WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 1-GAME-NIL)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 1 game to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 1-game-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 1-game-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .65625 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2019.

sport round site Game 2 rec. series rec.
all all all 768-650 (.542) 1005-413 (.709)
all all H 608-336 (.644) 741-203 (.785)
all all V 160-314 (.338) 264-210 (.557)
all Finals all 139-125 (.527) 184-80 (.697)
all Finals H 109-72 (.602) 137-44 (.757)
all Finals V 30-53 (.361) 47-36 (.566)
all Semis all 187-163 (.534) 248-102 (.709)
all Semis H 140-85 (.622) 170-55 (.756)
all Semis V 47-78 (.376) 78-47 (.624)
all Qtrs all 228-184 (.553) 302-110 (.733)
all Qtrs H 189-100 (.654) 237-52 (.820)
all Qtrs V 39-84 (.317) 65-58 (.528)
all Prelim all 214-178 (.546) 271-121 (.691)
all Prelim H 170-79 (.683) 197-52 (.791)
all Prelim V 44-99 (.308) 74-69 (.517)
MLB all all 85-94 (.475) 114-65 (.637)
MLB all H 57-46 (.553) 69-34 (.670)
MLB all V 28-48 (.368) 45-31 (.592)
MLB Finals all 54-57 (.486) 71-40 (.640)
MLB Finals H 39-28 (.582) 45-22 (.672)
MLB Finals V 15-29 (.341) 26-18 (.591)
MLB Semis all 31-37 (.456) 43-25 (.632)
MLB Semis H 18-18 (.500) 24-12 (.667)
MLB Semis V 13-19 (.406) 19-13 (.594)
NBA all all 309-234 (.569) 414-129 (.762)
NBA all H 274-124 (.688) 339-59 (.852)
NBA all V 35-110 (.241) 75-70 (.517)
NBA Finals all 34-39 (.466) 52-21 (.712)
NBA Finals H 31-25 (.554) 44-12 (.786)
NBA Finals V 3-14 (.176) 8-9 (.471)
NBA Semis all 74-52 (.587) 99-27 (.786)
NBA Semis H 60-28 (.682) 72-16 (.818)
NBA Semis V 14-24 (.368) 27-11 (.711)
NBA Qtrs all 114-94 (.548) 160-48 (.769)
NBA Qtrs H 103-52 (.665) 136-19 (.877)
NBA Qtrs V 11-42 (.208) 24-29 (.453)
NBA Prelim all 87-49 (.640) 103-33 (.757)
NBA Prelim H 80-19 (.808) 87-12 (.879)
NBA Prelim V 7-30 (.189) 16-21 (.432)
NHL all all 374-322 (.537) 477-219 (.685)
NHL all H 277-166 (.625) 333-110 (.752)
NHL all V 97-156 (.383) 144-109 (.569)
NHL Finals all 51-29 (.638) 61-19 (.763)
NHL Finals H 39-19 (.672) 48-10 (.828)
NHL Finals V 12-10 (.545) 13-9 (.591)
NHL Semis all 82-74 (.526) 106-50 (.679)
NHL Semis H 62-39 (.614) 74-27 (.733)
NHL Semis V 20-35 (.364) 32-23 (.582)
NHL Qtrs all 114-90 (.559) 142-62 (.696)
NHL Qtrs H 86-48 (.642) 101-33 (.754)
NHL Qtrs V 28-42 (.400) 41-29 (.586)
NHL Prelim all 127-129 (.496) 168-88 (.656)
NHL Prelim H 90-60 (.600) 110-40 (.733)
NHL Prelim V 37-69 (.349) 58-48 (.547)