HOME
WhoWins
BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
WhoWins
Powered by EarthLink®.
Feedback welcomed at feedback@whowins.com.
Copyright © 2023 WhoWins.
All rights reserved.
Terms of usage.
|
HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-1)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 1. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-1 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-1 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .875 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2022.
sport |
round |
site |
Game 5 rec. |
series rec. |
all |
all |
all |
391-301 (.565) |
634-58 (.916) |
all |
all |
H |
295-152 (.660) |
420-27 (.940) |
all |
all |
V |
96-149 (.392) |
214-31 (.873) |
all |
Finals |
all |
64-56 (.533) |
112-8 (.933) |
all |
Finals |
H |
44-33 (.571) |
72-5 (.935) |
all |
Finals |
V |
20-23 (.465) |
40-3 (.930) |
all |
Semis |
all |
98-76 (.563) |
161-13 (.925) |
all |
Semis |
H |
68-38 (.642) |
101-5 (.953) |
all |
Semis |
V |
30-38 (.441) |
60-8 (.882) |
all |
Qtrs |
all |
121-74 (.621) |
183-12 (.938) |
all |
Qtrs |
H |
95-35 (.731) |
124-6 (.954) |
all |
Qtrs |
V |
26-39 (.400) |
59-6 (.908) |
all |
Prelim |
all |
108-95 (.532) |
178-25 (.877) |
all |
Prelim |
H |
88-46 (.657) |
123-11 (.918) |
all |
Prelim |
V |
20-49 (.290) |
55-14 (.797) |
MLB |
all |
all |
45-47 (.489) |
78-14 (.848) |
MLB |
all |
H |
26-26 (.500) |
45-7 (.865) |
MLB |
all |
V |
19-21 (.475) |
33-7 (.825) |
MLB |
Finals |
all |
26-21 (.553) |
41-6 (.872) |
MLB |
Finals |
H |
15-9 (.625) |
20-4 (.833) |
MLB |
Finals |
V |
11-12 (.478) |
21-2 (.913) |
MLB |
Semis |
all |
19-26 (.422) |
37-8 (.822) |
MLB |
Semis |
H |
11-17 (.393) |
25-3 (.893) |
MLB |
Semis |
V |
8-9 (.471) |
12-5 (.706) |
NBA |
all |
all |
163-108 (.601) |
258-13 (.952) |
NBA |
all |
H |
139-48 (.743) |
183-4 (.979) |
NBA |
all |
V |
24-60 (.286) |
75-9 (.893) |
NBA |
Finals |
all |
18-18 (.500) |
35-1 (.972) |
NBA |
Finals |
H |
14-13 (.519) |
26-1 (.963) |
NBA |
Finals |
V |
4-5 (.444) |
9-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Semis |
all |
31-28 (.525) |
55-4 (.932) |
NBA |
Semis |
H |
23-11 (.676) |
33-1 (.971) |
NBA |
Semis |
V |
8-17 (.320) |
22-3 (.880) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
67-34 (.663) |
96-5 (.950) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
58-15 (.795) |
71-2 (.973) |
NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
9-19 (.321) |
25-3 (.893) |
NBA |
Prelim |
all |
47-28 (.627) |
72-3 (.960) |
NBA |
Prelim |
H |
44-9 (.830) |
53-0 (1.000) |
NBA |
Prelim |
V |
3-19 (.136) |
19-3 (.864) |
NHL |
all |
all |
183-146 (.556) |
298-31 (.906) |
NHL |
all |
H |
130-78 (.625) |
192-16 (.923) |
NHL |
all |
V |
53-68 (.438) |
106-15 (.876) |
NHL |
Finals |
all |
20-17 (.541) |
36-1 (.973) |
NHL |
Finals |
H |
15-11 (.577) |
26-0 (1.000) |
NHL |
Finals |
V |
5-6 (.455) |
10-1 (.909) |
NHL |
Semis |
all |
48-22 (.686) |
69-1 (.986) |
NHL |
Semis |
H |
34-10 (.773) |
43-1 (.977) |
NHL |
Semis |
V |
14-12 (.538) |
26-0 (1.000) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
54-40 (.574) |
87-7 (.926) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
37-20 (.649) |
53-4 (.930) |
NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
17-20 (.459) |
34-3 (.919) |
NHL |
Prelim |
all |
61-67 (.477) |
106-22 (.828) |
NHL |
Prelim |
H |
44-37 (.543) |
70-11 (.864) |
NHL |
Prelim |
V |
17-30 (.362) |
36-11 (.766) |
|