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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 3-GAMES-1)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 3 games to 1. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 3-games-1 MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 3-games-1 NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .875 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2023.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 5 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
401-310 (.564) |
652-59 (.917) |
| all |
all |
H |
302-157 (.658) |
431-28 (.939) |
| all |
all |
V |
99-153 (.393) |
221-31 (.877) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
67-56 (.545) |
115-8 (.935) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
47-33 (.588) |
75-5 (.938) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
20-23 (.465) |
40-3 (.930) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
98-78 (.557) |
163-13 (.926) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
68-39 (.636) |
102-5 (.953) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
30-39 (.435) |
61-8 (.884) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
123-76 (.618) |
187-12 (.940) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
96-35 (.733) |
125-6 (.954) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
27-41 (.397) |
62-6 (.912) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
113-100 (.531) |
187-26 (.878) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
91-50 (.645) |
129-12 (.915) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
22-50 (.306) |
58-14 (.806) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
46-47 (.495) |
79-14 (.849) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
27-26 (.509) |
46-7 (.868) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
19-21 (.475) |
33-7 (.825) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
27-21 (.563) |
42-6 (.875) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
16-9 (.640) |
21-4 (.840) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
11-12 (.478) |
21-2 (.913) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
19-26 (.422) |
37-8 (.822) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
11-17 (.393) |
25-3 (.893) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
8-9 (.471) |
12-5 (.706) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
168-113 (.598) |
268-13 (.954) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
142-49 (.743) |
187-4 (.979) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
26-64 (.289) |
81-9 (.900) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
19-18 (.514) |
36-1 (.973) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
15-13 (.536) |
27-1 (.964) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
4-5 (.444) |
9-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
31-29 (.517) |
56-4 (.933) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
23-11 (.676) |
33-1 (.971) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
8-18 (.308) |
23-3 (.885) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
67-36 (.650) |
98-5 (.951) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
58-15 (.795) |
71-2 (.973) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
9-21 (.300) |
27-3 (.900) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
51-30 (.630) |
78-3 (.963) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
46-10 (.821) |
56-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
5-20 (.200) |
22-3 (.880) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
187-150 (.555) |
305-32 (.905) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
133-82 (.619) |
198-17 (.921) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
54-68 (.443) |
107-15 (.877) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
21-17 (.553) |
37-1 (.974) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
16-11 (.593) |
27-0 (1.000) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
5-6 (.455) |
10-1 (.909) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
48-23 (.676) |
70-1 (.986) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
34-11 (.756) |
44-1 (.978) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
14-12 (.538) |
26-0 (1.000) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
56-40 (.583) |
89-7 (.927) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
38-20 (.655) |
54-4 (.931) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
18-20 (.474) |
35-3 (.921) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
62-70 (.470) |
109-23 (.826) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
45-40 (.529) |
73-12 (.859) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
17-30 (.362) |
36-11 (.766) |
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