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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 1-GAME-NIL)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 1 game to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 1-game-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 1-game-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .65625 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2009.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 2 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
595-493 (.547) |
779-309 (.716) |
| all |
all |
H |
476-254 (.652) |
579-151 (.793) |
| all |
all |
V |
119-239 (.332) |
200-158 (.559) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
125-109 (.534) |
163-71 (.697) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
97-59 (.622) |
120-36 (.769) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
28-50 (.359) |
43-35 (.551) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
154-136 (.531) |
211-79 (.728) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
118-71 (.624) |
148-41 (.783) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
36-65 (.356) |
63-38 (.624) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
190-142 (.572) |
248-84 (.747) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
161-79 (.671) |
197-43 (.821) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
29-63 (.315) |
51-41 (.554) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
126-106 (.543) |
157-75 (.677) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
100-45 (.690) |
114-31 (.786) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
26-61 (.299) |
43-44 (.494) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
70-79 (.470) |
93-56 (.624) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
46-39 (.541) |
55-30 (.647) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
24-40 (.375) |
38-26 (.594) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
49-52 (.485) |
63-38 (.624) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
35-24 (.593) |
39-20 (.661) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
14-28 (.333) |
24-18 (.571) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
21-27 (.438) |
30-18 (.625) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
11-15 (.423) |
16-10 (.615) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
10-12 (.455) |
14-8 (.636) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
223-170 (.567) |
310-83 (.789) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
198-91 (.685) |
251-38 (.869) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
25-79 (.240) |
59-45 (.567) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
31-32 (.492) |
46-17 (.730) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
28-19 (.596) |
38-9 (.809) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
3-13 (.188) |
8-8 (.500) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
60-46 (.566) |
85-21 (.802) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
49-24 (.671) |
62-11 (.849) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
11-22 (.333) |
23-10 (.697) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
96-72 (.571) |
135-33 (.804) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
87-42 (.674) |
114-15 (.884) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
9-30 (.231) |
21-18 (.538) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
36-20 (.643) |
44-12 (.786) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
34-6 (.850) |
37-3 (.925) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
2-14 (.125) |
7-9 (.438) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
302-244 (.553) |
376-170 (.689) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
232-124 (.652) |
273-83 (.767) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
70-120 (.368) |
103-87 (.542) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
45-25 (.643) |
54-16 (.771) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
34-16 (.680) |
43-7 (.860) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
11-9 (.550) |
11-9 (.550) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
73-63 (.537) |
96-40 (.706) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
58-32 (.644) |
70-20 (.778) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
15-31 (.326) |
26-20 (.565) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
94-70 (.573) |
113-51 (.689) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
74-37 (.667) |
83-28 (.748) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
20-33 (.377) |
30-23 (.566) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
90-86 (.511) |
113-63 (.642) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
66-39 (.629) |
77-28 (.733) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
24-47 (.338) |
36-35 (.507) |
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