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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

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Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
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QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
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Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
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BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
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All | Home Games | Road Games
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All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

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2026 NBA Preliminary round - Series 1632.
Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons

Schedule and 2025-26 Results
Regular Season Records: Detroit 60-22, Orlando 45-37
Game 1 on Sunday, 19 April: Orlando wins at Detroit, 112-pts-101
Game 2 on Wednesday, 22 April: Orlando loses at Detroit, 98-pts-83
Game 3 on Saturday, 25 April: Detroit loses at Orlando, 113-pts-105
Game 4 on Monday, 27 April: Detroit loses at Orlando, 94-pts-88
Game 5 on Wednesday, 29 April: Orlando at Detroit
Game 6* on Friday, 01 May: Detroit at Orlando
Game 7* on Sunday, 03 May: Orlando at Detroit
* if needed

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-1:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 3-games-1 irrespective of site order (Orlando) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2025 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 691-59 (.921)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 206-26 (.888)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 285-13 (.956)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 87-3 (.967)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 425-325 (.567)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 125-107 (.539)
Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 179-119 (.601)
Game 5 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 56-34 (.622)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1616 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2025 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-1 @ VVHH:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 3-games-1 with site order VVHH (Orlando) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2025 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 219-31 (.876)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 62-14 (.816)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 80-9 (.899)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 25-3 (.893)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 100-150 (.400)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 24-52 (.316)
Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 25-64 (.281)
Game 5 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 6-22 (.214)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1616 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2025 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLWW:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading WLWW irrespective of site order (Orlando) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2025 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 176-26 (.871)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 53-12 (.815)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 71-7 (.910)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 21-1 (.955)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 97-105 (.480)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 25-40 (.385)
Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 36-42 (.462)
Game 5 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 10-12 (.455)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1616 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2025 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLWW @ VVHH:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team leading WLWW with site order VVHH (Orlando) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2025 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 82-18 (.820)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 25-9 (.735)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 38-6 (.864)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 14-1 (.933)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 34-66 (.340)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 9-25 (.265)
Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 11-33 (.250)
Game 5 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 5-10 (.333)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1616 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2025 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 4: The Orlando Magic hosted and bested the Detroit Pistons 94-pts-88 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1632 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Orlando Magic have a series record of 3-1 and a Game 5 record of 2-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Detroit Pistons have a series record of 1-5 and a Game 5 record of 4-2. Irrespective of Games 1-4 outcomes, the Orlando Magic have an active five-Game 5 losing streak in best-of-7 NBA playoff series. Leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-1 (as Orlando now does in series 1632), the Magic suffered their sole series loss in series 888, in the 2003 NBA Preliminary round against ... the Detroit Pistons. (Series 888 also represents the sole Detroit comeback for a 4-games-3 victory in the wake of a 3-games-1 deficit.) Irrespective of Games 1-3 outcomes, the Detroit Pistons now have an active five-Game 4 losing streak in best-of-7 NBA playoff series in the wake of their series 1632 Game 4 loss.

After Game 3: The Orlando Magic hosted and defeated the Detroit Pistons 113-pts-105 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1632 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Orlando Magic have a series record of 5-1 and a Game 4 record of 3-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Detroit Pistons have a series record of 6-11 and a Game 4 record of 12-5. Leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 2-games-1 (as Orlando now does in series 1632), Orlando sustained its sole series loss in series 888, in the 2003 NBA Preliminary round ... to the Detroit Pistons. Irrespective of previous game outcomes in best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Detroit Pistons through their series 1632 Game 3 loss see their best-of-7 NBA playoff Game 3 losing streak extended to nine consecutive Game 3s, and have an active four-Game 4 losing streak as well.

After Game 2: The Detroit Pistons hosted and outscored the Orlando Magic 98-pts-83 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1632 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Detroit Pistons have a series record of 13-8 and a Game 3 record of 8-13 (with an active six-Game 3 losing streak), while the Orlando Magic have a series record of 4-5 (with an active four-series losing streak) and a Game 3 record of 4-5 (with an active four-Game 3 losing streak). The series 1632 Game 2 victory by the Pistons in Detroit breaks an NBA-record best-of-7 playoff home-court losing streak of eleven games by the Pistons in Detroit, begun with a series 1050 (2008 NBA Semifinals) Game 6 loss and ouster to the visiting Boston Celtics. Irrespective of Games 1-2 outcomes, the Detroit Pistons have an active eight-Game 3 losing streak in best-of-7 NBA playoff series. Series 1632 becomes the ninth 2026 NBA/NHL Preliminary-round playoff series to be knotted 1-game-all after two games. The series 1632 Game 2 loss by the Orlando Magic extends their best-of-7 NBA playoff Game 2 losing streak to six consecutive Game 2s, irrespective of Game 1 outcome.

After Game 1: The Orlando Magic visited and defeated the Detroit Pistons 112-pts-101 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1632 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Orlando Magic have a series record of 8-4 and a Game 2 record of 5-7. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Detroit Pistons have a series record of 4-15 (with an active five-series losing streak) and a Game 2 record of 9-10. Irrespective of Game 1 outcome, the Orlando Magic have an active five-Game 2 losing streak in best-of-7 NBA playoff series. The series 1632 Game 1 loss extends the Detroit Pistons Game 1 losing streak in best-of-7 NBA playoff series to six consecutive Game 1s.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2025-26 NBA regular season, the Detroit Pistons finished fifteen games ahead of the Orlando Magic. From 1947 through the 2025 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by fifteen regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 8-3 (.727) in those series against those opponents. Best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1632 is the 45th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Detroit Pistons, and the 23rd for the Orlando Magic. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Detroit Pistons have an all-rounds series record of 25-19, a Preliminary-round series record of 6-4, and a Game 1 record of 25-19, while the Orlando Magic have an all-rounds series record of 9-13, a Preliminary-round series record of 3-8, and a Game 1 record of 12-10. Series 1632 is the fourth best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Detroit Pistons and the Orlando Magic. The Detroit Pistons defeated the Orlando Magic in all three previous best-of-7 NBA playoff series between the two entities.