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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
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Irrespective of Game 1 site
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Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
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Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
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All | Home Games | Road Games
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All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
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BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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2026 NBA Preliminary round - Series 1635.
Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Schedule and 2025-26 Results
Regular Season Records: Cleveland 52-30, Toronto 46-36
Game 1 on Saturday, 18 April: Toronto loses at Cleveland, 126-pts-113
Game 2 on Monday, 20 April: Toronto loses at Cleveland, 115-pts-105
Game 3 on Thursday, 23 April: Cleveland loses at Toronto, 126-pts-104
Game 4 on Sunday, 26 April: Cleveland loses at Toronto, 93-pts-89
Game 5 on Wednesday, 29 April: Toronto at Cleveland
Game 6 on Friday, 01 May: Cleveland at Toronto
Game 7* on Sunday, 03 May: Toronto at Cleveland
* if needed

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied 2-games-all @ HHVV:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team tied 2-games-all with site order HHVV (Cleveland) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2025 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 375-207 (.644)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 120-60 (.667)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 165-54 (.753)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 46-10 (.821)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 371-211 (.637)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 118-62 (.656)
Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 159-60 (.726)
Game 5 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 42-14 (.750)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1616 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2025 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied WWLL:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team tied WWLL irrespective of site order (Cleveland) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2025 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 149-86 (.634)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 41-28 (.594)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 72-26 (.735)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 17-8 (.680)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 144-91 (.613)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 41-28 (.594)
Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 70-28 (.714)
Game 5 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 17-8 (.680)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1616 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2025 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied WWLL @ HHVV:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team tied WWLL with site order HHVV (Cleveland) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2025 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 129-60 (.683)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 36-15 (.706)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 67-21 (.761)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 17-5 (.773)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 130-59 (.688)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 37-14 (.725)
Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 65-23 (.739)
Game 5 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 16-6 (.727)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1616 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2025 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 4: The Toronto Raptors hosted and topped the Cleveland Cavaliers 93-pts-89 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1635 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Cleveland Cavaliers have a series record of 9-6 (with an active four-series winning streak) and a Game 5 record of 9-6, while the Toronto Raptors have a series record of 6-4 and a Game 5 record of 7-3. Irrespective of previous game outcomes, the Toronto Raptors now have an active eight-Game 4 winning streak in best-of-7 NBA playoff series, in the wake of their series 1635 Game 4 victory against the Cleveland Cavaliers. Once before were Toronto and Cleveland knotted 2-games-all in a best-of-7 NBA playoff series: In series 1314, in the 2016 NBA Semifinals, the Raptors and Cavaliers were tied 2-games-all; Cleveland then won Games 5 and 6 to win the series, and then won the 2016 NBA championship.

After Game 3: The Toronto Raptors hosted and defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers 126-pts-104 to reduce the Cleveland Cavaliers best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1635 lead to 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Cleveland Cavaliers have a series record of 8-2 and a Game 4 record of 4-6. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Toronto Raptors have a series record of 3-5 and a Game 4 record of 6-2 (with an active six-Game 4 winning streak). Irrespective of previous game outcomes, the Toronto Raptors have an active seven-Game 4 winning streak in best-of-7 NBA playoff series. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series history (1947-2025, inclusive), teams such as the Cleveland Cavaliers in series 1635 which post a WWL@HHV win/site order with each game decided by 10+ points had a 28-6 (.824) series record.

After Game 2: The Cleveland Cavaliers hosted and bested the Toronto Raptors 115-pts-105 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1635 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Cleveland Cavaliers have a series record of 17-0 and a Game 3 record of 11-6. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Toronto Raptors have a series record of 1-7 and a Game 3 record of 4-4. With their series 1635 Game 2 victory, the Cleveland Cavaliers have now defeated the Toronto Raptors in twelve consecutive best-of-7 NBA playoff games. Trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 1-game-nil (as Toronto did prior to series 1635 Game 2), the Toronto Raptors now have a four-Game 2 losing streak. Trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 2-games-nil, the Toronto Raptors notched their sole series victory in series 1413, in the 2019 NBA Semifinals over the Milwaukee Bucks en route to the 2019 NBA championship.

After Game 1: The Cleveland Cavaliers hosted and defeated the Toronto Raptors 126-pts-113 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1635 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Cleveland Cavaliers have a series record of 19-1 (with an active 11-series winning streak) and a Game 2 record of 17-3 (with an active 11-Game 2 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Toronto Raptors have a series record of 5-9 and a Game 2 record of 6-8. Leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 1-game-nil, the Cleveland Cavaliers have seen their Game 2 outcome presage their series outcome in their last 18 such series (17 wins, one loss). The Toronto Raptors now have a 0-4 Game 1 record against the Cleveland Cavaliers in best-of-7 NBA playoff series between the two teams.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2025-26 NBA regular season, the Cleveland Cavaliers finished six games ahead of the Toronto Raptors. From 1947 through the 2025 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by six regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 25-5 (.833) in those series against those opponents. Best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1635 is the 40th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Cleveland Cavaliers, and the 20th for the Toronto Raptors. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Cleveland Cavaliers have an all-rounds series record of 25-14, a Preliminary-round series record of 11-1, and a Game 1 record of 20-19, while the Toronto Raptors have an all-rounds series record of 9-10, a Preliminary-round series record of 5-5, and a Game 1 record of 5-14. Series 1635 is the fourth best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Toronto Raptors. In their previous three best-of-7 NBA playoff series meetings, the Cleveland Cavaliers defeated the Toronto Raptors in six games in the 2016 NBA Semifinals, and swept the Raptors from both the 2017 NBA Quarterfinals and the 2018 NBA Quarterfinals.