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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2025 NBA Quarterfinals round - Series 1607.
Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Schedule and 2024-25 Results
Regular Season Records: Cleveland 64-18, Indiana 50-32
Game 1 on Sunday, 04 May: Indiana wins at Cleveland, 121-pts-112
Game 2 on Tuesday, 06 May: Indiana wins at Cleveland, 120-pts-119
Game 3 on Friday, 09 May: Cleveland wins at Indiana, 126-pts-104
Game 4 on Sunday, 11 May: Cleveland loses at Indiana, 129-pts-109
Game 5 on Tuesday, 13 May: Indiana wins at Cleveland, 114-pts-105

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 5: The Indiana Pacers visited and topped the Cleveland Cavaliers 114-pts-105 to complete a 4-games-1 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1607 victory. With the series 1607 win, the Indiana Pacers improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 18-19 overall and 10-2 (with an active four-Quarterfinals series winning streak) in the Quarterfinals round. With the series 1607 loss, the Cleveland Cavaliers see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 25-14 overall and 8-6 in the Quarterfinals round. The win order for the victorious Indiana Pacers in series 1607 was WWLWW: Series 1607 thus becomes the 27th NBA Quarterfinals-round series, the 67th NBA series (all rounds), and the 138th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The Indiana Pacers trailed their host Cleveland Cavaliers by twelve points after one quarter but prevailed: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games from 1947 through 5/12/2025, inclusive, road teams down twelve points after one quarter had a game record of only 10-62 (.139) - the Indiana Pacers thus achieve a grade-B (.100 - .199) in-game comeback in their series 1607 Game 5 victory in Cleveland.

After Game 4: The Indiana Pacers hosted and defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers 129-pts-109 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1607 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Indiana Pacers have a series record of 9-0 and a Game 5 record of 3-6. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Cleveland Cavaliers have a series record of 1-4 and a Game 5 record of 2-3. In the wake of a 3-games-1 best-of-7 NBA playoff series deficit, the sole Cleveland Cavaliers series victory occurred in series 1316, over the Golden State Warriors in the 2016 NBA Finals.

After Game 3: The Cleveland Cavaliers visited and defeated the Indiana Pacers 126-pts-104 to drop the Indiana Pacers best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1607 lead to 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Indiana Pacers have a series record of 12-4 and a Game 4 record of 8-8. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Cleveland Cavaliers have a series record of 6-7 and a Game 4 record of 9-4. Irrespective of Games 1-3 outcomes, the Indiana Pacers have seen their Game 4 outcome presage their series outcome in their last eight best-of-7 NBA playoff series (three wins, five losses).

After Game 2: The Indiana Pacers visited and defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers 120-pts-119 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1607 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Indiana Pacers have a series record of 8-0 and a Game 3 record of 3-5. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Cleveland Cavaliers have a series record of 3-7 and a Game 3 record of 6-4. The Indiana Pacers trailed their host Cleveland Cavaliers by fourteen points after three quarters, but won: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games from 1947 through 5/5/2025, inclusive, road teams down fourteen points after three quarters had a game record of only 2-74 (.026) - the Indiana Pacers thus achieve a grade-A (.000 - .099) in-game comeback in series 1607 Game 2.

After Game 1: The Indiana Pacers visited and defeated the Cleveland Cavaliers 121-pts-112 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1607 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Indiana Pacers have a series record of 11-5 and a Game 2 record of 8-8. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Cleveland Cavaliers have a series record of 6-12 and a Game 2 record of 8-10.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2024-25 NBA regular season, the Cleveland Cavaliers finished fourteen games ahead of the Indiana Pacers. From 1947 through the 2025 NBA Preliminary round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by fourteen regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 20-1 (.952) in those series against those opponents. Best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1607 is the 39th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Cleveland Cavaliers, and the 37th for the Indiana Pacers. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Cleveland Cavaliers have an all-rounds series record of 25-13, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 8-5, and a Game 1 record of 20-18, while the Indiana Pacers have an all-rounds series record of 17-19, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 9-2, and a Game 1 record of 16-20. Series 1607 is the third best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Cleveland Cavaliers and the Indiana Pacers. In their previous two best-of-7 NBA playoff series meetings, Cleveland defeated Indiana (in series 1336 in the 2017 NBA Preliminary round; in series 1371 in the 2018 NBA Preliminary round). In best-of-7 NBA playoff series history, the sole team to lead a series opponent by fourteen games but lose the series was the Milwaukee Bucks, to the Miami Heat in series 1533 (in the 2023 NBA Preliminary round).