WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-1)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to 1. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-1 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-1 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .6875 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2013.

sport round site Game 4 rec. series rec.
all all all 450-454 (.498) 672-232 (.743)
all all H 269-294 (.478) 456-107 (.810)
all all V 181-160 (.531) 216-125 (.633)
all Finals all 92-92 (.500) 140-44 (.761)
all Finals H 55-61 (.474) 96-20 (.828)
all Finals V 37-31 (.544) 44-24 (.647)
all Semis all 118-117 (.502) 184-51 (.783)
all Semis H 70-74 (.486) 120-24 (.833)
all Semis V 48-43 (.527) 64-27 (.703)
all Qtrs all 125-134 (.483) 193-66 (.745)
all Qtrs H 79-87 (.476) 138-28 (.831)
all Qtrs V 46-47 (.495) 55-38 (.591)
all Prelim all 115-111 (.509) 155-71 (.686)
all Prelim H 65-72 (.474) 102-35 (.745)
all Prelim V 50-39 (.562) 53-36 (.596)
MLB all all 72-56 (.563) 91-37 (.711)
MLB all H 38-30 (.559) 52-16 (.765)
MLB all V 34-26 (.567) 39-21 (.650)
MLB Finals all 40-41 (.494) 55-26 (.679)
MLB Finals H 19-24 (.442) 31-12 (.721)
MLB Finals V 21-17 (.553) 24-14 (.632)
MLB Semis all 32-15 (.681) 36-11 (.766)
MLB Semis H 19-6 (.760) 21-4 (.840)
MLB Semis V 13-9 (.591) 15-7 (.682)
NBA all all 174-171 (.504) 283-62 (.820)
NBA all H 107-130 (.451) 210-27 (.886)
NBA all V 67-41 (.620) 73-35 (.676)
NBA Finals all 27-28 (.491) 46-9 (.836)
NBA Finals H 18-21 (.462) 34-5 (.872)
NBA Finals V 9-7 (.563) 12-4 (.750)
NBA Semis all 39-48 (.448) 69-18 (.793)
NBA Semis H 21-36 (.368) 48-9 (.842)
NBA Semis V 18-12 (.600) 21-9 (.700)
NBA Qtrs all 70-71 (.496) 117-24 (.830)
NBA Qtrs H 47-55 (.461) 93-9 (.912)
NBA Qtrs V 23-16 (.590) 24-15 (.615)
NBA Prelim all 38-24 (.613) 51-11 (.823)
NBA Prelim H 21-18 (.538) 35-4 (.897)
NBA Prelim V 17-6 (.739) 16-7 (.696)
NHL all all 204-227 (.473) 298-133 (.691)
NHL all H 124-134 (.481) 194-64 (.752)
NHL all V 80-93 (.462) 104-69 (.601)
NHL Finals all 25-23 (.521) 39-9 (.813)
NHL Finals H 18-16 (.529) 31-3 (.912)
NHL Finals V 7-7 (.500) 8-6 (.571)
NHL Semis all 47-54 (.465) 79-22 (.782)
NHL Semis H 30-32 (.484) 51-11 (.823)
NHL Semis V 17-22 (.436) 28-11 (.718)
NHL Qtrs all 55-63 (.466) 76-42 (.644)
NHL Qtrs H 32-32 (.500) 45-19 (.703)
NHL Qtrs V 23-31 (.426) 31-23 (.574)
NHL Prelim all 77-87 (.470) 104-60 (.634)
NHL Prelim H 44-54 (.449) 67-31 (.684)
NHL Prelim V 33-33 (.500) 37-29 (.561)