WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-1)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to 1. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-1 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-1 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .6875 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2015.

Series 1315: Oklahoma City(2) vs. Golden State(1)
sport round site Game 4 rec. series rec.
all all all 469-482 (.493) 701-250 (.737)
all all H 278-307 (.475) 472-113 (.807)
all all V 191-175 (.522) 229-137 (.626)
all Finals all 94-95 (.497) 142-47 (.751)
all Finals H 57-63 (.475) 98-22 (.817)
all Finals V 37-32 (.536) 44-25 (.638)
all Semis all 123-120 (.506) 191-52 (.786)
all Semis H 71-76 (.483) 122-25 (.830)
all Semis V 52-44 (.542) 69-27 (.719)
all Qtrs all 131-141 (.482) 200-72 (.735)
all Qtrs H 83-89 (.483) 143-29 (.831)
all Qtrs V 48-52 (.480) 57-43 (.570)
all Prelim all 121-126 (.490) 168-79 (.680)
all Prelim H 67-79 (.459) 109-37 (.747)
all Prelim V 54-47 (.535) 59-42 (.584)
MLB all all 75-57 (.568) 94-38 (.712)
MLB all H 40-31 (.563) 54-17 (.761)
MLB all V 35-26 (.574) 40-21 (.656)
MLB Finals all 41-42 (.494) 56-27 (.675)
MLB Finals H 20-25 (.444) 32-13 (.711)
MLB Finals V 21-17 (.553) 24-14 (.632)
MLB Semis all 34-15 (.694) 38-11 (.776)
MLB Semis H 20-6 (.769) 22-4 (.846)
MLB Semis V 14-9 (.609) 16-7 (.696)
NBA all all 181-184 (.496) 294-71 (.805)
NBA all H 110-134 (.451) 217-27 (.889)
NBA all V 71-50 (.587) 77-44 (.636)
NBA Finals all 28-29 (.491) 47-10 (.825)
NBA Finals H 19-21 (.475) 35-5 (.875)
NBA Finals V 9-8 (.529) 12-5 (.706)
NBA Semis all 40-49 (.449) 71-18 (.798)
NBA Semis H 21-37 (.362) 49-9 (.845)
NBA Semis V 19-12 (.613) 22-9 (.710)
NBA Qtrs all 73-75 (.493) 120-28 (.811)
NBA Qtrs H 49-56 (.467) 96-9 (.914)
NBA Qtrs V 24-19 (.558) 24-19 (.558)
NBA Prelim all 40-31 (.563) 56-15 (.789)
NBA Prelim H 21-20 (.512) 37-4 (.902)
NBA Prelim V 19-11 (.633) 19-11 (.633)
NHL all all 213-241 (.469) 313-141 (.689)
NHL all H 128-142 (.474) 201-69 (.744)
NHL all V 85-99 (.462) 112-72 (.609)
NHL Finals all 25-24 (.510) 39-10 (.796)
NHL Finals H 18-17 (.514) 31-4 (.886)
NHL Finals V 7-7 (.500) 8-6 (.571)
NHL Semis all 49-56 (.467) 82-23 (.781)
NHL Semis H 30-33 (.476) 51-12 (.810)
NHL Semis V 19-23 (.452) 31-11 (.738)
NHL Qtrs all 58-66 (.468) 80-44 (.645)
NHL Qtrs H 34-33 (.507) 47-20 (.701)
NHL Qtrs V 24-33 (.421) 33-24 (.579)
NHL Prelim all 81-95 (.460) 112-64 (.636)
NHL Prelim H 46-59 (.438) 72-33 (.686)
NHL Prelim V 35-36 (.493) 40-31 (.563)