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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 1-GAME-NIL)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 1 game to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 1-game-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 1-game-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .65625 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2012.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 2 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
644-543 (.543) |
844-343 (.711) |
| all |
all |
H |
513-282 (.645) |
625-170 (.786) |
| all |
all |
V |
131-261 (.334) |
219-173 (.559) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
130-113 (.535) |
169-74 (.695) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
101-63 (.616) |
125-39 (.762) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
29-50 (.367) |
44-35 (.557) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
164-144 (.532) |
222-86 (.721) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
124-75 (.623) |
154-45 (.774) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
40-69 (.367) |
68-41 (.624) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
204-152 (.573) |
265-91 (.744) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
171-86 (.665) |
210-47 (.817) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
33-66 (.333) |
55-44 (.556) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
146-134 (.521) |
188-92 (.671) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
117-58 (.669) |
136-39 (.777) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
29-76 (.276) |
52-53 (.495) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
74-84 (.468) |
99-59 (.627) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
49-41 (.544) |
59-31 (.656) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
25-43 (.368) |
40-28 (.588) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
51-53 (.490) |
66-38 (.635) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
37-25 (.597) |
42-20 (.677) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
14-28 (.333) |
24-18 (.571) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
23-31 (.426) |
33-21 (.611) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
12-16 (.429) |
17-11 (.607) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
11-15 (.423) |
16-10 (.615) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
248-190 (.566) |
341-97 (.779) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
221-103 (.682) |
277-47 (.855) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
27-87 (.237) |
64-50 (.561) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
31-35 (.470) |
47-19 (.712) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
28-22 (.560) |
39-11 (.780) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
3-13 (.188) |
8-8 (.500) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
64-48 (.571) |
89-23 (.795) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
52-26 (.667) |
65-13 (.833) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
12-22 (.353) |
24-10 (.706) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
103-77 (.572) |
144-36 (.800) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
93-45 (.674) |
122-16 (.884) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
10-32 (.238) |
22-20 (.524) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
50-30 (.625) |
61-19 (.763) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
48-10 (.828) |
51-7 (.879) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
2-20 (.091) |
10-12 (.455) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
322-269 (.545) |
404-187 (.684) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
243-138 (.638) |
289-92 (.759) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
79-131 (.376) |
115-95 (.548) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
48-25 (.658) |
56-17 (.767) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
36-16 (.692) |
44-8 (.846) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
12-9 (.571) |
12-9 (.571) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
77-65 (.542) |
100-42 (.704) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
60-33 (.645) |
72-21 (.774) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
17-32 (.347) |
28-21 (.571) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
101-75 (.574) |
121-55 (.688) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
78-41 (.655) |
88-31 (.739) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
23-34 (.404) |
33-24 (.579) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
96-104 (.480) |
127-73 (.635) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
69-48 (.590) |
85-32 (.726) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
27-56 (.325) |
42-41 (.506) |
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