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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2026 NHL Preliminary round - Series 1622.
Minnesota Wild vs Dallas Stars

Schedule and 2025-26 Results
Regular Season Records: Dallas 50-20-12=112pts, Minnesota 46-24-12=104pts
Game 1 on Saturday, 18 April: Minnesota wins at Dallas, 6-goals-1
Game 2 on Monday, 20 April: Minnesota loses at Dallas, 4-goals-2
Game 3 on Wednesday, 22 April: Dallas wins at Minnesota, 4-goals-3(2OT)
Game 4 on Saturday, 25 April: Dallas loses at Minnesota, 3-goals-2(OT)
Game 5 on Tuesday, 28 April: Minnesota wins at Dallas, 4-goals-2
Game 6 on Thursday, 30 April: Dallas loses at Minnesota, 5-goals-2

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Minnesota Wild hosted and defeated the Dallas Stars 5-goals-2 to complete a 4-games-2 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1622 victory. With the series 1622 win, the Minnesota Wild improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 5-13 overall and 4-10 in the Preliminary round. With the series 1622 loss, the Dallas Stars see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 25-20 overall and 13-8 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Minnesota Wild in series 1622 was WLLWWW: Series 1622 thus becomes the seventeenth NHL Preliminary-round series, the 32nd NHL series (all rounds), and the 48th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The series 1622 victory by the Minnesota Wild ends a best-of-7 NHL playoff series losing streak of eight series by the Wild.

After Game 5: The Minnesota Wild visited and bested the Dallas Stars 4-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1622 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Minnesota Wild have a series record of 1-0 and a Game 6 record of 1-0. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 1-12 (with an active ten-series losing streak) and a Game 6 record of 5-8. In their sole previous best-of-7 NHL playoff series in which they led 3-games-2, the Minnesota Wild in series 1258 won Game 6 and thus their series against the St. Louis Blues in the 2015 NHL Preliminary round.

After Game 4: The Minnesota Wild hosted and bested the Dallas Stars 3-goals-2(OT) to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1622 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 13-6 and a Game 5 record of 13-6, while the Minnesota Wild have a series record of 2-5 and a Game 5 record of 1-6. Of the nineteen previous best-of-7 NHL playoff series in which the Dallas Stars were tied 2-games-all after four games, only one of those nineteen series involved the Minnesota Wild: in series 1523, Dallas was tied 2-games-all against Minnesota, and defeated the Wild in the 2023 NHL Preliminary round. With their series 1622 Game 4 overtime victory, the Minnesota Wild end their five-Game 4 losing streak (irrespective of previous game outcomes) in best-of-7 NHL playoff series.

After Game 3: With a goal 12:10 into double-overtime, the Dallas Stars visited and defeated the Minnesota Wild 4-goals-3(2OT) to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1622 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 15-2 and a Game 4 record of 9-8. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Minnesota Wild have a series record of 3-5 (with an active four-series losing streak) and a Game 4 record of 2-6. In the wake of a 2-games-1 best-of-7 NHL playoff series deficit, the Minnesota Wild suffered one of their six series losses to the Dallas Stars (in series 1291, in the 2016 NHL Preliminary round). The Dallas Stars trailed their host Minnesota Wild by one goal as late as 10:17 into the third period of series 1622 Game 3, but prevailed: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2025, inclusive, road teams down one goal as late as 10:17 into the third period had a game record of only 121-722 (.144) - the Dallas Stars thus achieve a grade-B (.100 - .199) in-game comeback through their double-overtime victory.

After Game 2: The Dallas Stars hosted and bested the Minnesota Wild 4-goals-2 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1622 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 14-10 and a Game 3 record of 10-14, while the Minnesota Wild have a series record of 3-5 (with an active four-series losing streak) and a Game 3 record of 5-3. As in series 1523 in the 2023 NHL Preliminary round, the Dallas Stars and Minnesota Wild find themselves tied 1-game-all in their best-of-7 NHL playoff series against each other.

After Game 1: The Minnesota Wild visited and bested the Dallas Stars 6-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1622 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Minnesota Wild have a series record of 2-2 and a Game 2 record of 0-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 10-15 and a Game 2 record of 15-10. In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff series (1939-2025, inclusive), road teams winning Game 1 by five goals (such as the Minnesota Wild in series 1622 Game 1) had a series record of 4-3.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2025-26 NHL regular season, the Dallas Stars finished eight points ahead of the Minnesota Wild. From 1939 through the 2025 NHL Finals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by eight regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 23-9 (.719) in those series against those opponents. Best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1622 is the 45th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Dallas Stars, and the 18th for the Minnesota Wild. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Dallas Stars have an all-rounds series record of 25-19, a Preliminary-round series record of 13-7, and a Game 1 record of 19-25, while the Minnesota Wild have an all-rounds series record of 4-13, a Preliminary-round series record of 3-10, and a Game 1 record of 4-13. Series 1622 is the third best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Dallas Stars and the Minnesota Wild. The Dallas Stars defeated the Minnesota Wild in both of their previous best-of-7 NHL playoff series, in the 2016 NHL Preliminary round and in the 2023 NHL Preliminary round.