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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-1)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 1. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-1 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-1 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .875 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2009.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 5 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
289-210 (.579) |
459-40 (.920) |
| all |
all |
H |
217-102 (.680) |
301-18 (.944) |
| all |
all |
V |
72-108 (.400) |
158-22 (.878) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
55-47 (.539) |
96-6 (.941) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
37-26 (.587) |
60-3 (.952) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
18-21 (.462) |
36-3 (.923) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
81-58 (.583) |
129-10 (.928) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
58-29 (.667) |
82-5 (.943) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
23-29 (.442) |
47-5 (.904) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
97-54 (.642) |
145-6 (.960) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
76-26 (.745) |
99-3 (.971) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
21-28 (.429) |
46-3 (.939) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
56-51 (.523) |
89-18 (.832) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
46-21 (.687) |
60-7 (.896) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
10-30 (.250) |
29-11 (.725) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
37-35 (.514) |
61-11 (.847) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
20-18 (.526) |
32-6 (.842) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
17-17 (.500) |
29-5 (.853) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
23-19 (.548) |
37-5 (.881) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
12-8 (.600) |
17-3 (.850) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
11-11 (.500) |
20-2 (.909) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
14-16 (.467) |
24-6 (.800) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
8-10 (.444) |
15-3 (.833) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
6-6 (.500) |
9-3 (.750) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
112-77 (.593) |
181-8 (.958) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
95-36 (.725) |
129-2 (.985) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
17-41 (.293) |
52-6 (.897) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
15-15 (.500) |
30-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
12-10 (.545) |
22-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
3-5 (.375) |
8-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
25-23 (.521) |
45-3 (.938) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
19-10 (.655) |
28-1 (.966) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
6-13 (.316) |
17-2 (.895) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
54-29 (.651) |
80-3 (.964) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
47-13 (.783) |
59-1 (.983) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
7-16 (.304) |
21-2 (.913) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
18-10 (.643) |
26-2 (.929) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
17-3 (.850) |
20-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
1-7 (.125) |
6-2 (.750) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
140-98 (.588) |
217-21 (.912) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
102-48 (.680) |
140-10 (.933) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
38-50 (.432) |
77-11 (.875) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
17-13 (.567) |
29-1 (.967) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
13-8 (.619) |
21-0 (1.000) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
4-5 (.444) |
8-1 (.889) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
42-19 (.689) |
60-1 (.984) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
31-9 (.775) |
39-1 (.975) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
11-10 (.524) |
21-0 (1.000) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
43-25 (.632) |
65-3 (.956) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
29-13 (.690) |
40-2 (.952) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
14-12 (.538) |
25-1 (.962) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
38-41 (.481) |
63-16 (.797) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
29-18 (.617) |
40-7 (.851) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
9-23 (.281) |
23-9 (.719) |
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