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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-1)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to 1. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-1 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-1 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .6875 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2007.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 4 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
372-387 (.490) |
565-194 (.744) |
| all |
all |
H |
224-244 (.479) |
382-86 (.816) |
| all |
all |
V |
148-143 (.509) |
183-108 (.629) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
85-83 (.506) |
130-38 (.774) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
50-55 (.476) |
88-17 (.838) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
35-28 (.556) |
42-21 (.667) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
101-107 (.486) |
160-48 (.769) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
58-65 (.472) |
101-22 (.821) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
43-42 (.506) |
59-26 (.694) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
111-117 (.487) |
171-57 (.750) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
71-74 (.490) |
122-23 (.841) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
40-43 (.482) |
49-34 (.590) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
75-80 (.484) |
104-51 (.671) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
45-50 (.474) |
71-24 (.747) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
30-30 (.500) |
33-27 (.550) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
60-52 (.536) |
77-35 (.688) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
30-28 (.517) |
42-16 (.724) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
30-24 (.556) |
35-19 (.648) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
37-39 (.487) |
51-25 (.671) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
17-23 (.425) |
28-12 (.700) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
20-16 (.556) |
23-13 (.639) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
23-13 (.639) |
26-10 (.722) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
13-5 (.722) |
14-4 (.778) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
10-8 (.556) |
12-6 (.667) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
141-139 (.504) |
229-51 (.818) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
91-105 (.464) |
174-22 (.888) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
50-34 (.595) |
55-29 (.655) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
24-25 (.490) |
42-7 (.857) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
16-19 (.457) |
31-4 (.886) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
8-6 (.571) |
11-3 (.786) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
35-42 (.455) |
60-17 (.779) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
19-30 (.388) |
41-8 (.837) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
16-12 (.571) |
19-9 (.679) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
64-60 (.516) |
104-20 (.839) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
43-47 (.478) |
83-7 (.922) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
21-13 (.618) |
21-13 (.618) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
18-12 (.600) |
23-7 (.767) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
13-9 (.591) |
19-3 (.864) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
5-3 (.625) |
4-4 (.500) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
171-196 (.466) |
259-108 (.706) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
103-111 (.481) |
166-48 (.776) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
68-85 (.444) |
93-60 (.608) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
24-19 (.558) |
37-6 (.860) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
17-13 (.567) |
29-1 (.967) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
7-6 (.538) |
8-5 (.615) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
43-52 (.453) |
74-21 (.779) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
26-30 (.464) |
46-10 (.821) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
17-22 (.436) |
28-11 (.718) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
47-57 (.452) |
67-37 (.644) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
28-27 (.509) |
39-16 (.709) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
19-30 (.388) |
28-21 (.571) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
57-68 (.456) |
81-44 (.648) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
32-41 (.438) |
52-21 (.712) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
25-27 (.481) |
29-23 (.558) |
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