WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-NIL)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .9375 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2017.

sport round site Game 4 rec. series rec.
all all all 222-129 (.632) 346-5 (.986)
all all H 166-103 (.617) 265-4 (.985)
all all V 56-26 (.683) 81-1 (.988)
all Finals all 49-15 (.766) 63-1 (.984)
all Finals H 33-11 (.750) 44-0 (1.000)
all Finals V 16-4 (.800) 19-1 (.950)
all Semis all 50-36 (.581) 85-1 (.988)
all Semis H 32-27 (.542) 58-1 (.983)
all Semis V 18-9 (.667) 27-0 (1.000)
all Qtrs all 68-43 (.613) 109-2 (.982)
all Qtrs H 56-35 (.615) 89-2 (.978)
all Qtrs V 12-8 (.600) 20-0 (1.000)
all Prelim all 55-35 (.611) 89-1 (.989)
all Prelim H 45-30 (.600) 74-1 (.987)
all Prelim V 10-5 (.667) 15-0 (1.000)
MLB all all 29-8 (.784) 36-1 (.973)
MLB all H 15-6 (.714) 20-1 (.952)
MLB all V 14-2 (.875) 16-0 (1.000)
MLB Finals all 21-3 (.875) 24-0 (1.000)
MLB Finals H 14-2 (.875) 16-0 (1.000)
MLB Finals V 7-1 (.875) 8-0 (1.000)
MLB Semis all 8-5 (.615) 12-1 (.923)
MLB Semis H 1-4 (.200) 4-1 (.800)
MLB Semis V 7-1 (.875) 8-0 (1.000)
NBA all all 78-49 (.614) 127-0 (1.000)
NBA all H 65-44 (.596) 109-0 (1.000)
NBA all V 13-5 (.722) 18-0 (1.000)
NBA Finals all 8-5 (.615) 13-0 (1.000)
NBA Finals H 6-5 (.545) 11-0 (1.000)
NBA Finals V 2-0 (1.000) 2-0 (1.000)
NBA Semis all 17-13 (.567) 30-0 (1.000)
NBA Semis H 12-10 (.545) 22-0 (1.000)
NBA Semis V 5-3 (.625) 8-0 (1.000)
NBA Qtrs all 28-19 (.596) 47-0 (1.000)
NBA Qtrs H 23-17 (.575) 40-0 (1.000)
NBA Qtrs V 5-2 (.714) 7-0 (1.000)
NBA Prelim all 25-12 (.676) 37-0 (1.000)
NBA Prelim H 24-12 (.667) 36-0 (1.000)
NBA Prelim V 1-0 (1.000) 1-0 (1.000)
NHL all all 115-72 (.615) 183-4 (.979)
NHL all H 86-53 (.619) 136-3 (.978)
NHL all V 29-19 (.604) 47-1 (.979)
NHL Finals all 20-7 (.741) 26-1 (.963)
NHL Finals H 13-4 (.765) 17-0 (1.000)
NHL Finals V 7-3 (.700) 9-1 (.900)
NHL Semis all 25-18 (.581) 43-0 (1.000)
NHL Semis H 19-13 (.594) 32-0 (1.000)
NHL Semis V 6-5 (.545) 11-0 (1.000)
NHL Qtrs all 40-24 (.625) 62-2 (.969)
NHL Qtrs H 33-18 (.647) 49-2 (.961)
NHL Qtrs V 7-6 (.538) 13-0 (1.000)
NHL Prelim all 30-23 (.566) 52-1 (.981)
NHL Prelim H 21-18 (.538) 38-1 (.974)
NHL Prelim V 9-5 (.643) 14-0 (1.000)