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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-1)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 1. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-1 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-1 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .875 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2010.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 5 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
295-220 (.573) |
473-42 (.918) |
| all |
all |
H |
222-107 (.675) |
309-20 (.939) |
| all |
all |
V |
73-113 (.392) |
164-22 (.882) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
56-47 (.544) |
97-6 (.942) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
38-26 (.594) |
61-3 (.953) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
18-21 (.462) |
36-3 (.923) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
82-61 (.573) |
133-10 (.930) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
59-30 (.663) |
84-5 (.944) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
23-31 (.426) |
49-5 (.907) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
98-56 (.636) |
147-7 (.955) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
77-28 (.733) |
101-4 (.962) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
21-28 (.429) |
46-3 (.939) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
59-56 (.513) |
96-19 (.835) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
48-23 (.676) |
63-8 (.887) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
11-33 (.250) |
33-11 (.750) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
38-37 (.507) |
64-11 (.853) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
21-19 (.525) |
34-6 (.850) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
17-18 (.486) |
30-5 (.857) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
24-19 (.558) |
38-5 (.884) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
13-8 (.619) |
18-3 (.857) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
11-11 (.500) |
20-2 (.909) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
14-18 (.438) |
26-6 (.813) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
8-11 (.421) |
16-3 (.842) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
6-7 (.462) |
10-3 (.769) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
114-80 (.588) |
186-8 (.959) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
97-36 (.729) |
131-2 (.985) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
17-44 (.279) |
55-6 (.902) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
15-15 (.500) |
30-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
12-10 (.545) |
22-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
3-5 (.375) |
8-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
25-24 (.510) |
46-3 (.939) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
19-10 (.655) |
28-1 (.966) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
6-14 (.300) |
18-2 (.900) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
54-29 (.651) |
80-3 (.964) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
47-13 (.783) |
59-1 (.983) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
7-16 (.304) |
21-2 (.913) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
20-12 (.625) |
30-2 (.938) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
19-3 (.864) |
22-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
1-9 (.100) |
8-2 (.800) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
143-103 (.581) |
223-23 (.907) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
104-52 (.667) |
144-12 (.923) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
39-51 (.433) |
79-11 (.878) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
17-13 (.567) |
29-1 (.967) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
13-8 (.619) |
21-0 (1.000) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
4-5 (.444) |
8-1 (.889) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
43-19 (.694) |
61-1 (.984) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
32-9 (.780) |
40-1 (.976) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
11-10 (.524) |
21-0 (1.000) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
44-27 (.620) |
67-4 (.944) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
30-15 (.667) |
42-3 (.933) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
14-12 (.538) |
25-1 (.962) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
39-44 (.470) |
66-17 (.795) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
29-20 (.592) |
41-8 (.837) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
10-24 (.294) |
25-9 (.735) |
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