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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-1)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to 1. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-1 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-1 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .6875 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2010.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 4 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
414-420 (.496) |
621-213 (.745) |
| all |
all |
H |
248-268 (.481) |
420-96 (.814) |
| all |
all |
V |
166-152 (.522) |
201-117 (.632) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
91-86 (.514) |
138-39 (.780) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
55-58 (.487) |
95-18 (.841) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
36-28 (.563) |
43-21 (.672) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
111-110 (.502) |
173-48 (.783) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
65-68 (.489) |
111-22 (.835) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
46-42 (.523) |
62-26 (.705) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
115-127 (.475) |
179-63 (.740) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
73-82 (.471) |
127-28 (.819) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
42-45 (.483) |
52-35 (.598) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
97-97 (.500) |
131-63 (.675) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
55-60 (.478) |
87-28 (.757) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
42-37 (.532) |
44-35 (.557) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
69-52 (.570) |
86-35 (.711) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
36-28 (.563) |
48-16 (.750) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
33-24 (.579) |
38-19 (.667) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
40-39 (.506) |
54-25 (.684) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
19-23 (.452) |
30-12 (.714) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
21-16 (.568) |
24-13 (.649) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
29-13 (.690) |
32-10 (.762) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
17-5 (.773) |
18-4 (.818) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
12-8 (.600) |
14-6 (.700) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
157-157 (.500) |
258-56 (.822) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
101-119 (.459) |
196-24 (.891) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
56-38 (.596) |
62-32 (.660) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
26-26 (.500) |
45-7 (.865) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
18-20 (.474) |
34-4 (.895) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
8-6 (.571) |
11-3 (.786) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
37-45 (.451) |
65-17 (.793) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
20-33 (.377) |
45-8 (.849) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
17-12 (.586) |
20-9 (.690) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
65-66 (.496) |
109-22 (.832) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
44-52 (.458) |
87-9 (.906) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
21-14 (.600) |
22-13 (.629) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
29-20 (.592) |
39-10 (.796) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
19-14 (.576) |
30-3 (.909) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
10-6 (.625) |
9-7 (.563) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
188-211 (.471) |
277-122 (.694) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
111-121 (.478) |
176-56 (.759) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
77-90 (.461) |
101-66 (.605) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
25-21 (.543) |
39-7 (.848) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
18-15 (.545) |
31-2 (.939) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
7-6 (.538) |
8-5 (.615) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
45-52 (.464) |
76-21 (.784) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
28-30 (.483) |
48-10 (.828) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
17-22 (.436) |
28-11 (.718) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
50-61 (.450) |
70-41 (.631) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
29-30 (.492) |
40-19 (.678) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
21-31 (.404) |
30-22 (.577) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
68-77 (.469) |
92-53 (.634) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
36-46 (.439) |
57-25 (.695) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
32-31 (.508) |
35-28 (.556) |
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