Schedule and 2024-25 Results
Regular Season Records: Washington 51-22-9=111pts, Montreal 40-31-11=91pts
Game 1 on Monday, 21 April: Montreal loses at Washington, 3-goals-2(OT)
Game 2 on Wednesday, 23 April: Montreal loses at Washington, 3-goals-1
Game 3 on Friday, 25 April: Washington loses at Montreal, 6-goals-3
Game 4 on Sunday, 27 April: Washington wins at Montreal, 5-goals-2
Game 5 on Wednesday, 30 April: Montreal at Washington
Game 6* on Friday, 02 May: Washington at Montreal
Game 7* on Sunday, 04 May: Montreal at Washington
* if needed

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-1:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 3-games-1 irrespective of site order (Washington) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2024 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 672-59 (.919)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 197-26 (.883)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 315-32 (.908)
series record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 115-23 (.833)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 412-319 (.564)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 119-104 (.534)
Game 5 record, NHL only, all rounds: 191-156 (.550)
Game 5 record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 66-72 (.478)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1583 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2024 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-1 @ HHVV:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 3-games-1 with site order HHVV (Washington) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2024 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 435-27 (.942)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 137-12 (.919)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 204-17 (.923)
series record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 78-12 (.867)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 301-161 (.652)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 96-53 (.644)
Game 5 record, NHL only, all rounds: 134-87 (.606)
Game 5 record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 48-42 (.533)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1583 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2024 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WWLW:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading WWLW irrespective of site order (Washington) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2024 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 202-11 (.948)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 60-4 (.938)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 83-5 (.943)
series record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 32-4 (.889)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 132-81 (.620)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 39-25 (.609)
Game 5 record, NHL only, all rounds: 51-37 (.580)
Game 5 record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 18-18 (.500)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1583 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2024 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WWLW @ HHVV:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team leading WWLW with site order HHVV (Washington) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2024 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 163-6 (.964)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 49-2 (.961)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 63-2 (.969)
series record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 24-2 (.923)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 113-56 (.669)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 35-16 (.686)
Game 5 record, NHL only, all rounds: 43-22 (.662)
Game 5 record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 15-11 (.577)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1583 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2024 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 4: The Washington Capitals visited and bested the Montreal Canadiens 5-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1586 lead of 3-games-1.

After Game 3: The Montreal Canadiens hosted and defeated the Washington Capitals 6-goals-3 to reduce the Washington Capitals best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1586 lead to 2-games-1.

After Game 2: The Washington Capitals hosted and defeated the Montreal Canadiens 3-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1586 lead of 2-games-nil.

After Game 1: The Washington Capitals hosted and bested the Montreal Canadiens 3-goals-2(OT) to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1586 lead of 1-game-nil.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2024-25 NHL regular season, the Washington Capitals finished 20 points ahead of the Montreal Canadiens. From 1939 through the 2024 NHL Finals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by 20 regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 7-1 (.875) with an active six-series winning streak in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1586 is the 49th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Washington Capitals, and the 124th for the Montreal Canadiens. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Washington Capitals have an all-rounds series record of 18-30, a Preliminary-round series record of 12-17, and a Game 1 record of 27-21, while the Montreal Canadiens have an all-rounds series record of 80-43, a Preliminary-round series record of 15-9, and a Game 1 record of 74-49. Series 1586 is the second best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Washington Capitals and the Montreal Canadiens. In their only previous best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting, the Montreal Canadiens defeated the Washington Capitals in seven games in the 2010 NHL Preliminary round (best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1089).