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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
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Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
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Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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2025 NBA Quarterfinals round - Series 1609.
Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder

Schedule and 2024-25 Results:
Regular Season Records: Oklahoma City 68-14, Denver 50-32
Game 1 on Monday, 05 May: Denver wins at Oklahoma City, 121-pts-119
Game 2 on Wednesday, 07 May: Denver loses at Oklahoma City, 149-pts-106
Game 3 on Friday, 09 May: Oklahoma City loses at Denver, 113-pts-104(OT)
Game 4 on Sunday, 11 May: Oklahoma City wins at Denver, 92-pts-87
Game 5 on Tuesday, 13 May: Denver loses at Oklahoma City, 112-pts-105
Game 6 on Thursday, 15 May: Oklahoma City loses at Denver, 119-pts-107
Game 7 on Sunday, 18 May: Denver loses at Oklahoma City, 125-pts-93

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 7: The Oklahoma City Thunder hosted and bested the Denver Nuggets 125-pts-93 to complete a 4-games-3 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1609 victory. With the series 1609 win, the Oklahoma City Thunder improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 13-11 overall and 5-2 in the Quarterfinals round. With the series 1609 loss, the Denver Nuggets see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 14-23 overall and 5-9 in the Quarterfinals round. The win order for the victorious Oklahoma City Thunder in series 1609 was LWLWWLW: Series 1609 thus becomes the fourth NBA Quarterfinals-round series, the eleventh NBA series (all rounds), and the 30th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The Oklahoma City Thunder were also the victors in the previous best-of-7 NBA Quarterfinals series to reach resolution through a LWLWWLW win order (in series 1147, over the Memphis Grizzlies in the 2011 NBA Quarterfinals, which was the first best-of-7 NBA Quarterfinals series for the Oklahoma City Thunder).

After Game 6: The Denver Nuggets hosted and defeated the Oklahoma City Thunder 119-pts-107 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1609 at 3-games-all. When tied 3-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Oklahoma City Thunder have a Game 7 record of 2-2, while the Denver Nuggets have a Game 7 record of 5-4. In Oklahoma City, the Thunder have a 2-0 Game 7 record (with both victories over the Memphis Grizzlies); on the road, the Denver Nuggets have a 1-2 Game 7 record.

After Game 5: The Oklahoma City Thunder hosted and vanquished the Denver Nuggets 112-pts-105 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1609 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Oklahoma City Thunder have a series record of 5-1 and a Game 6 record of 4-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 2-9 and a Game 6 record of 4-7. Leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-2, the Oklahoma City Thunder sustained their sole series loss in their last such series (in series 1315, to the Golden State Warriors in the 2016 NBA Semifinals). The series 1609 Game 5 loss by the Denver Nuggets breaks a six-Game 5 winning streak by the Nuggets in best-of-7 NBA playoff series. Trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-2, the Denver Nuggets achieved their two sole series wins in their last two such series (both in the 2020 NBA playoff season). The Oklahoma City Thunder trailed the visiting Denver Nuggets by eight points after three quarters but emerged victorious: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games from 1947 through 5/12/2025, inclusive, home teams down eight points after three quarters had a game record of only 14-61 (.187) - the Oklahoma City Thunder thus achieve a grade-B (.100 - .199) in-game comeback in series 1609 Game 5 against visiting Denver.

After Game 4: The Oklahoma City Thunder visited and defeated the Denver Nuggets 92-pts-87 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1609 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Oklahoma City Thunder have a series record of 5-4 and a Game 5 record of 4-5, while the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 4-5 and a Game 5 record of 6-3 (with an active six-Game 5 winning streak). With their series 1609 Game 4 victory, the Oklahoma City Thunder now have a five-Game 4 winning streak irrespective of Games 1-3 outcome. Irrespective of Games 1-4 outcome, the Denver Nuggets have an active six-Game 5 winning streak. The Oklahoma City Thunder trailed their host Denver Nuggets by six points after three quarters of their Game 4, but prevailed: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games from 1947 through 5/10/2025, inclusive, road teams down six points after three quarters had a game record of only 15-95 (.136) - the Oklahoma City Thunder thus achieve a grade-B (.100 - .199) in-game comeback to win series 1609 Game 4.

After Game 3: The Denver Nuggets hosted and defeated the Oklahoma City Thunder 113-pts-104(OT) to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1609 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 6-1 (with an active four-series winning streak) and a Game 4 record of 4-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Oklahoma City Thunder have a series record of 4-10 (with an active five-series losing streak) and a Game 4 record of 8-6. Leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 2-games-1, the Denver Nuggets suffered their sole series loss to the Dallas Mavericks in series 519 (in the 1988 NBA Quarterfinals).

After Game 2: The Oklahoma City Thunder hosted and defeated the Denver Nuggets 149-pts-106 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1609 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Oklahoma City Thunder have a series record of 5-6 and a Game 3 record of 3-8, while the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 6-10 (with an active five-series winning streak) and a Game 3 record of 3-13. The 149 points tallied by the Thunder in Oklahoma City in series 1609 Game 2 breaks the best-of-7 NBA playoff Game 2 record for most points by one team. The record had been set by the Philadelphia 76ers, which defeated the visiting Brooklyn Nets 145-pts-123 in series 1403 Game 2, in the 2019 NBA Preliminary round.

After Game 1: The Denver Nuggets visited and bested the Oklahoma City Thunder 121-pts-119 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1609 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 11-7 (with an active seven-series winning streak) and a Game 2 record of 8-10. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Oklahoma City Thunder have a series record of 4-6 and a Game 2 record of 4-6. In their last nine best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Denver Nuggets have seen their Game 1 outcome presage their series outcome (six wins, three losses). The Denver Nuggets trailed the host Oklahoma City Thunder by ten points after two quarters of their series 1609 Game 1, but prevailed: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games from 1947 through 5/4/2025, inclusive, road teams down ten points after two quarters had a game record of only 18-97 (.157) - the Denver Nuggets thus achieve a grade-B (.100 - .199) in-game comeback against the Thunder in Oklahoma City.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2024-25 NBA regular season, the Oklahoma City Thunder finished eighteen games ahead of the Denver Nuggets. From 1947 through the 2025 NBA Preliminary round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by eighteen regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 10-0 (1.000) in those series against those opponents. Best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1609 is the 24th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Oklahoma City Thunder, and the 37th for the Denver Nuggets. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Oklahoma City Thunder have an all-rounds series record of 12-11, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 4-2, and a Game 1 record of 13-10, while the Denver Nuggets have an all-rounds series record of 14-22, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 5-8, and a Game 1 record of 18-18. Series 1609 is the second best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Denver Nuggets. In their previous best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting, the Oklahoma City Thunder defeated the Denver Nuggets in series 1144, in the 2011 NBA Preliminary round. In the last nine best-of-7 NBA playoff series involving the Denver Nuggets, the Denver Game 1 outcome has presaged the Denver series outcome (six wins, three losses).