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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-1)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to 1. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-1 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-1 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .6875 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2025.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 4 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
595-608 (.495) |
879-324 (.731) |
| all |
all |
H |
361-381 (.487) |
591-151 (.796) |
| all |
all |
V |
234-227 (.508) |
288-173 (.625) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
107-106 (.502) |
159-54 (.746) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
68-67 (.504) |
109-26 (.807) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
39-39 (.500) |
50-28 (.641) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
141-144 (.495) |
218-67 (.765) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
80-90 (.471) |
136-34 (.800) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
61-54 (.530) |
82-33 (.713) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
162-178 (.476) |
250-90 (.735) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
99-114 (.465) |
172-41 (.808) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
63-64 (.496) |
78-49 (.614) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
185-180 (.507) |
252-113 (.690) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
114-110 (.509) |
174-50 (.777) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
71-70 (.504) |
78-63 (.553) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
86-69 (.555) |
109-46 (.703) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
48-35 (.578) |
63-20 (.759) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
38-34 (.528) |
46-26 (.639) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
45-47 (.489) |
63-29 (.685) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
23-26 (.469) |
35-14 (.714) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
22-21 (.512) |
28-15 (.651) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
41-22 (.651) |
46-17 (.730) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
25-9 (.735) |
28-6 (.824) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
16-13 (.552) |
18-11 (.621) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
236-238 (.498) |
374-100 (.789) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
147-170 (.464) |
275-42 (.868) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
89-68 (.567) |
99-58 (.631) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
32-32 (.500) |
50-14 (.781) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
23-22 (.511) |
38-7 (.844) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
9-10 (.474) |
12-7 (.632) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
47-55 (.461) |
80-22 (.784) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
24-42 (.364) |
54-12 (.818) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
23-13 (.639) |
26-10 (.722) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
86-95 (.475) |
143-38 (.790) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
57-69 (.452) |
110-16 (.873) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
29-26 (.527) |
33-22 (.600) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
71-56 (.559) |
101-26 (.795) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
43-37 (.538) |
73-7 (.913) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
28-19 (.596) |
28-19 (.596) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
273-301 (.476) |
396-178 (.690) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
166-176 (.485) |
253-89 (.740) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
107-125 (.461) |
143-89 (.616) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
30-27 (.526) |
46-11 (.807) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
22-19 (.537) |
36-5 (.878) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
8-8 (.500) |
10-6 (.625) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
53-67 (.442) |
92-28 (.767) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
31-39 (.443) |
54-16 (.771) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
22-28 (.440) |
38-12 (.760) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
76-83 (.478) |
107-52 (.673) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
42-45 (.483) |
62-25 (.713) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
34-38 (.472) |
45-27 (.625) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
114-124 (.479) |
151-87 (.634) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
71-73 (.493) |
101-43 (.701) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
43-51 (.457) |
50-44 (.532) |
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