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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-1)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 1. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-1 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-1 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .875 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2012.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 5 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
313-236 (.570) |
505-44 (.920) |
| all |
all |
H |
235-115 (.671) |
329-21 (.940) |
| all |
all |
V |
78-121 (.392) |
176-23 (.884) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
57-48 (.543) |
99-6 (.943) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
38-26 (.594) |
61-3 (.953) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
19-22 (.463) |
38-3 (.927) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
86-63 (.577) |
138-11 (.926) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
61-31 (.663) |
87-5 (.946) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
25-32 (.439) |
51-6 (.895) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
102-58 (.638) |
153-7 (.956) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
80-30 (.727) |
106-4 (.964) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
22-28 (.440) |
47-3 (.940) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
68-67 (.504) |
115-20 (.852) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
56-28 (.667) |
75-9 (.893) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
12-39 (.235) |
40-11 (.784) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
38-39 (.494) |
65-12 (.844) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
21-20 (.512) |
35-6 (.854) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
17-19 (.472) |
30-6 (.833) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
24-19 (.558) |
38-5 (.884) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
13-8 (.619) |
18-3 (.857) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
11-11 (.500) |
20-2 (.909) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
14-20 (.412) |
27-7 (.794) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
8-12 (.400) |
17-3 (.850) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
6-8 (.429) |
10-4 (.714) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
124-86 (.590) |
202-8 (.962) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
105-37 (.739) |
140-2 (.986) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
19-49 (.279) |
62-6 (.912) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
16-15 (.516) |
31-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
12-10 (.545) |
22-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
4-5 (.444) |
9-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
27-24 (.529) |
48-3 (.941) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
20-10 (.667) |
29-1 (.967) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
7-14 (.333) |
19-2 (.905) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
56-29 (.659) |
82-3 (.965) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
49-13 (.790) |
61-1 (.984) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
7-16 (.304) |
21-2 (.913) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
25-18 (.581) |
41-2 (.953) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
24-4 (.857) |
28-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
1-14 (.067) |
13-2 (.867) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
151-111 (.576) |
238-24 (.908) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
109-58 (.653) |
154-13 (.922) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
42-53 (.442) |
84-11 (.884) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
17-14 (.548) |
30-1 (.968) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
13-8 (.619) |
21-0 (1.000) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
4-6 (.400) |
9-1 (.900) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
45-19 (.703) |
63-1 (.984) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
33-9 (.786) |
41-1 (.976) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
12-10 (.545) |
22-0 (1.000) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
46-29 (.613) |
71-4 (.947) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
31-17 (.646) |
45-3 (.938) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
15-12 (.556) |
26-1 (.963) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
43-49 (.467) |
74-18 (.804) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
32-24 (.571) |
47-9 (.839) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
11-25 (.306) |
27-9 (.750) |
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