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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-1)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to 1. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-1 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-1 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .6875 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2022.
sport |
round |
site |
Game 4 rec. |
series rec. |
all |
all |
all |
551-577 (.488) |
824-304 (.730) |
all |
all |
H |
334-366 (.477) |
559-141 (.799) |
all |
all |
V |
217-211 (.507) |
265-163 (.619) |
all |
Finals |
all |
104-103 (.502) |
154-53 (.744) |
all |
Finals |
H |
65-67 (.492) |
106-26 (.803) |
all |
Finals |
V |
39-36 (.520) |
48-27 (.640) |
all |
Semis |
all |
136-139 (.495) |
212-63 (.771) |
all |
Semis |
H |
77-87 (.470) |
133-31 (.811) |
all |
Semis |
V |
59-52 (.532) |
79-32 (.712) |
all |
Qtrs |
all |
150-168 (.472) |
233-85 (.733) |
all |
Qtrs |
H |
94-108 (.465) |
164-38 (.812) |
all |
Qtrs |
V |
56-60 (.483) |
69-47 (.595) |
all |
Prelim |
all |
161-167 (.491) |
225-103 (.686) |
all |
Prelim |
H |
98-104 (.485) |
156-46 (.772) |
all |
Prelim |
V |
63-63 (.500) |
69-57 (.548) |
MLB |
all |
all |
83-65 (.561) |
104-44 (.703) |
MLB |
all |
H |
45-34 (.570) |
60-19 (.759) |
MLB |
all |
V |
38-31 (.551) |
44-25 (.638) |
MLB |
Finals |
all |
44-46 (.489) |
61-29 (.678) |
MLB |
Finals |
H |
22-26 (.458) |
34-14 (.708) |
MLB |
Finals |
V |
22-20 (.524) |
27-15 (.643) |
MLB |
Semis |
all |
39-19 (.672) |
43-15 (.741) |
MLB |
Semis |
H |
23-8 (.742) |
26-5 (.839) |
MLB |
Semis |
V |
16-11 (.593) |
17-10 (.630) |
NBA |
all |
all |
214-227 (.485) |
346-95 (.785) |
NBA |
all |
H |
136-165 (.452) |
261-40 (.867) |
NBA |
all |
V |
78-62 (.557) |
85-55 (.607) |
NBA |
Finals |
all |
31-31 (.500) |
49-13 (.790) |
NBA |
Finals |
H |
22-22 (.500) |
37-7 (.841) |
NBA |
Finals |
V |
9-9 (.500) |
12-6 (.667) |
NBA |
Semis |
all |
45-55 (.450) |
78-22 (.780) |
NBA |
Semis |
H |
23-42 (.354) |
53-12 (.815) |
NBA |
Semis |
V |
22-13 (.629) |
25-10 (.714) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
80-89 (.473) |
133-36 (.787) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
55-66 (.455) |
106-15 (.876) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
25-23 (.521) |
27-21 (.563) |
NBA |
Prelim |
all |
58-52 (.527) |
86-24 (.782) |
NBA |
Prelim |
H |
36-35 (.507) |
65-6 (.915) |
NBA |
Prelim |
V |
22-17 (.564) |
21-18 (.538) |
NHL |
all |
all |
254-285 (.471) |
374-165 (.694) |
NHL |
all |
H |
153-167 (.478) |
238-82 (.744) |
NHL |
all |
V |
101-118 (.461) |
136-83 (.621) |
NHL |
Finals |
all |
29-26 (.527) |
44-11 (.800) |
NHL |
Finals |
H |
21-19 (.525) |
35-5 (.875) |
NHL |
Finals |
V |
8-7 (.533) |
9-6 (.600) |
NHL |
Semis |
all |
52-65 (.444) |
91-26 (.778) |
NHL |
Semis |
H |
31-37 (.456) |
54-14 (.794) |
NHL |
Semis |
V |
21-28 (.429) |
37-12 (.755) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
70-79 (.470) |
100-49 (.671) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
39-42 (.481) |
58-23 (.716) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
31-37 (.456) |
42-26 (.618) |
NHL |
Prelim |
all |
103-115 (.472) |
139-79 (.638) |
NHL |
Prelim |
H |
62-69 (.473) |
91-40 (.695) |
NHL |
Prelim |
V |
41-46 (.471) |
48-39 (.552) |
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