)
NHL Qtrs all 64-49 (.566) 96-17 (.850)
NHL Qtrs H 51-35 (.593) 76-10 (.884)
NHL Qtrs V 13-14 (.481) 20-7 (.741)
NHL Prelim all 53-63 (.457) 96-20 (.828)
NHL Prelim H 39-44 (.470) 72-11 (.867)
NHL Prelim V 14-19 (.424) 24-9 (.727)