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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-1)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to 1. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-1 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-1 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .6875 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2012.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 4 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
438-441 (.498) |
655-224 (.745) |
| all |
all |
H |
263-284 (.481) |
444-103 (.812) |
| all |
all |
V |
175-157 (.527) |
211-121 (.636) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
92-89 (.508) |
140-41 (.773) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
55-61 (.474) |
96-20 (.828) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
37-28 (.569) |
44-21 (.677) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
116-115 (.502) |
180-51 (.779) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
68-72 (.486) |
116-24 (.829) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
48-43 (.527) |
64-27 (.703) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
120-132 (.476) |
187-65 (.742) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
77-85 (.475) |
134-28 (.827) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
43-47 (.478) |
53-37 (.589) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
110-105 (.512) |
148-67 (.688) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
63-66 (.488) |
98-31 (.760) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
47-39 (.547) |
50-36 (.581) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
71-54 (.568) |
89-36 (.712) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
37-29 (.561) |
50-16 (.758) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
34-25 (.576) |
39-20 (.661) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
40-40 (.500) |
55-25 (.688) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
19-24 (.442) |
31-12 (.721) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
21-16 (.568) |
24-13 (.649) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
31-14 (.689) |
34-11 (.756) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
18-5 (.783) |
19-4 (.826) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
13-9 (.591) |
15-7 (.682) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
169-166 (.504) |
275-60 (.821) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
106-126 (.457) |
206-26 (.888) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
63-40 (.612) |
69-34 (.670) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
27-27 (.500) |
46-8 (.852) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
18-21 (.462) |
34-5 (.872) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
9-6 (.600) |
12-3 (.800) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
39-47 (.453) |
68-18 (.791) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
21-35 (.375) |
47-9 (.839) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
18-12 (.600) |
21-9 (.700) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
67-70 (.489) |
113-24 (.825) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
46-54 (.460) |
91-9 (.910) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
21-16 (.568) |
22-15 (.595) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
36-22 (.621) |
48-10 (.828) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
21-16 (.568) |
34-3 (.919) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
15-6 (.714) |
14-7 (.667) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
198-221 (.473) |
291-128 (.695) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
120-129 (.482) |
188-61 (.755) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
78-92 (.459) |
103-67 (.606) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
25-22 (.532) |
39-8 (.830) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
18-16 (.529) |
31-3 (.912) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
7-6 (.538) |
8-5 (.615) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
46-54 (.460) |
78-22 (.780) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
29-32 (.475) |
50-11 (.820) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
17-22 (.436) |
28-11 (.718) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
53-62 (.461) |
74-41 (.643) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
31-31 (.500) |
43-19 (.694) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
22-31 (.415) |
31-22 (.585) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
74-83 (.471) |
100-57 (.637) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
42-50 (.457) |
64-28 (.696) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
32-33 (.492) |
36-29 (.554) |
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