WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-NIL)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .9375 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2014.

sport round site Game 4 rec. series rec.
all all all 205-117 (.637) 317-5 (.984)
all all H 152-93 (.620) 241-4 (.984)
all all V 53-24 (.688) 76-1 (.987)
all Finals all 49-14 (.778) 62-1 (.984)
all Finals H 33-10 (.767) 43-0 (1.000)
all Finals V 16-4 (.800) 19-1 (.950)
all Semis all 47-33 (.588) 79-1 (.988)
all Semis H 30-24 (.556) 53-1 (.981)
all Semis V 17-9 (.654) 26-0 (1.000)
all Qtrs all 64-42 (.604) 104-2 (.981)
all Qtrs H 52-35 (.598) 85-2 (.977)
all Qtrs V 12-7 (.632) 19-0 (1.000)
all Prelim all 45-28 (.616) 72-1 (.986)
all Prelim H 37-24 (.607) 60-1 (.984)
all Prelim V 8-4 (.667) 12-0 (1.000)
MLB all all 28-6 (.824) 33-1 (.971)
MLB all H 14-4 (.778) 17-1 (.944)
MLB all V 14-2 (.875) 16-0 (1.000)
MLB Finals all 21-3 (.875) 24-0 (1.000)
MLB Finals H 14-2 (.875) 16-0 (1.000)
MLB Finals V 7-1 (.875) 8-0 (1.000)
MLB Semis all 7-3 (.700) 9-1 (.900)
MLB Semis H 0-2 (.000) 1-1 (.500)
MLB Semis V 7-1 (.875) 8-0 (1.000)
NBA all all 66-44 (.600) 110-0 (1.000)
NBA all H 55-39 (.585) 94-0 (1.000)
NBA all V 11-5 (.688) 16-0 (1.000)
NBA Finals all 8-4 (.667) 12-0 (1.000)
NBA Finals H 6-4 (.600) 10-0 (1.000)
NBA Finals V 2-0 (1.000) 2-0 (1.000)
NBA Semis all 15-12 (.556) 27-0 (1.000)
NBA Semis H 11-9 (.550) 20-0 (1.000)
NBA Semis V 4-3 (.571) 7-0 (1.000)
NBA Qtrs all 25-19 (.568) 44-0 (1.000)
NBA Qtrs H 20-17 (.541) 37-0 (1.000)
NBA Qtrs V 5-2 (.714) 7-0 (1.000)
NBA Prelim all 18-9 (.667) 27-0 (1.000)
NBA Prelim H 18-9 (.667) 27-0 (1.000)
NBA Prelim V 0-0 (---) 0-0 (---)
NHL all all 111-67 (.624) 174-4 (.978)
NHL all H 83-50 (.624) 130-3 (.977)
NHL all V 28-17 (.622) 44-1 (.978)
NHL Finals all 20-7 (.741) 26-1 (.963)
NHL Finals H 13-4 (.765) 17-0 (1.000)
NHL Finals V 7-3 (.700) 9-1 (.900)
NHL Semis all 25-18 (.581) 43-0 (1.000)
NHL Semis H 19-13 (.594) 32-0 (1.000)
NHL Semis V 6-5 (.545) 11-0 (1.000)
NHL Qtrs all 39-23 (.629) 60-2 (.968)
NHL Qtrs H 32-18 (.640) 48-2 (.960)
NHL Qtrs V 7-5 (.583) 12-0 (1.000)
NHL Prelim all 27-19 (.587) 45-1 (.978)
NHL Prelim H 19-15 (.559) 33-1 (.971)
NHL Prelim V 8-4 (.667) 12-0 (1.000)