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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
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Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
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Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2025 NHL Preliminary round - Series 1590.
Minnesota Wild vs Vegas Golden Knights

Schedule and 2024-25 Results
Regular Season Records: Vegas 50-22-10=110pts, Minnesota 45-30-7=97pts
Game 1 on Sunday, 20 April: Minnesota loses at Vegas, 4-goals-2
Game 2 on Tuesday, 22 April: Minnesota wins at Vegas, 5-goals-2
Game 3 on Thursday, 24 April: Vegas loses at Minnesota, 5-goals-2
Game 4 on Saturday, 26 April: Vegas wins at Minnesota, 4-goals-3(OT)
Game 5 on Tuesday, 29 April: Minnesota loses at Vegas, 3-goals-2(OT)
Game 6 on Thursday, 01 May: Vegas wins at Minnesota, 3-goals-2

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Vegas Golden Knights visited and bested the Minnesota Wild 3-goals-2 to complete a 4-games-2 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1590 victory. With the series 1590 win, the Vegas Golden Knights improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 12-5 overall and 5-2 in the Preliminary round. With the series 1590 loss, the Minnesota Wild see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 4-13 (with an active eight-series losing streak) overall and 3-10 (with an active seven-Preliminary-round series losing streak) in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Vegas Golden Knights in series 1590 was WLLWWW: Series 1590 thus becomes the sixteenth NHL Preliminary-round series, the 31st NHL series (all rounds), and the 46th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. In their last three best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Minnesota Wild had held 2-games-1 leads, but lost Games 4-6 to lose each series.

After Game 5: The Vegas Golden Knights hosted and defeated the Minnesota Wild 3-goals-2(OT) to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1590 lead of 3-games-2.

After Game 4: The Vegas Golden Knights visited and topped the Minnesota Wild 4-goals-3(OT) to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1590 at 2-games-all. The Vegas Golden Knights trailed their host Minnesota Wild by one goal as late as 4:49 into the third period but won: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2024, inclusive, road teams down one goal as late as 4:49 into the third period had a game record of only 166-702 (.191) - the Vegas Golden Knights thus achieve a grade-B (.100 - .199) in-game comeback via their Game 4 overtime win in Minnesota.

After Game 3: The Minnesota Wild hosted and bested the Vegas Golden Knights 5-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1590 lead of 2-games-1.

After Game 2: The Minnesota Wild visited and topped the Vegas Golden Knights 5-goals-2 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1590 at 1-game-all.

After Game 1: The Vegas Golden Knights hosted and bested the Minnesota Wild 4-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1590 lead of 1-game-nil.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2024-25 NHL regular season, the Vegas Golden Knights finished thirteen points ahead of the Minnesota Wild. From 1939 through the 2024 NHL Finals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by thirteen regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 16-10 (.615) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1590 is the 17th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Vegas Golden Knights, and the 17th for the Minnesota Wild. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Vegas Golden Knights have an all-rounds series record of 11-5, a Preliminary-round series record of 4-2, and a Game 1 record of 10-6, while the Minnesota Wild have an all-rounds series record of 4-12, a Preliminary-round series record of 3-9, and a Game 1 record of 4-12. Series 1590 is the second best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Vegas Golden Knights and the Minnesota Wild. In their only previous best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting, the Vegas Golden Knights defeated the Minnesota Wild in seven games in the 2021 NHL Preliminary round (best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1457).