Schedule and 2024-25 Results
Regular Season Records: Tampa Bay 47-27-8=102pts, Florida 47-31-4=98pts
Game 1 on Tuesday, 22 April: Florida wins at Tampa Bay, 6-goals-2
Game 2 on Thursday, 24 April: Florida wins at Tampa Bay, 2-goals-nil
Game 3 on Saturday, 26 April: Tampa Bay wins at Florida, 5-goals-1
Game 4 on Monday, 28 April: Tampa Bay loses at Florida, 4-goals-2
Game 5 on Wednesday, 30 April: Florida at Tampa Bay
Game 6* on Friday, 02 May: Tampa Bay at Florida
Game 7* on Sunday, 04 May: Florida at Tampa Bay
* if needed

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-1:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 3-games-1 irrespective of site order (Florida) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2024 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 672-59 (.919)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 197-26 (.883)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 315-32 (.908)
series record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 115-23 (.833)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 412-319 (.564)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 119-104 (.534)
Game 5 record, NHL only, all rounds: 191-156 (.550)
Game 5 record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 66-72 (.478)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1583 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2024 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-1 @ VVHH:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 3-games-1 with site order VVHH (Florida) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2024 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 208-31 (.870)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 59-14 (.808)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 106-15 (.876)
series record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 36-11 (.766)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 93-146 (.389)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 22-51 (.301)
Game 5 record, NHL only, all rounds: 54-67 (.446)
Game 5 record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 17-30 (.362)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1583 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2024 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WWLW:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading WWLW irrespective of site order (Florida) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2024 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 202-11 (.948)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 60-4 (.938)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 83-5 (.943)
series record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 32-4 (.889)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 132-81 (.620)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 39-25 (.609)
Game 5 record, NHL only, all rounds: 51-37 (.580)
Game 5 record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 18-18 (.500)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1583 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2024 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WWLW @ VVHH:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team leading WWLW with site order VVHH (Florida) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2024 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 31-5 (.861)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 11-2 (.846)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 19-3 (.864)
series record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 8-2 (.800)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 14-22 (.389)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 4-9 (.308)
Game 5 record, NHL only, all rounds: 8-14 (.364)
Game 5 record, NHL only, Preliminary round: 3-7 (.300)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1583 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2024 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 4: The Florida Panthers hosted and defeated the Tampa Bay Lightning 4-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1585 lead of 3-games-1. The Florida Panthers trailed the visiting Tampa Bay Lightning by one goal as late as 16:12 into the third period but won: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2024, inclusive, home teams down one goal as late as 16:12 into the third period had a game record of only 68-605 (.101) - the Florida Panthers thus achieve a grade-B (.100 - .199) in-game comeback. Each team in series 1585 Game 4 scored a pair of goals eleven seconds apart from each other.

After Game 3: The Tampa Bay Lightning visited and bested the Florida Panthers 5-goals-1 to reduce the Florida Panthers best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1585 lead to 2-games-1.

After Game 2: The Florida Panthers visited and shut out the Tampa Bay Lightning 2-goals-nil to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1585 lead of 2-games-nil.

After Game 1: The Florida Panthers visited and topped the Tampa Bay Lightning 6-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1585 lead of 1-game-nil.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2024-25 NHL regular season, the Tampa Bay Lightning finished four points ahead of the Florida Panthers. From 1939 through the 2024 NHL Finals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by four regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 15-24 (.385) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1585 is the 39th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Tampa Bay Lightning, and the 20th for the Florida Panthers. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Tampa Bay Lightning have an all-rounds series record of 25-13, a Preliminary-round series record of 9-7, and a Game 1 record of 16-22, while the Florida Panthers have an all-rounds series record of 11-8, a Preliminary-round series record of 4-5, and a Game 1 record of 9-10. Series 1585 is the fourth best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Florida Panthers. In their previous three best-of-7 NHL playoff series meetings, the Tampa Bay Lightning defeated the Florida Panthers in the 2021 NHL Preliminary round and swept them in the 2022 NHL Quarterfinals, while Florida defeated Tampa Bay in the 2024 NHL Preliminary round; in each case, the best-of-7 NHL series victor went on to reach the NHL Finals (with the 2021 Lightning and 2024 Panthers winning the NHL championship).