Schedule and 2024-25 Results
Regular Season Records: Houston 52-30, Golden State 48-34
Game 1 on Sunday, 20 April: Golden State wins at Houston, 95-pts-85
Game 2 on Wednesday, 23 April: Golden State loses at Houston, 109-pts-94
Game 3 on Saturday, 26 April: Houston loses at Golden State, 104-pts-93
Game 4 on Monday, 28 April: Houston loses at Golden State, 109-pts-106
Game 5 on Wednesday, 30 April: Golden State at Houston
Game 6* on Friday, 02 May: Houston at Golden State
Game 7* on Sunday, 04 May: Golden State at Houston
* if needed

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-1:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 3-games-1 irrespective of site order (Golden State) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2024 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 672-59 (.919)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 197-26 (.883)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 275-13 (.955)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 82-3 (.965)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 412-319 (.564)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 119-104 (.534)
Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 173-115 (.601)
Game 5 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 53-32 (.624)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1583 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2024 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-1 @ VVHH:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 3-games-1 with site order VVHH (Golden State) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2024 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 208-31 (.870)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 59-14 (.808)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 75-9 (.893)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 23-3 (.885)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 93-146 (.389)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 22-51 (.301)
Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 23-61 (.274)
Game 5 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 5-21 (.192)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1583 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2024 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLWW:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading WLWW irrespective of site order (Golden State) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2024 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 171-26 (.868)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 50-12 (.806)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 68-7 (.907)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 18-1 (.947)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 95-102 (.482)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 24-38 (.387)
Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 35-40 (.467)
Game 5 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 9-10 (.474)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1583 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2024 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLWW @ VVHH:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team leading WLWW with site order VVHH (Golden State) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2024 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 78-18 (.813)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 23-9 (.719)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 36-6 (.857)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 12-1 (.923)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 32-64 (.333)
Game 5 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 8-24 (.250)
Game 5 record, NBA only, all rounds: 10-32 (.238)
Game 5 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 4-9 (.308)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1583 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2024 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 4: The Golden State Warriors hosted and topped the Houston Rockets 109-pts-106 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1604 lead of 3-games-1.

After Game 3: The Golden State Warriors hosted and bested the Houston Rockets 104-pts-93 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1604 lead of 2-games-1.

After Game 2: The Houston Rockets hosted and bested the Golden State Warriors 109-pts-94 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1604 at 1-game-all.

After Game 1: The Golden State Warriors visited and topped the Houston Rockets 95-pts-85 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1604 lead of 1-game-nil.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2024-25 NBA regular season, the Houston Rockets finished four games ahead of the Golden State Warriors. From 1947 through the 2024 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by four regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 31-14 (.689) in those series against those opponents. Best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1604 is the 43rd best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Houston Rockets, and the 44th for the Golden State Warriors. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Houston Rockets have an all-rounds series record of 20-22, a Preliminary-round series record of 6-7, and a Game 1 record of 20-22, while the Golden State Warriors have an all-rounds series record of 30-13, a Preliminary-round series record of 9-1, and a Game 1 record of 29-14. Series 1604 is the fifth best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Houston Rockets and the Golden State Warriors. In their previous four best-of-7 NBA playoff series meetings, the Golden State Warriors defeated the Houston Rockets on all four occasions; after those four Houston ousters, Golden State would proceed to reach the NBA Finals on all four occasions, winning the NBA championship twice.