WhoWins(tm) Best-of-7

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.

PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-1)

Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 1. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-1 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-1 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .875 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2015.

Series 1315: Oklahoma City(3) vs. Golden State(1)
sport round site Game 5 rec. series rec.
all all all 333-259 (.563) 543-49 (.917)
all all H 251-125 (.668) 353-23 (.939)
all all V 82-134 (.380) 190-26 (.880)
all Finals all 60-48 (.556) 102-6 (.944)
all Finals H 41-26 (.612) 64-3 (.955)
all Finals V 19-22 (.463) 38-3 (.927)
all Semis all 89-68 (.567) 146-11 (.930)
all Semis H 63-33 (.656) 91-5 (.948)
all Semis V 26-35 (.426) 55-6 (.902)
all Qtrs all 109-65 (.626) 163-11 (.937)
all Qtrs H 86-32 (.729) 113-5 (.958)
all Qtrs V 23-33 (.411) 50-6 (.893)
all Prelim all 75-78 (.490) 132-21 (.863)
all Prelim H 61-34 (.642) 85-10 (.895)
all Prelim V 14-44 (.241) 47-11 (.810)
MLB all all 40-41 (.494) 69-12 (.852)
MLB all H 22-22 (.500) 38-6 (.864)
MLB all V 18-19 (.486) 31-6 (.838)
MLB Finals all 25-19 (.568) 39-5 (.886)
MLB Finals H 14-8 (.636) 19-3 (.864)
MLB Finals V 11-11 (.500) 20-2 (.909)
MLB Semis all 15-22 (.405) 30-7 (.811)
MLB Semis H 8-14 (.364) 19-3 (.864)
MLB Semis V 7-8 (.467) 11-4 (.733)
NBA all all 133-96 (.581) 220-9 (.961)
NBA all H 112-41 (.732) 151-2 (.987)
NBA all V 21-55 (.276) 69-7 (.908)
NBA Finals all 17-15 (.531) 32-0 (1.000)
NBA Finals H 13-10 (.565) 23-0 (1.000)
NBA Finals V 4-5 (.444) 9-0 (1.000)
NBA Semis all 28-25 (.528) 50-3 (.943)
NBA Semis H 21-10 (.677) 30-1 (.968)
NBA Semis V 7-15 (.318) 20-2 (.909)
NBA Qtrs all 60-32 (.652) 88-4 (.957)
NBA Qtrs H 52-14 (.788) 65-1 (.985)
NBA Qtrs V 8-18 (.308) 23-3 (.885)
NBA Prelim all 28-24 (.538) 50-2 (.962)
NBA Prelim H 26-7 (.788) 33-0 (1.000)
NBA Prelim V 2-17 (.105) 17-2 (.895)
NHL all all 160-122 (.567) 254-28 (.901)
NHL all H 117-62 (.654) 164-15 (.916)
NHL all V 43-60 (.417) 90-13 (.874)
NHL Finals all 18-14 (.563) 31-1 (.969)
NHL Finals H 14-8 (.636) 22-0 (1.000)
NHL Finals V 4-6 (.400) 9-1 (.900)
NHL Semis all 46-21 (.687) 66-1 (.985)
NHL Semis H 34-9 (.791) 42-1 (.977)
NHL Semis V 12-12 (.500) 24-0 (1.000)
NHL Qtrs all 49-33 (.598) 75-7 (.915)
NHL Qtrs H 34-18 (.654) 48-4 (.923)
NHL Qtrs V 15-15 (.500) 27-3 (.900)
NHL Prelim all 47-54 (.465) 82-19 (.812)
NHL Prelim H 35-27 (.565) 52-10 (.839)
NHL Prelim V 12-27 (.308) 30-9 (.769)