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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-1)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to 1. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-1 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-1 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .6875 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2008.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 4 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
388-396 (.495) |
586-198 (.747) |
| all |
all |
H |
234-251 (.482) |
397-88 (.819) |
| all |
all |
V |
154-145 (.515) |
189-110 (.632) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
88-83 (.515) |
133-38 (.778) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
52-55 (.486) |
90-17 (.841) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
36-28 (.563) |
43-21 (.672) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
104-108 (.491) |
164-48 (.774) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
61-66 (.480) |
105-22 (.827) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
43-42 (.506) |
59-26 (.694) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
113-120 (.485) |
175-58 (.751) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
72-77 (.483) |
125-24 (.839) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
41-43 (.488) |
50-34 (.595) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
83-85 (.494) |
114-54 (.679) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
49-53 (.480) |
77-25 (.755) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
34-32 (.515) |
37-29 (.561) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
63-52 (.548) |
80-35 (.696) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
32-28 (.533) |
44-16 (.733) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
31-24 (.564) |
36-19 (.655) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
38-39 (.494) |
52-25 (.675) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
17-23 (.425) |
28-12 (.700) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
21-16 (.568) |
24-13 (.649) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
25-13 (.658) |
28-10 (.737) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
15-5 (.750) |
16-4 (.800) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
10-8 (.556) |
12-6 (.667) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
148-145 (.505) |
240-53 (.819) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
97-110 (.469) |
184-23 (.889) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
51-35 (.593) |
56-30 (.651) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
25-25 (.500) |
43-7 (.860) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
17-19 (.472) |
32-4 (.889) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
8-6 (.571) |
11-3 (.786) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
36-43 (.456) |
62-17 (.785) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
20-31 (.392) |
43-8 (.843) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
16-12 (.571) |
19-9 (.679) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
65-63 (.508) |
107-21 (.836) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
44-50 (.468) |
86-8 (.915) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
21-13 (.618) |
21-13 (.618) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
22-14 (.611) |
28-8 (.778) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
16-10 (.615) |
23-3 (.885) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
6-4 (.600) |
5-5 (.500) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
177-199 (.471) |
266-110 (.707) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
105-113 (.482) |
169-49 (.775) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
72-86 (.456) |
97-61 (.614) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
25-19 (.568) |
38-6 (.864) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
18-13 (.581) |
30-1 (.968) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
7-6 (.538) |
8-5 (.615) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
43-52 (.453) |
74-21 (.779) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
26-30 (.464) |
46-10 (.821) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
17-22 (.436) |
28-11 (.718) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
48-57 (.457) |
68-37 (.648) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
28-27 (.509) |
39-16 (.709) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
20-30 (.400) |
29-21 (.580) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
61-71 (.462) |
86-46 (.652) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
33-43 (.434) |
54-22 (.711) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
28-28 (.500) |
32-24 (.571) |
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