WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 1-GAME-NIL)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 1 game to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 1-game-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 1-game-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .65625 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2016.

sport round site Game 2 rec. series rec.
all all all 712-607 (.540) 936-383 (.710)
all all H 568-315 (.643) 692-191 (.784)
all all V 144-292 (.330) 244-192 (.560)
all Finals all 134-121 (.525) 178-77 (.698)
all Finals H 105-68 (.607) 132-41 (.763)
all Finals V 29-53 (.354) 46-36 (.561)
all Semis all 177-155 (.533) 238-94 (.717)
all Semis H 133-82 (.619) 165-50 (.767)
all Semis V 44-73 (.376) 73-44 (.624)
all Qtrs all 217-171 (.559) 284-104 (.732)
all Qtrs H 182-93 (.662) 224-51 (.815)
all Qtrs V 35-78 (.310) 60-53 (.531)
all Prelim all 184-160 (.535) 236-108 (.686)
all Prelim H 148-72 (.673) 171-49 (.777)
all Prelim V 36-88 (.290) 65-59 (.524)
MLB all all 80-90 (.471) 109-61 (.641)
MLB all H 54-44 (.551) 66-32 (.673)
MLB all V 26-46 (.361) 43-29 (.597)
MLB Finals all 52-56 (.481) 69-39 (.639)
MLB Finals H 38-27 (.585) 44-21 (.677)
MLB Finals V 14-29 (.326) 25-18 (.581)
MLB Semis all 28-34 (.452) 40-22 (.645)
MLB Semis H 16-17 (.485) 22-11 (.667)
MLB Semis V 12-17 (.414) 18-11 (.621)
NBA all all 280-218 (.562) 381-117 (.765)
NBA all H 249-117 (.680) 311-55 (.850)
NBA all V 31-101 (.235) 70-62 (.530)
NBA Finals all 32-38 (.457) 49-21 (.700)
NBA Finals H 29-24 (.547) 41-12 (.774)
NBA Finals V 3-14 (.176) 8-9 (.471)
NBA Semis all 69-51 (.575) 95-25 (.792)
NBA Semis H 56-28 (.667) 70-14 (.833)
NBA Semis V 13-23 (.361) 25-11 (.694)
NBA Qtrs all 107-89 (.546) 151-45 (.770)
NBA Qtrs H 97-49 (.664) 128-18 (.877)
NBA Qtrs V 10-40 (.200) 23-27 (.460)
NBA Prelim all 72-40 (.643) 86-26 (.768)
NBA Prelim H 67-16 (.807) 72-11 (.867)
NBA Prelim V 5-24 (.172) 14-15 (.483)
NHL all all 352-299 (.541) 446-205 (.685)
NHL all H 265-154 (.632) 315-104 (.752)
NHL all V 87-145 (.375) 131-101 (.565)
NHL Finals all 50-27 (.649) 60-17 (.779)
NHL Finals H 38-17 (.691) 47-8 (.855)
NHL Finals V 12-10 (.545) 13-9 (.591)
NHL Semis all 80-70 (.533) 103-47 (.687)
NHL Semis H 61-37 (.622) 73-25 (.745)
NHL Semis V 19-33 (.365) 30-22 (.577)
NHL Qtrs all 110-82 (.573) 133-59 (.693)
NHL Qtrs H 85-44 (.659) 96-33 (.744)
NHL Qtrs V 25-38 (.397) 37-26 (.587)
NHL Prelim all 112-120 (.483) 150-82 (.647)
NHL Prelim H 81-56 (.591) 99-38 (.723)
NHL Prelim V 31-64 (.326) 51-44 (.537)