HOME
WhoWins
BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
WhoWins
Powered by EarthLink®.
Feedback welcomed at feedback@whowins.com.
Copyright © 2023 WhoWins.
All rights reserved.
Terms of usage.
|
HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 1-GAME-NIL)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 1 game to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 1-game-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 1-game-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .65625 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2022.
sport |
round |
site |
Game 2 rec. |
series rec. |
all |
all |
all |
818-699 (.539) |
1069-448 (.705) |
all |
all |
H |
644-356 (.644) |
783-217 (.783) |
all |
all |
V |
174-343 (.337) |
286-231 (.553) |
all |
Finals |
all |
143-130 (.524) |
189-84 (.692) |
all |
Finals |
H |
113-73 (.608) |
141-45 (.758) |
all |
Finals |
V |
30-57 (.345) |
48-39 (.552) |
all |
Semis |
all |
198-170 (.538) |
260-108 (.707) |
all |
Semis |
H |
149-88 (.629) |
179-58 (.755) |
all |
Semis |
V |
49-82 (.374) |
81-50 (.618) |
all |
Qtrs |
all |
241-195 (.553) |
315-121 (.722) |
all |
Qtrs |
H |
196-105 (.651) |
241-60 (.801) |
all |
Qtrs |
V |
45-90 (.333) |
74-61 (.548) |
all |
Prelim |
all |
236-204 (.536) |
305-135 (.693) |
all |
Prelim |
H |
186-90 (.674) |
222-54 (.804) |
all |
Prelim |
V |
50-114 (.305) |
83-81 (.506) |
MLB |
all |
all |
89-99 (.473) |
121-67 (.644) |
MLB |
all |
H |
60-48 (.556) |
74-34 (.685) |
MLB |
all |
V |
29-51 (.363) |
47-33 (.588) |
MLB |
Finals |
all |
54-60 (.474) |
73-41 (.640) |
MLB |
Finals |
H |
39-29 (.574) |
46-22 (.676) |
MLB |
Finals |
V |
15-31 (.326) |
27-19 (.587) |
MLB |
Semis |
all |
35-39 (.473) |
48-26 (.649) |
MLB |
Semis |
H |
21-19 (.525) |
28-12 (.700) |
MLB |
Semis |
V |
14-20 (.412) |
20-14 (.588) |
NBA |
all |
all |
334-254 (.568) |
442-146 (.752) |
NBA |
all |
H |
294-131 (.692) |
360-65 (.847) |
NBA |
all |
V |
40-123 (.245) |
82-81 (.503) |
NBA |
Finals |
all |
36-40 (.474) |
53-23 (.697) |
NBA |
Finals |
H |
33-25 (.569) |
45-13 (.776) |
NBA |
Finals |
V |
3-15 (.167) |
8-10 (.444) |
NBA |
Semis |
all |
78-54 (.591) |
103-29 (.780) |
NBA |
Semis |
H |
63-29 (.685) |
75-17 (.815) |
NBA |
Semis |
V |
15-25 (.375) |
28-12 (.700) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
121-99 (.550) |
166-54 (.755) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
108-53 (.671) |
138-23 (.857) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
13-46 (.220) |
28-31 (.475) |
NBA |
Prelim |
all |
99-61 (.619) |
120-40 (.750) |
NBA |
Prelim |
H |
90-24 (.789) |
102-12 (.895) |
NBA |
Prelim |
V |
9-37 (.196) |
18-28 (.391) |
NHL |
all |
all |
395-346 (.533) |
506-235 (.683) |
NHL |
all |
H |
290-177 (.621) |
349-118 (.747) |
NHL |
all |
V |
105-169 (.383) |
157-117 (.573) |
NHL |
Finals |
all |
53-30 (.639) |
63-20 (.759) |
NHL |
Finals |
H |
41-19 (.683) |
50-10 (.833) |
NHL |
Finals |
V |
12-11 (.522) |
13-10 (.565) |
NHL |
Semis |
all |
85-77 (.525) |
109-53 (.673) |
NHL |
Semis |
H |
65-40 (.619) |
76-29 (.724) |
NHL |
Semis |
V |
20-37 (.351) |
33-24 (.579) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
120-96 (.556) |
149-67 (.690) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
88-52 (.629) |
103-37 (.736) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
32-44 (.421) |
46-30 (.605) |
NHL |
Prelim |
all |
137-143 (.489) |
185-95 (.661) |
NHL |
Prelim |
H |
96-66 (.593) |
120-42 (.741) |
NHL |
Prelim |
V |
41-77 (.347) |
65-53 (.551) |
|