Schedule and 2026 Results
Regular Season Records: Milwaukee 103-59, Tampa Bay 98-64
Game 1 on Friday, 23 October: Tampa Bay at Milwaukee
Game 2 on Saturday, 24 October: Tampa Bay at Milwaukee
Game 3 on Monday, 26 October: Milwaukee at Tampa Bay
Game 4 on Tuesday, 27 October: Milwaukee at Tampa Bay
Game 5* on Wednesday, 28 October: Milwaukee at Tampa Bay
Game 6* on Friday, 30 October: Tampa Bay at Milwaukee
Game 7* on Saturday, 31 October: Tampa Bay at Milwaukee
* if needed

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Playing Game 1 @ H:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team playing Game 1 @ H (Milwaukee) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2026 MLB Semifinals round:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 1095-553 (.664)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 188-96 (.662)
series record, MLB only, all rounds: 114-85 (.573)
series record, MLB only, Finals round: 67-50 (.573)
Game 1 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 1079-569 (.655)
Game 1 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 194-90 (.683)
Game 1 record, MLB only, all rounds: 115-84 (.578)
Game 1 record, MLB only, Finals round: 71-46 (.607)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1648 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2026 MLB Semifinals round. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

SERIES NOTES:

Pre-series assessment: In the 2026 MLB regular season, the Milwaukee Brewers finished five games ahead of the Tampa Bay Rays. From 1905 through the 2026 MLB Semifinals round, when MLB teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by five regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 6-5 (.545) in those series against those opponents. Best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1649 is the sixth best-of-7 MLB playoff series for the Milwaukee Brewers, and the sixth for the Tampa Bay Rays. In best-of-7 MLB playoff series, the Milwaukee Brewers have an all-rounds series record of 1-4, a Finals-round series record of 0-1, and a Game 1 record of 4-1, while the Tampa Bay Rays have an all-rounds series record of 3-2, a Finals-round series record of 0-2, and a Game 1 record of 1-4. Series 1649 is the first best-of-7 MLB playoff series meeting between the Milwaukee Brewers and the Tampa Bay Rays. The sole best-of-7 MLB playoff Game 1 victory by the Tampa Bay Rays occurred in series 1449, at home over the Houston Astros in the 2020 American League Championship Series.