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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
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FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
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BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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2026 NHL Quarterfinals round - Series 1628.
Anaheim Ducks vs Vegas Golden Knights

Schedule and 2025-26 Results
Regular Season Records: Vegas 39-26-17=95pts, Anaheim 43-33-6=92pts
Game 1 on Monday, 04 May: Anaheim loses at Vegas, 3-goals-1
Game 2 on Wednesday, 06 May: Anaheim wins at Vegas, 3-goals-1
Game 3 on Friday, 08 May: Vegas wins at Anaheim, 6-goals-2
Game 4 on Sunday, 10 May: Vegas loses at Anaheim, 4-goals-3
Game 5 on Tuesday, 12 May: Anaheim loses at Vegas, 3-goals-2(OT)
Game 6 on Thursday, 14 May: Vegas at Anaheim
Game 7* on Saturday, 16 May: Anaheim at Vegas
* if needed

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-2:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 3-games-2 irrespective of site order (Vegas) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2026 NBA/NHL Preliminary round:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 755-190 (.799)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Quarterfinals round: 212-47 (.819)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 371-94 (.798)
series record, NHL only, Quarterfinals round: 100-27 (.787)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 522-423 (.552)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Quarterfinals round: 132-127 (.510)
Game 6 record, NHL only, all rounds: 263-202 (.566)
Game 6 record, NHL only, Quarterfinals round: 64-63 (.504)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1632 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2026 NBA/NHL Preliminary round. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-2 @ HHVVH:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 3-games-2 with site order HHVVH (Vegas) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2026 NBA/NHL Preliminary round:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 398-74 (.843)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Quarterfinals round: 127-28 (.819)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 218-52 (.807)
series record, NHL only, Quarterfinals round: 59-18 (.766)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 253-219 (.536)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Quarterfinals round: 73-82 (.471)
Game 6 record, NHL only, all rounds: 144-126 (.533)
Game 6 record, NHL only, Quarterfinals round: 37-40 (.481)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1632 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2026 NBA/NHL Preliminary round. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLWLW:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading WLWLW irrespective of site order (Vegas) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2026 NBA/NHL Preliminary round:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 76-27 (.738)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Quarterfinals round: 24-8 (.750)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 31-16 (.660)
series record, NHL only, Quarterfinals round: 10-6 (.625)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 49-54 (.476)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Quarterfinals round: 14-18 (.438)
Game 6 record, NHL only, all rounds: 21-26 (.447)
Game 6 record, NHL only, Quarterfinals round: 4-12 (.250)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1632 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2026 NBA/NHL Preliminary round. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLWLW @ HHVVH:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team leading WLWLW with site order HHVVH (Vegas) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2026 NBA/NHL Preliminary round:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 41-11 (.788)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Quarterfinals round: 14-4 (.778)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 17-9 (.654)
series record, NHL only, Quarterfinals round: 6-3 (.667)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 26-26 (.500)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Quarterfinals round: 8-10 (.444)
Game 6 record, NHL only, all rounds: 11-15 (.423)
Game 6 record, NHL only, Quarterfinals round: 3-6 (.333)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1632 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2026 NBA/NHL Preliminary round. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 5: The Vegas Golden Knights hosted and defeated the Anaheim Ducks 3-goals-2(OT) to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1628 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 8-1 (with an active seven-series winning streak) and a Game 6 record of 6-3 (with an active five-Game 6 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Anaheim Ducks have a series record of 0-4 and a Game 6 record of 1-3. Irrespective of Games 1-5 outcomes, the Vegas Golden Knights have an active five-Game 6 winning streak in best-of-7 NHL playoff series.

After Game 4: The Anaheim Ducks hosted and outscored the Vegas Golden Knights 4-goals-3 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1628 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 5-2 and a Game 5 record of 5-2, while the Anaheim Ducks have a series record of 3-7 and a Game 5 record of 7-3. In their seven previous best-of-7 NHL playoff series in which they found themselves tied 2-games-all, the Vegas Golden Knights saw their Game 5 outcome presage their series outcome (five wins, two losses) in each case.

After Game 3: The Vegas Golden Knights visited and bested the Anaheim Ducks 6-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1628 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 7-2 and a Game 4 record of 6-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Anaheim Ducks have a series record of 2-5 and a Game 4 record of 6-1 (with an active five-Game 3 winning streak). Trailing a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Anaheim Ducks sustained their sole Game 4 loss in series 1030, to the Dallas Stars in the 2008 NHL Preliminary round.

After Game 2: The Anaheim Ducks visited and topped the Vegas Golden Knights 3-goals-1 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1628 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 8-4 (with an active four-series winning streak) and a Game 3 record of 7-5, while the Anaheim Ducks have a series record of 3-5 and a Game 3 record of 5-3. Irrespective of Game 1 outcome, the Vegas Golden Knights now have a four-Game 2 losing streak in the wake of their series 1628 Game 2 loss to the visiting Anaheim Ducks.

After Game 1: The Vegas Golden Knights hosted and defeated the Anaheim Ducks 3-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1628 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 9-3 and a Game 2 record of 5-7. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Anaheim Ducks have a series record of 3-7 and a Game 2 record of 5-5. The series 1628 Game 1 victory by the Vegas Golden Knights is their eighth Game 1 victory in their last nine best-of-7 NHL playoff series; the series 1628 Game 1 loss by the Anaheim Ducks is their fifth consecutive Game 1 loss. As the Anaheim Ducks, this entity sustained its first Game 1 loss in a best-of-7 NHL playoff series in series 1003 against the Detroit Red Wings in the 2007 NHL Semifinals; Anaheim would rally for the series victory, and eventually win the 2007 NHL championship.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2025-26 NHL regular season, the Vegas Golden Knights finished three points ahead of the Anaheim Ducks. From 1939 through the 2026 NHL Preliminary round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by three regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 19-24 (.442) in those series against those opponents. Best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1628 is the 20th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Vegas Golden Knights, and the 21st for the Anaheim Ducks. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Vegas Golden Knights have an all-rounds series record of 13-6, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 4-1, and a Game 1 record of 12-7, while the Anaheim Ducks have an all-rounds series record of 11-9, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 3-2, and a Game 1 record of 10-10 (with an active four-Game 1 losing streak). Series 1628 is the first best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Vegas Golden Knights and the Anaheim Ducks.