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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-1)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 1. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-1 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-1 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .875 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2007.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 5 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
271-192 (.585) |
424-39 (.916) |
| all |
all |
H |
204-93 (.687) |
279-18 (.939) |
| all |
all |
V |
67-99 (.404) |
145-21 (.873) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
53-44 (.546) |
91-6 (.938) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
36-23 (.610) |
56-3 (.949) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
17-21 (.447) |
35-3 (.921) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
76-54 (.585) |
120-10 (.923) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
54-26 (.675) |
75-5 (.938) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
22-28 (.440) |
45-5 (.900) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
93-52 (.641) |
139-6 (.959) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
73-26 (.737) |
96-3 (.970) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
20-26 (.435) |
43-3 (.935) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
49-42 (.538) |
74-17 (.813) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
41-18 (.695) |
52-7 (.881) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
8-24 (.250) |
22-10 (.688) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
34-32 (.515) |
55-11 (.833) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
19-15 (.559) |
28-6 (.824) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
15-17 (.469) |
27-5 (.844) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
22-18 (.550) |
35-5 (.875) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
12-7 (.632) |
16-3 (.842) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
10-11 (.476) |
19-2 (.905) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
12-14 (.462) |
20-6 (.769) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
7-8 (.467) |
12-3 (.800) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
5-6 (.455) |
8-3 (.727) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
102-72 (.586) |
166-8 (.954) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
86-34 (.717) |
118-2 (.983) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
16-38 (.296) |
48-6 (.889) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
14-14 (.500) |
28-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
11-9 (.550) |
20-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
3-5 (.375) |
8-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
24-22 (.522) |
43-3 (.935) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
18-10 (.643) |
27-1 (.964) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
6-12 (.333) |
16-2 (.889) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
52-29 (.642) |
78-3 (.963) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
45-13 (.776) |
57-1 (.983) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
7-16 (.304) |
21-2 (.913) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
12-7 (.632) |
17-2 (.895) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
12-2 (.857) |
14-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
0-5 (.000) |
3-2 (.600) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
135-88 (.605) |
203-20 (.910) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
99-44 (.692) |
133-10 (.930) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
36-44 (.450) |
70-10 (.875) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
17-12 (.586) |
28-1 (.966) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
13-7 (.650) |
20-0 (1.000) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
4-5 (.444) |
8-1 (.889) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
40-18 (.690) |
57-1 (.983) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
29-8 (.784) |
36-1 (.973) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
11-10 (.524) |
21-0 (1.000) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
41-23 (.641) |
61-3 (.953) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
28-13 (.683) |
39-2 (.951) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
13-10 (.565) |
22-1 (.957) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
37-35 (.514) |
57-15 (.792) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
29-16 (.644) |
38-7 (.844) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
8-19 (.296) |
19-8 (.704) |
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