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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2026 NBA Finals round - Series 1646.
New York Knickerbockers vs San Antonio Spurs

Schedule and 2025-26 Results
Regular Season Records: San Antonio 62-20, New York 53-29
Game 1 on Wednesday, 03 June: New York wins at San Antonio, 105-pts-95
Game 2 on Friday, 05 June: New York wins at San Antonio, 105-pts-104
Game 3 on Monday, 08 June: San Antonio at New York
Game 4 on Wednesday, 10 June: San Antonio at New York
Game 5* on Saturday, 13 June: New York at San Antonio
Game 6* on Tuesday, 16 June: San Antonio at New York
Game 7* on Friday, 19 June: New York at San Antonio
* if needed

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 2-games-nil:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 2-games-nil irrespective of site order (New York) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2026 NBA/NHL Semifinals round:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 781-103 (.883)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 127-20 (.864)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 337-29 (.921)
series record, NBA only, Finals round: 32-5 (.865)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 423-461 (.479)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 69-78 (.469)
Game 3 record, NBA only, all rounds: 164-202 (.448)
Game 3 record, NBA only, Finals round: 15-22 (.405)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1644 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2026 NBA/NHL Semifinals round. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 2-games-nil @ VV:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 2-games-nil with site order VV (New York) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2026 NBA/NHL Semifinals round:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 149-32 (.823)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 23-5 (.821)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 33-5 (.868)
series record, NBA only, Finals round: 2-0 (1.000)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 96-85 (.530)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 19-9 (.679)
Game 3 record, NBA only, all rounds: 20-18 (.526)
Game 3 record, NBA only, Finals round: 1-1 (.500)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1644 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2026 NBA/NHL Semifinals round. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 2: The New York Knickerbockers visited and topped the San Antonio Spurs 105-pts-104 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1646 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the New York Knickerbockers have a series record of 14-3 and a Game 3 record of 6-11. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the San Antonio Spurs have a series record of 1-10 (with an active four-series losing streak) and a Game 3 record of 6-5. In series 1646, the New York Knickerbockers have opened a best-of-7 NBA playoff series with a 2-games-nil win order for the third consecutive series, and extend their winning streak to thirteen consecutive 2026 NBA playoff games. The New York Knickerbockers trailed the host San Antonio Spurs by nine points as late as after one quarter in series 1646 Game 2, but prevailed: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games from 1947 through 04 June 2026, inclusive, road teams down nine points as late as after one quarter had a game record of only 18-86 (.173) - the New York Knickerbockers thus achieve a grade-B (.100 - .199) in-game comeback. Trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 2-games-nil, the San Antonio Spurs achieved their sole series victory in series 1049, over the old New Orleans Hornets in the 2008 NBA Quarterfinals.

After Game 1: The New York Knickerbockers visited and defeated the San Antonio Spurs 105-pts-95 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1646 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the New York Knickerbockers have a series record of 21-7 (with an active five-series winning streak) and a Game 2 record of 17-11. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the San Antonio Spurs have a series record of 8-17 and a Game 2 record of 14-11. For the first time since 2004, the road team has won Game 1 of both the NHL Finals and the NBA Finals, with the road-winning Vegas Golden Knights now on a seven-game winning streak and the road-winning New York Knickerbockers now on a twelve-game winning streak in their respective leagues. With their series 1646 Game 1 victory, the New York Knickerbockers lengthen their best-of-7 NBA playoffs Game 1 winning streak to four consecutive Game 1s. The series 1646 Game 1 victory is the first NBA Finals Game 1 victory by the New York Knickerbockers since the 1972 NBA Finals; the series 1646 Game 1 loss is the first NBA Finals Game 1 defeat sustained by the San Antonio Spurs in seven best-of-7 NBA Finals series. The New York Knickerbockers trailed their host San Antonio Spurs by eight points as late as after one quarter of series 1646 Game 1, but won: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games from 1947 through 02 June 2026, inclusive, road teams down eight points as late as after one quarter had a game record of only 20-102 (.164) - the New York Knickerbockers thus achieve a grade-B (.100 - .199) in-game comeback in their 2026 NBA Finals Game 1 in San Antonio.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2025-26 NBA regular season, the San Antonio Spurs finished nine games ahead of the New York Knickerbockers. From 1947 through the 2026 NBA Semifinals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by nine regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 29-4 (.879) in those series against those opponents. Best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1646 is the 66th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the San Antonio Spurs, and the 56th for the New York Knickerbockers. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the San Antonio Spurs have an all-rounds series record of 40-25, a Finals-round series record of 5-1, and a Game 1 record of 40-25, while the New York Knickerbockers have an all-rounds series record of 25-30, a Finals-round series record of 2-6, and a Game 1 record of 28-27. Series 1646 is the second best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the San Antonio Spurs and the New York Knickerbockers. In their only previous best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting, the San Antonio Spurs defeated the New York Knickerbockers in series 794 (in the 1999 NBA Finals, to win their first NBA championship). In best-of-7 NBA Finals, the San Antonio Spurs sustained their sole loss to the Miami Heat, in series 1217 (the 2013 NBA Finals). In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, teams that led their opponents by nine regular-season games (as in series 1646) have a five-series winning streak.