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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-1)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 1. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-1 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-1 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .875 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2008.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 5 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
282-202 (.583) |
445-39 (.919) |
| all |
all |
H |
212-99 (.682) |
293-18 (.942) |
| all |
all |
V |
70-103 (.405) |
152-21 (.879) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
54-46 (.540) |
94-6 (.940) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
36-25 (.590) |
58-3 (.951) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
18-21 (.462) |
36-3 (.923) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
79-56 (.585) |
125-10 (.926) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
57-28 (.671) |
80-5 (.941) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
22-28 (.440) |
45-5 (.900) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
96-53 (.644) |
143-6 (.960) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
75-26 (.743) |
98-3 (.970) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
21-27 (.438) |
45-3 (.938) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
53-47 (.530) |
83-17 (.830) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
44-20 (.688) |
57-7 (.891) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
9-27 (.250) |
26-10 (.722) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
36-33 (.522) |
58-11 (.841) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
20-16 (.556) |
30-6 (.833) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
16-17 (.485) |
28-5 (.848) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
23-18 (.561) |
36-5 (.878) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
12-7 (.632) |
16-3 (.842) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
11-11 (.500) |
20-2 (.909) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
13-15 (.464) |
22-6 (.786) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
8-9 (.471) |
14-3 (.824) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
5-6 (.455) |
8-3 (.727) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
107-75 (.588) |
174-8 (.956) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
91-36 (.717) |
125-2 (.984) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
16-39 (.291) |
49-6 (.891) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
14-15 (.483) |
29-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
11-10 (.524) |
21-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
3-5 (.375) |
8-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
25-22 (.532) |
44-3 (.936) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
19-10 (.655) |
28-1 (.966) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
6-12 (.333) |
16-2 (.889) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
53-29 (.646) |
79-3 (.963) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
46-13 (.780) |
58-1 (.983) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
7-16 (.304) |
21-2 (.913) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
15-9 (.625) |
22-2 (.917) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
15-3 (.833) |
18-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
0-6 (.000) |
4-2 (.667) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
139-94 (.597) |
213-20 (.914) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
101-47 (.682) |
138-10 (.932) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
38-47 (.447) |
75-10 (.882) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
17-13 (.567) |
29-1 (.967) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
13-8 (.619) |
21-0 (1.000) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
4-5 (.444) |
8-1 (.889) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
41-19 (.683) |
59-1 (.983) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
30-9 (.769) |
38-1 (.974) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
11-10 (.524) |
21-0 (1.000) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
43-24 (.642) |
64-3 (.955) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
29-13 (.690) |
40-2 (.952) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
14-11 (.560) |
24-1 (.960) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
38-38 (.500) |
61-15 (.803) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
29-17 (.630) |
39-7 (.848) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
9-21 (.300) |
22-8 (.733) |
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