WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 1-GAME-NIL)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 1 game to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 1-game-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 1-game-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .65625 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2017.

sport round site Game 2 rec. series rec.
all all all 734-618 (.543) 961-391 (.711)
all all H 584-317 (.648) 709-192 (.787)
all all V 150-301 (.333) 252-199 (.559)
all Finals all 136-122 (.527) 180-78 (.698)
all Finals H 107-69 (.608) 134-42 (.761)
all Finals V 29-53 (.354) 46-36 (.561)
all Semis all 181-157 (.536) 243-95 (.719)
all Semis H 136-82 (.624) 168-50 (.771)
all Semis V 45-75 (.375) 75-45 (.625)
all Qtrs all 223-173 (.563) 290-106 (.732)
all Qtrs H 186-93 (.667) 228-51 (.817)
all Qtrs V 37-80 (.316) 62-55 (.530)
all Prelim all 194-166 (.539) 248-112 (.689)
all Prelim H 155-73 (.680) 179-49 (.785)
all Prelim V 39-93 (.295) 69-63 (.523)
MLB all all 82-91 (.474) 111-62 (.642)
MLB all H 56-45 (.554) 68-33 (.673)
MLB all V 26-46 (.361) 43-29 (.597)
MLB Finals all 52-57 (.477) 69-40 (.633)
MLB Finals H 38-28 (.576) 44-22 (.667)
MLB Finals V 14-29 (.326) 25-18 (.581)
MLB Semis all 30-34 (.469) 42-22 (.656)
MLB Semis H 18-17 (.514) 24-11 (.686)
MLB Semis V 12-17 (.414) 18-11 (.621)
NBA all all 292-221 (.569) 393-120 (.766)
NBA all H 259-117 (.689) 321-55 (.854)
NBA all V 33-104 (.241) 72-65 (.526)
NBA Finals all 33-38 (.465) 50-21 (.704)
NBA Finals H 30-24 (.556) 42-12 (.778)
NBA Finals V 3-14 (.176) 8-9 (.471)
NBA Semis all 71-51 (.582) 97-25 (.795)
NBA Semis H 57-28 (.671) 71-14 (.835)
NBA Semis V 14-23 (.378) 26-11 (.703)
NBA Qtrs all 110-90 (.550) 154-46 (.770)
NBA Qtrs H 100-49 (.671) 131-18 (.879)
NBA Qtrs V 10-41 (.196) 23-28 (.451)
NBA Prelim all 78-42 (.650) 92-28 (.767)
NBA Prelim H 72-16 (.818) 77-11 (.875)
NBA Prelim V 6-26 (.188) 15-17 (.469)
NHL all all 360-306 (.541) 457-209 (.686)
NHL all H 269-155 (.634) 320-104 (.755)
NHL all V 91-151 (.376) 137-105 (.566)
NHL Finals all 51-27 (.654) 61-17 (.782)
NHL Finals H 39-17 (.696) 48-8 (.857)
NHL Finals V 12-10 (.545) 13-9 (.591)
NHL Semis all 80-72 (.526) 104-48 (.684)
NHL Semis H 61-37 (.622) 73-25 (.745)
NHL Semis V 19-35 (.352) 31-23 (.574)
NHL Qtrs all 113-83 (.577) 136-60 (.694)
NHL Qtrs H 86-44 (.662) 97-33 (.746)
NHL Qtrs V 27-39 (.409) 39-27 (.591)
NHL Prelim all 116-124 (.483) 156-84 (.650)
NHL Prelim H 83-57 (.593) 102-38 (.729)
NHL Prelim V 33-67 (.330) 54-46 (.540)