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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 1-GAME-NIL)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 1 game to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 1-game-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 1-game-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .65625 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2023.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 2 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
834-716 (.538) |
1091-459 (.704) |
| all |
all |
H |
655-360 (.645) |
795-220 (.783) |
| all |
all |
V |
179-356 (.335) |
296-239 (.553) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
144-132 (.522) |
192-84 (.696) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
114-75 (.603) |
144-45 (.762) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
30-57 (.345) |
48-39 (.552) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
204-170 (.545) |
265-109 (.709) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
152-88 (.633) |
181-59 (.754) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
52-82 (.388) |
84-50 (.627) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
244-200 (.550) |
321-123 (.723) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
198-106 (.651) |
244-60 (.803) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
46-94 (.329) |
77-63 (.550) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
242-214 (.531) |
313-143 (.686) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
191-91 (.677) |
226-56 (.801) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
51-123 (.293) |
87-87 (.500) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
91-100 (.476) |
123-68 (.644) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
61-49 (.555) |
75-35 (.682) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
30-51 (.370) |
48-33 (.593) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
54-61 (.470) |
74-41 (.643) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
39-30 (.565) |
47-22 (.681) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
15-31 (.326) |
27-19 (.587) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
37-39 (.487) |
49-27 (.645) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
22-19 (.537) |
28-13 (.683) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
15-20 (.429) |
21-14 (.600) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
341-262 (.566) |
454-149 (.753) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
300-132 (.694) |
366-66 (.847) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
41-130 (.240) |
88-83 (.515) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
36-41 (.468) |
54-23 (.701) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
33-26 (.559) |
46-13 (.780) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
3-15 (.167) |
8-10 (.444) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
80-54 (.597) |
105-29 (.784) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
64-29 (.688) |
76-17 (.817) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
16-25 (.390) |
29-12 (.707) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
122-102 (.545) |
169-55 (.754) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
109-53 (.673) |
139-23 (.858) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
13-49 (.210) |
30-32 (.484) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
103-65 (.613) |
126-42 (.750) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
94-24 (.797) |
105-13 (.890) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
9-41 (.180) |
21-29 (.420) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
402-354 (.532) |
514-242 (.680) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
294-179 (.622) |
354-119 (.748) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
108-175 (.382) |
160-123 (.565) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
54-30 (.643) |
64-20 (.762) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
42-19 (.689) |
51-10 (.836) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
12-11 (.522) |
13-10 (.565) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
87-77 (.530) |
111-53 (.677) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
66-40 (.623) |
77-29 (.726) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
21-37 (.362) |
34-24 (.586) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
122-98 (.555) |
152-68 (.691) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
89-53 (.627) |
105-37 (.739) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
33-45 (.423) |
47-31 (.603) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
139-149 (.483) |
187-101 (.649) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
97-67 (.591) |
121-43 (.738) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
42-82 (.339) |
66-58 (.532) |
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