WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 1-GAME-NIL)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 1 game to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 1-game-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 1-game-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .65625 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2014.

sport round site Game 2 rec. series rec.
all all all 677-576 (.540) 890-363 (.710)
all all H 538-300 (.642) 656-182 (.783)
all all V 139-276 (.335) 234-181 (.564)
all Finals all 131-118 (.526) 174-75 (.699)
all Finals H 102-66 (.607) 129-39 (.768)
all Finals V 29-52 (.358) 45-36 (.556)
all Semis all 171-149 (.534) 231-89 (.722)
all Semis H 128-78 (.621) 159-47 (.772)
all Semis V 43-71 (.377) 72-42 (.632)
all Qtrs all 211-161 (.567) 277-95 (.745)
all Qtrs H 177-89 (.665) 218-48 (.820)
all Qtrs V 34-72 (.321) 59-47 (.557)
all Prelim all 164-148 (.526) 208-104 (.667)
all Prelim H 131-67 (.662) 150-48 (.758)
all Prelim V 33-81 (.289) 58-56 (.509)
MLB all all 76-88 (.463) 104-60 (.634)
MLB all H 50-42 (.543) 61-31 (.663)
MLB all V 26-46 (.361) 43-29 (.597)
MLB Finals all 51-55 (.481) 68-38 (.642)
MLB Finals H 37-26 (.587) 43-20 (.683)
MLB Finals V 14-29 (.326) 25-18 (.581)
MLB Semis all 25-33 (.431) 36-22 (.621)
MLB Semis H 13-16 (.448) 18-11 (.621)
MLB Semis V 12-17 (.414) 18-11 (.621)
NBA all all 261-207 (.558) 360-108 (.769)
NBA all H 232-112 (.674) 292-52 (.849)
NBA all V 29-95 (.234) 68-56 (.548)
NBA Finals all 31-37 (.456) 48-20 (.706)
NBA Finals H 28-23 (.549) 40-11 (.784)
NBA Finals V 3-14 (.176) 8-9 (.471)
NBA Semis all 66-50 (.569) 92-24 (.793)
NBA Semis H 54-28 (.659) 68-14 (.829)
NBA Semis V 12-22 (.353) 24-10 (.706)
NBA Qtrs all 105-83 (.559) 148-40 (.787)
NBA Qtrs H 95-47 (.669) 125-17 (.880)
NBA Qtrs V 10-36 (.217) 23-23 (.500)
NBA Prelim all 59-37 (.615) 72-24 (.750)
NBA Prelim H 55-14 (.797) 59-10 (.855)
NBA Prelim V 4-23 (.148) 13-14 (.481)
NHL all all 340-281 (.548) 426-195 (.686)
NHL all H 256-146 (.637) 303-99 (.754)
NHL all V 84-135 (.384) 123-96 (.562)
NHL Finals all 49-26 (.653) 58-17 (.773)
NHL Finals H 37-17 (.685) 46-8 (.852)
NHL Finals V 12-9 (.571) 12-9 (.571)
NHL Semis all 80-66 (.548) 103-43 (.705)
NHL Semis H 61-34 (.642) 73-22 (.768)
NHL Semis V 19-32 (.373) 30-21 (.588)
NHL Qtrs all 106-78 (.576) 129-55 (.701)
NHL Qtrs H 82-42 (.661) 93-31 (.750)
NHL Qtrs V 24-36 (.400) 36-24 (.600)
NHL Prelim all 105-111 (.486) 136-80 (.630)
NHL Prelim H 76-53 (.589) 91-38 (.705)
NHL Prelim V 29-58 (.333) 45-42 (.517)