WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-NIL)

Follow this link for specific series information wherein a 2-games-nil lead now exists:
Series 1196: Ottawa(0) vs. Pittsburgh(2)
Series 1199: San Jose(0) vs. Los Angeles(2)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .8125 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2012.

sport round site Game 3 rec. series rec.
all all all 308-336 (.478) 573-71 (.890)
all all H 235-278 (.458) 466-47 (.908)
all all V 73-58 (.557) 107-24 (.817)
all Finals all 62-68 (.477) 112-18 (.862)
all Finals H 42-59 (.416) 88-13 (.871)
all Finals V 20-9 (.690) 24-5 (.828)
all Semis all 77-87 (.470) 150-14 (.915)
all Semis H 53-71 (.427) 111-13 (.895)
all Semis V 24-16 (.600) 39-1 (.975)
all Qtrs all 104-100 (.510) 183-21 (.897)
all Qtrs H 85-86 (.497) 158-13 (.924)
all Qtrs V 19-14 (.576) 25-8 (.758)
all Prelim all 65-81 (.445) 128-18 (.877)
all Prelim H 55-62 (.470) 109-8 (.932)
all Prelim V 10-19 (.345) 19-10 (.655)
MLB all all 33-41 (.446) 61-13 (.824)
MLB all H 18-31 (.367) 39-10 (.796)
MLB all V 15-10 (.600) 22-3 (.880)
MLB Finals all 24-27 (.471) 41-10 (.804)
MLB Finals H 16-21 (.432) 30-7 (.811)
MLB Finals V 8-6 (.571) 11-3 (.786)
MLB Semis all 9-14 (.391) 20-3 (.870)
MLB Semis H 2-10 (.167) 9-3 (.750)
MLB Semis V 7-4 (.636) 11-0 (1.000)
NBA all all 103-145 (.415) 233-15 (.940)
NBA all H 87-134 (.394) 209-12 (.946)
NBA all V 16-11 (.593) 24-3 (.889)
NBA Finals all 12-19 (.387) 28-3 (.903)
NBA Finals H 10-18 (.357) 25-3 (.893)
NBA Finals V 2-1 (.667) 3-0 (1.000)
NBA Semis all 26-38 (.406) 60-4 (.938)
NBA Semis H 19-33 (.365) 48-4 (.923)
NBA Semis V 7-5 (.583) 12-0 (1.000)
NBA Qtrs all 43-60 (.417) 98-5 (.951)
NBA Qtrs H 36-57 (.387) 90-3 (.968)
NBA Qtrs V 7-3 (.700) 8-2 (.800)
NBA Prelim all 22-28 (.440) 47-3 (.940)
NBA Prelim H 22-26 (.458) 46-2 (.958)
NBA Prelim V 0-2 (.000) 1-1 (.500)
NHL all all 172-150 (.534) 279-43 (.866)
NHL all H 130-113 (.535) 218-25 (.897)
NHL all V 42-37 (.532) 61-18 (.772)
NHL Finals all 26-22 (.542) 43-5 (.896)
NHL Finals H 16-20 (.444) 33-3 (.917)
NHL Finals V 10-2 (.833) 10-2 (.833)
NHL Semis all 42-35 (.545) 70-7 (.909)
NHL Semis H 32-28 (.533) 54-6 (.900)
NHL Semis V 10-7 (.588) 16-1 (.941)
NHL Qtrs all 61-40 (.604) 85-16 (.842)
NHL Qtrs H 49-29 (.628) 68-10 (.872)
NHL Qtrs V 12-11 (.522) 17-6 (.739)
NHL Prelim all 43-53 (.448) 81-15 (.844)
NHL Prelim H 33-36 (.478) 63-6 (.913)
NHL Prelim V 10-17 (.370) 18-9 (.667)