WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

HOME
WhoWins™

BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

ET CETERA
WhoWins™
Powered by EarthLink®.
Feedback welcomed at feedback@whowins.com.
Copyright © 2018 WhoWins™.
All rights reserved.
Terms of usage.


HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-1)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 1. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-1 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-1 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .875 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2017.

sport round site Game 5 rec. series rec.
all all all 347-270 (.562) 565-52 (.916)
all all H 262-132 (.665) 369-25 (.937)
all all V 85-138 (.381) 196-27 (.879)
all Finals all 61-51 (.545) 104-8 (.929)
all Finals H 42-29 (.592) 66-5 (.930)
all Finals V 19-22 (.463) 38-3 (.927)
all Semis all 92-69 (.571) 149-12 (.925)
all Semis H 65-33 (.663) 93-5 (.949)
all Semis V 27-36 (.429) 56-7 (.889)
all Qtrs all 111-68 (.620) 168-11 (.939)
all Qtrs H 88-32 (.733) 115-5 (.958)
all Qtrs V 23-36 (.390) 53-6 (.898)
all Prelim all 83-82 (.503) 144-21 (.873)
all Prelim H 67-38 (.638) 95-10 (.905)
all Prelim V 16-44 (.267) 49-11 (.817)
MLB all all 42-42 (.500) 71-13 (.845)
MLB all H 24-23 (.511) 40-7 (.851)
MLB all V 18-19 (.486) 31-6 (.838)
MLB Finals all 25-20 (.556) 39-6 (.867)
MLB Finals H 14-9 (.609) 19-4 (.826)
MLB Finals V 11-11 (.500) 20-2 (.909)
MLB Semis all 17-22 (.436) 32-7 (.821)
MLB Semis H 10-14 (.417) 21-3 (.875)
MLB Semis V 7-8 (.467) 11-4 (.733)
NBA all all 139-98 (.586) 226-11 (.954)
NBA all H 117-42 (.736) 156-3 (.981)
NBA all V 22-56 (.282) 70-8 (.897)
NBA Finals all 18-16 (.529) 33-1 (.971)
NBA Finals H 14-11 (.560) 24-1 (.960)
NBA Finals V 4-5 (.444) 9-0 (1.000)
NBA Semis all 29-26 (.527) 51-4 (.927)
NBA Semis H 21-10 (.677) 30-1 (.968)
NBA Semis V 8-16 (.333) 21-3 (.875)
NBA Qtrs all 61-32 (.656) 89-4 (.957)
NBA Qtrs H 53-14 (.791) 66-1 (.985)
NBA Qtrs V 8-18 (.308) 23-3 (.885)
NBA Prelim all 31-24 (.564) 53-2 (.964)
NBA Prelim H 29-7 (.806) 36-0 (1.000)
NBA Prelim V 2-17 (.105) 17-2 (.895)
NHL all all 166-130 (.561) 268-28 (.905)
NHL all H 121-67 (.644) 173-15 (.920)
NHL all V 45-63 (.417) 95-13 (.880)
NHL Finals all 18-15 (.545) 32-1 (.970)
NHL Finals H 14-9 (.609) 23-0 (1.000)
NHL Finals V 4-6 (.400) 9-1 (.900)
NHL Semis all 46-21 (.687) 66-1 (.985)
NHL Semis H 34-9 (.791) 42-1 (.977)
NHL Semis V 12-12 (.500) 24-0 (1.000)
NHL Qtrs all 50-36 (.581) 79-7 (.919)
NHL Qtrs H 35-18 (.660) 49-4 (.925)
NHL Qtrs V 15-18 (.455) 30-3 (.909)
NHL Prelim all 52-58 (.473) 91-19 (.827)
NHL Prelim H 38-31 (.551) 59-10 (.855)
NHL Prelim V 14-27 (.341) 32-9 (.780)