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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2026 NHL Preliminary round - Series 1619.
Ottawa Senators vs Carolina Hurricanes

Schedule and 2025-26 Results
Regular Season Records: Carolina 53-22-7=113pts, Ottawa 44-27-11=99pts
Game 1 on Saturday, 18 April: Ottawa loses at Carolina, 2-goals-nil
Game 2 on Monday, 20 April: Ottawa loses at Carolina, 3-goals-2(2OT)
Game 3 on Thursday, 23 April: Carolina wins at Ottawa, 2-goals-1
Game 4 on Saturday, 25 April: Carolina wins at Ottawa, 4-goals-2

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 4: The Carolina Hurricanes visited and bested the Ottawa Senators 4-goals-2 to complete a 4-games-nil best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1619 victory. With the series 1619 win, the Carolina Hurricanes improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 19-11 overall and 10-3 (with an active six Preliminary-round series winning streak) in the Preliminary round. With the series 1619 loss, the Ottawa Senators see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 11-18 overall and 7-11 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Carolina Hurricanes in series 1619 was WWWW: Series 1619 thus becomes the 39th NHL Preliminary-round series, the 130th NHL series (all rounds), and the 259th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. In series 1619, the swept Ottawa Senators did not hold an in-game lead for so much as a single second; as such, series 1619 becomes the 20th annihilation (a swept best-of-7 NHL playoff series in which the swept team never leads) in best-of-7 NHL playoff history, and the first since the Montreal Canadiens annihilated the Winnipeg Jets (II) in the 2021 NHL Quarterfinals. Series 1619 ended at 5:57pmEDT on Saturday 25 April, marking the earliest end of a Spring 2026 NBA/NHL playoff series.

After Game 3: The Carolina Hurricanes visited and defeated the Ottawa Senators 2-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1619 lead of 3-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the Carolina Hurricanes have a series record of 3-0 and a Game 4 record of 1-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the Ottawa Senators have a series record of 0-6 and a Game 4 record of 3-3. Irrespective of previous game outcomes, the Carolina Hurricanes have an active four-Game 4 winning streak in best-of-7 NHL playoff series. Series 1619 becomes the 415th best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series to begin with a 3-games-nil (series 1620 between the Philadelphia Flyers and the Pittsburgh Penguins, also in the 2026 NHL Preliminary round, became the 414th). Both the Pittsburgh Penguins in series 1620 and the Ottawa Senators in series 1619 will be striving to achieve only the sixth comeback from that 3-games-nil deficit to a 4-games-3 victory.

After Game 2: The Carolina Hurricanes hosted and topped the Ottawa Senators 3-goals-2(2OT) to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1619 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Carolina Hurricanes have a series record of 10-1 and a Game 3 record of 3-8. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Ottawa Senators have a series record of 0-10 and a Game 3 record of 4-6. Leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Carolina Hurricanes sustained their sole series loss in series 1494, to the New York Rangers in the 2022 NHL Quarterfinals.

After Game 1: The Carolina Hurricanes hosted and shut out the Ottawa Senators 2-goals-nil to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1619 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Carolina Hurricanes have a series record of 12-2 (with an active five-series winning streak) and a Game 2 record of 11-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Ottawa Senators have a series record of 3-12 and a Game 2 record of 5-10. In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff series, home teams winning Game 1 of a best-of-7 NHL Preliminary round on home ice (such as Carolina in series 1619) had a 5-0 Game 2 record and a 5-0 series record.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2025-26 NHL regular season, the Carolina Hurricanes finished fourteen points ahead of the Ottawa Senators. From 1939 through the 2025 NHL Finals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by fourteen regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 13-10 (.565) in those series against those opponents. Best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1619 is the 30th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Carolina Hurricanes, and the 29th for the Ottawa Senators. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Carolina Hurricanes have an all-rounds series record of 18-11, a Preliminary-round series record of 9-3, and a Game 1 record of 14-15, while the Ottawa Senators have an all-rounds series record of 11-17, a Preliminary-round series record of 7-10, and a Game 1 record of 13-15. Series 1619 is the first best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Carolina Hurricanes and the Ottawa Senators.