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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-1)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to 1. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-1 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-1 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .6875 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2009.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 4 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
402-408 (.496) |
604-206 (.746) |
| all |
all |
H |
241-259 (.482) |
408-92 (.816) |
| all |
all |
V |
161-149 (.519) |
196-114 (.632) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
90-84 (.517) |
135-39 (.776) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
54-56 (.491) |
92-18 (.836) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
36-28 (.563) |
43-21 (.672) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
108-109 (.498) |
169-48 (.779) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
63-67 (.485) |
108-22 (.831) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
45-42 (.517) |
61-26 (.701) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
114-125 (.477) |
178-61 (.745) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
72-80 (.474) |
126-26 (.829) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
42-45 (.483) |
52-35 (.598) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
90-90 (.500) |
122-58 (.678) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
52-56 (.481) |
82-26 (.759) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
38-34 (.528) |
40-32 (.556) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
66-52 (.559) |
83-35 (.703) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
34-28 (.548) |
46-16 (.742) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
32-24 (.571) |
37-19 (.661) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
39-39 (.500) |
53-25 (.679) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
18-23 (.439) |
29-12 (.707) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
21-16 (.568) |
24-13 (.649) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
27-13 (.675) |
30-10 (.750) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
16-5 (.762) |
17-4 (.810) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
11-8 (.579) |
13-6 (.684) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
154-151 (.505) |
250-55 (.820) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
100-113 (.469) |
190-23 (.892) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
54-38 (.587) |
60-32 (.652) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
26-25 (.510) |
44-7 (.863) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
18-19 (.486) |
33-4 (.892) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
8-6 (.571) |
11-3 (.786) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
37-44 (.457) |
64-17 (.790) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
20-32 (.385) |
44-8 (.846) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
17-12 (.586) |
20-9 (.690) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
65-65 (.500) |
109-21 (.838) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
44-51 (.463) |
87-8 (.916) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
21-14 (.600) |
22-13 (.629) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
26-17 (.605) |
33-10 (.767) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
18-11 (.621) |
26-3 (.897) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
8-6 (.571) |
7-7 (.500) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
182-205 (.470) |
271-116 (.700) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
107-118 (.476) |
172-53 (.764) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
75-87 (.463) |
99-63 (.611) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
25-20 (.556) |
38-7 (.844) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
18-14 (.563) |
30-2 (.938) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
7-6 (.538) |
8-5 (.615) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
44-52 (.458) |
75-21 (.781) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
27-30 (.474) |
47-10 (.825) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
17-22 (.436) |
28-11 (.718) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
49-60 (.450) |
69-40 (.633) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
28-29 (.491) |
39-18 (.684) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
21-31 (.404) |
30-22 (.577) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
64-73 (.467) |
89-48 (.650) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
34-45 (.430) |
56-23 (.709) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
30-28 (.517) |
33-25 (.569) |
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