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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).
BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.
WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
FINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All |
Home Games |
Road Games
BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against
BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records
RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.
BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.
FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.
SEARCH RESULTS
Related search terms from popular search engines.
PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.
ET CETERA
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HISTORICAL SERIES VICTORY PROBABILITIES (UP 2-GAMES-NIL)
Here's what has happened -- in both the series and the following game -- when an MLB/NBA/NHL team led a best-of-7 series 2 games to nil. "Site" means the site (H=home or V=road) where a team played Game 1: For example, the row in which sport=MLB, round=Finals, and site=V refers to MLB teams with a 2-games-nil MLB World Series lead, having played Game 1 on the road; for a second example, the row in which sport=NHL, round=Semis, and site=H refers to NHL teams with a 2-games-nil NHL Stanley Cup Semifinals-round lead, having played Game 1 at home. Theoretical series victory probability for series-leading team = .8125 (based on theoretical game victory probabilities of .5). Table updated through Fall 2023.
| sport |
round |
site |
Game 3 rec. |
series rec. |
| all |
all |
all |
396-438 (.475) |
737-97 (.884) |
| all |
all |
H |
299-356 (.456) |
588-67 (.898) |
| all |
all |
V |
97-82 (.542) |
149-30 (.832) |
| all |
Finals |
all |
66-78 (.458) |
124-20 (.861) |
| all |
Finals |
H |
46-68 (.404) |
99-15 (.868) |
| all |
Finals |
V |
20-10 (.667) |
25-5 (.833) |
| all |
Semis |
all |
97-107 (.475) |
185-19 (.907) |
| all |
Semis |
H |
67-85 (.441) |
135-17 (.888) |
| all |
Semis |
V |
30-22 (.577) |
50-2 (.962) |
| all |
Qtrs |
all |
119-125 (.488) |
217-27 (.889) |
| all |
Qtrs |
H |
93-105 (.470) |
180-18 (.909) |
| all |
Qtrs |
V |
26-20 (.565) |
37-9 (.804) |
| all |
Prelim |
all |
114-128 (.471) |
211-31 (.872) |
| all |
Prelim |
H |
93-98 (.487) |
174-17 (.911) |
| all |
Prelim |
V |
21-30 (.412) |
37-14 (.725) |
| MLB |
all |
all |
40-51 (.440) |
76-15 (.835) |
| MLB |
all |
H |
23-38 (.377) |
50-11 (.820) |
| MLB |
all |
V |
17-13 (.567) |
26-4 (.867) |
| MLB |
Finals |
all |
24-30 (.444) |
44-10 (.815) |
| MLB |
Finals |
H |
16-23 (.410) |
32-7 (.821) |
| MLB |
Finals |
V |
8-7 (.533) |
12-3 (.800) |
| MLB |
Semis |
all |
16-21 (.432) |
32-5 (.865) |
| MLB |
Semis |
H |
7-15 (.318) |
18-4 (.818) |
| MLB |
Semis |
V |
9-6 (.600) |
14-1 (.933) |
| NBA |
all |
all |
151-190 (.443) |
314-27 (.921) |
| NBA |
all |
H |
128-172 (.427) |
278-22 (.927) |
| NBA |
all |
V |
23-18 (.561) |
36-5 (.878) |
| NBA |
Finals |
all |
14-22 (.389) |
31-5 (.861) |
| NBA |
Finals |
H |
12-21 (.364) |
28-5 (.848) |
| NBA |
Finals |
V |
2-1 (.667) |
3-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Semis |
all |
34-46 (.425) |
74-6 (.925) |
| NBA |
Semis |
H |
25-39 (.391) |
58-6 (.906) |
| NBA |
Semis |
V |
9-7 (.563) |
16-0 (1.000) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
all |
51-71 (.418) |
114-8 (.934) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
H |
42-67 (.385) |
103-6 (.945) |
| NBA |
Qtrs |
V |
9-4 (.692) |
11-2 (.846) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
all |
52-51 (.505) |
95-8 (.922) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
H |
49-45 (.521) |
89-5 (.947) |
| NBA |
Prelim |
V |
3-6 (.333) |
6-3 (.667) |
| NHL |
all |
all |
205-197 (.510) |
347-55 (.863) |
| NHL |
all |
H |
148-146 (.503) |
260-34 (.884) |
| NHL |
all |
V |
57-51 (.528) |
87-21 (.806) |
| NHL |
Finals |
all |
28-26 (.519) |
49-5 (.907) |
| NHL |
Finals |
H |
18-24 (.429) |
39-3 (.929) |
| NHL |
Finals |
V |
10-2 (.833) |
10-2 (.833) |
| NHL |
Semis |
all |
47-40 (.540) |
79-8 (.908) |
| NHL |
Semis |
H |
35-31 (.530) |
59-7 (.894) |
| NHL |
Semis |
V |
12-9 (.571) |
20-1 (.952) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
all |
68-54 (.557) |
103-19 (.844) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
H |
51-38 (.573) |
77-12 (.865) |
| NHL |
Qtrs |
V |
17-16 (.515) |
26-7 (.788) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
all |
62-77 (.446) |
116-23 (.835) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
H |
44-53 (.454) |
85-12 (.876) |
| NHL |
Prelim |
V |
18-24 (.429) |
31-11 (.738) |
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