WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-NIL)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .8125 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2016.

sport round site Game 3 rec. series rec.
all all all 340-372 (.478) 633-79 (.889)
all all H 260-308 (.458) 513-55 (.903)
all all V 80-64 (.556) 120-24 (.833)
all Finals all 63-71 (.470) 115-19 (.858)
all Finals H 43-62 (.410) 91-14 (.867)
all Finals V 20-9 (.690) 24-5 (.828)
all Semis all 84-93 (.475) 163-14 (.921)
all Semis H 57-76 (.429) 120-13 (.902)
all Semis V 27-17 (.614) 43-1 (.977)
all Qtrs all 109-108 (.502) 196-21 (.903)
all Qtrs H 89-93 (.489) 169-13 (.929)
all Qtrs V 20-15 (.571) 27-8 (.771)
all Prelim all 84-100 (.457) 159-25 (.864)
all Prelim H 71-77 (.480) 133-15 (.899)
all Prelim V 13-23 (.361) 26-10 (.722)
MLB all all 36-44 (.450) 67-13 (.838)
MLB all H 20-34 (.370) 44-10 (.815)
MLB all V 16-10 (.615) 23-3 (.885)
MLB Finals all 24-28 (.462) 42-10 (.808)
MLB Finals H 16-22 (.421) 31-7 (.816)
MLB Finals V 8-6 (.571) 11-3 (.786)
MLB Semis all 12-16 (.429) 25-3 (.893)
MLB Semis H 4-12 (.250) 13-3 (.813)
MLB Semis V 8-4 (.667) 12-0 (1.000)
NBA all all 121-159 (.432) 262-18 (.936)
NBA all H 103-146 (.414) 234-15 (.940)
NBA all V 18-13 (.581) 28-3 (.903)
NBA Finals all 12-20 (.375) 28-4 (.875)
NBA Finals H 10-19 (.345) 25-4 (.862)
NBA Finals V 2-1 (.667) 3-0 (1.000)
NBA Semis all 29-40 (.420) 65-4 (.942)
NBA Semis H 21-35 (.375) 52-4 (.929)
NBA Semis V 8-5 (.615) 13-0 (1.000)
NBA Qtrs all 45-62 (.421) 102-5 (.953)
NBA Qtrs H 38-59 (.392) 94-3 (.969)
NBA Qtrs V 7-3 (.700) 8-2 (.800)
NBA Prelim all 35-37 (.486) 67-5 (.931)
NBA Prelim H 34-33 (.507) 63-4 (.940)
NBA Prelim V 1-4 (.200) 4-1 (.800)
NHL all all 183-169 (.520) 304-48 (.864)
NHL all H 137-128 (.517) 235-30 (.887)
NHL all V 46-41 (.529) 69-18 (.793)
NHL Finals all 27-23 (.540) 45-5 (.900)
NHL Finals H 17-21 (.447) 35-3 (.921)
NHL Finals V 10-2 (.833) 10-2 (.833)
NHL Semis all 43-37 (.538) 73-7 (.913)
NHL Semis H 32-29 (.525) 55-6 (.902)
NHL Semis V 11-8 (.579) 18-1 (.947)
NHL Qtrs all 64-46 (.582) 94-16 (.855)
NHL Qtrs H 51-34 (.600) 75-10 (.882)
NHL Qtrs V 13-12 (.520) 19-6 (.760)
NHL Prelim all 49-63 (.438) 92-20 (.821)
NHL Prelim H 37-44 (.457) 70-11 (.864)
NHL Prelim V 12-19 (.387) 22-9 (.710)