WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 1-GAME-NIL)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 1 game to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 1-game-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 1-game-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .65625 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2015.

Series 1295: New York Islanders(1) vs. Tampa Bay(0)
Series 1296: Pittsburgh(0) vs. Washington(1)
sport round site Game 2 rec. series rec.
all all all 694-592 (.540) 915-371 (.712)
all all H 552-306 (.643) 674-184 (.786)
all all V 142-286 (.332) 241-187 (.563)
all Finals all 132-120 (.524) 177-75 (.702)
all Finals H 103-67 (.606) 131-39 (.771)
all Finals V 29-53 (.354) 46-36 (.561)
all Semis all 175-151 (.537) 235-91 (.721)
all Semis H 131-80 (.621) 162-49 (.768)
all Semis V 44-71 (.383) 73-42 (.635)
all Qtrs all 214-166 (.563) 281-99 (.739)
all Qtrs H 179-90 (.665) 221-48 (.822)
all Qtrs V 35-76 (.315) 60-51 (.541)
all Prelim all 173-155 (.527) 222-106 (.677)
all Prelim H 139-69 (.668) 160-48 (.769)
all Prelim V 34-86 (.283) 62-58 (.517)
MLB all all 79-88 (.473) 107-60 (.641)
MLB all H 53-42 (.558) 64-31 (.674)
MLB all V 26-46 (.361) 43-29 (.597)
MLB Finals all 52-55 (.486) 69-38 (.645)
MLB Finals H 38-26 (.594) 44-20 (.688)
MLB Finals V 14-29 (.326) 25-18 (.581)
MLB Semis all 27-33 (.450) 38-22 (.633)
MLB Semis H 15-16 (.484) 20-11 (.645)
MLB Semis V 12-17 (.414) 18-11 (.621)
NBA all all 270-213 (.559) 372-111 (.770)
NBA all H 239-115 (.675) 302-52 (.853)
NBA all V 31-98 (.240) 70-59 (.543)
NBA Finals all 31-38 (.449) 49-20 (.710)
NBA Finals H 28-24 (.538) 41-11 (.788)
NBA Finals V 3-14 (.176) 8-9 (.471)
NBA Semis all 68-50 (.576) 94-24 (.797)
NBA Semis H 55-28 (.663) 69-14 (.831)
NBA Semis V 13-22 (.371) 25-10 (.714)
NBA Qtrs all 105-87 (.547) 149-43 (.776)
NBA Qtrs H 95-48 (.664) 126-17 (.881)
NBA Qtrs V 10-39 (.204) 23-26 (.469)
NBA Prelim all 66-38 (.635) 80-24 (.769)
NBA Prelim H 61-15 (.803) 66-10 (.868)
NBA Prelim V 5-23 (.179) 14-14 (.500)
NHL all all 345-291 (.542) 436-200 (.686)
NHL all H 260-149 (.636) 308-101 (.753)
NHL all V 85-142 (.374) 128-99 (.564)
NHL Finals all 49-27 (.645) 59-17 (.776)
NHL Finals H 37-17 (.685) 46-8 (.852)
NHL Finals V 12-10 (.545) 13-9 (.591)
NHL Semis all 80-68 (.541) 103-45 (.696)
NHL Semis H 61-36 (.629) 73-24 (.753)
NHL Semis V 19-32 (.373) 30-21 (.588)
NHL Qtrs all 109-79 (.580) 132-56 (.702)
NHL Qtrs H 84-42 (.667) 95-31 (.754)
NHL Qtrs V 25-37 (.403) 37-25 (.597)
NHL Prelim all 107-117 (.478) 142-82 (.634)
NHL Prelim H 78-54 (.591) 94-38 (.712)
NHL Prelim V 29-63 (.315) 48-44 (.522)