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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 1-GAME-NIL)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 1 game to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 1-game-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 1-game-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .65625 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2010.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 2 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
611-510 (.545) |
799-322 (.713) |
| all |
all |
H |
490-262 (.652) |
594-158 (.790) |
| all |
all |
V |
121-248 (.328) |
205-164 (.556) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
127-110 (.536) |
166-71 (.700) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
99-60 (.623) |
123-36 (.774) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
28-50 (.359) |
43-35 (.551) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
158-138 (.534) |
216-80 (.730) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
120-71 (.628) |
150-41 (.785) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
38-67 (.362) |
66-39 (.629) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
195-145 (.574) |
252-88 (.741) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
166-81 (.672) |
201-46 (.814) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
29-64 (.312) |
51-42 (.548) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
131-117 (.528) |
165-83 (.665) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
105-50 (.677) |
120-35 (.774) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
26-67 (.280) |
45-48 (.484) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
71-81 (.467) |
95-57 (.625) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
47-39 (.547) |
56-30 (.651) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
24-42 (.364) |
39-27 (.591) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
50-52 (.490) |
64-38 (.627) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
36-24 (.600) |
40-20 (.667) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
14-28 (.333) |
24-18 (.571) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
21-29 (.420) |
31-19 (.620) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
11-15 (.423) |
16-10 (.615) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
10-14 (.417) |
15-9 (.625) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
233-175 (.571) |
321-87 (.787) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
207-95 (.685) |
261-41 (.864) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
26-80 (.245) |
60-46 (.566) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
31-33 (.484) |
47-17 (.734) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
28-20 (.583) |
39-9 (.813) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
3-13 (.188) |
8-8 (.500) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
62-46 (.574) |
87-21 (.806) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
50-24 (.676) |
63-11 (.851) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
12-22 (.353) |
24-10 (.706) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
99-73 (.576) |
138-34 (.802) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
90-43 (.677) |
117-16 (.880) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
9-30 (.231) |
21-18 (.538) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
41-23 (.641) |
49-15 (.766) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
39-8 (.830) |
42-5 (.894) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
2-15 (.118) |
7-10 (.412) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
307-254 (.547) |
383-178 (.683) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
236-128 (.648) |
277-87 (.761) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
71-126 (.360) |
106-91 (.538) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
46-25 (.648) |
55-16 (.775) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
35-16 (.686) |
44-7 (.863) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
11-9 (.550) |
11-9 (.550) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
75-63 (.543) |
98-40 (.710) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
59-32 (.648) |
71-20 (.780) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
16-31 (.340) |
27-20 (.574) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
96-72 (.571) |
114-54 (.679) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
76-38 (.667) |
84-30 (.737) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
20-34 (.370) |
30-24 (.556) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
90-94 (.489) |
116-68 (.630) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
66-42 (.611) |
78-30 (.722) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
24-52 (.316) |
38-38 (.500) |
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