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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2025 NBA Preliminary round - Series 1601.
Detroit Pistons vs New York Knickerbockers

Schedule and 2024-25 Results
Regular Season Records: New York 51-31, Detroit 44-38
Game 1 on Saturday, 19 April: Detroit loses at New York, 123-pts-112
Game 2 on Monday, 21 April: Detroit wins at New York, 100-pts-94
Game 3 on Thursday, 24 April: New York wins at Detroit, 118-pts-116
Game 4 on Sunday, 27 April: New York wins at Detroit, 94-pts-93
Game 5 on Tuesday, 29 April: Detroit wins at New York, 106-pts-103
Game 6 on Thursday, 01 May: New York at Detroit
Game 7* on Saturday, 03 May: Detroit at New York
* if needed

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-2:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 3-games-2 irrespective of site order (Knicks) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2024 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 730-186 (.797)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 225-54 (.806)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 293-57 (.837)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 76-11 (.874)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 506-410 (.552)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 166-113 (.595)
Game 6 record, NBA only, all rounds: 199-151 (.569)
Game 6 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 56-31 (.644)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1583 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2024 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-2 @ HHVVH:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 3-games-2 with site order HHVVH (Knicks) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2024 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 385-73 (.841)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 142-25 (.850)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 171-21 (.891)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 50-2 (.962)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 246-212 (.537)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 99-68 (.593)
Game 6 record, NBA only, all rounds: 105-87 (.547)
Game 6 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 35-17 (.673)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1583 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2024 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLWWL:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading WLWWL irrespective of site order (Knicks) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2024 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 76-26 (.745)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 26-12 (.684)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 33-7 (.825)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 9-1 (.900)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 58-44 (.569)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 20-18 (.526)
Game 6 record, NBA only, all rounds: 28-12 (.700)
Game 6 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 8-2 (.800)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1583 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2024 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLWWL @ HHVVH:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team leading WLWWL with site order HHVVH (Knicks) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2024 MLB Finals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 24-5 (.828)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 11-3 (.786)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 6-1 (.857)
series record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 1-0 (1.000)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 13-16 (.448)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Preliminary round: 7-7 (.500)
Game 6 record, NBA only, all rounds: 3-4 (.429)
Game 6 record, NBA only, Preliminary round: 1-0 (1.000)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1583 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2024 MLB Finals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 5: The Detroit Pistons visited and defeated the New York Knickerbockers 106-pts-103 to reduce the New York Knickerbockers best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1601 lead to 3-games-2.

After Game 4: The New York Knickerbockers visited and bested the Detroit Pistons 94-pts-93 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1601 lead of 3-games-1. The New York Knickerbockers trailed the host Detroit Pistons by seven points as late as after three quarters but won: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games from 1947 through 2024, inclusive, road teams down seven points as late as after three quarters had a game record of only 17-112 (.132) - the New York Knickerbockers thus achieve a grade-B (.100 - .199) in-game comeback. With their series 1601 Game 4 loss, the Detroit Pistons now have a nine-game losing streak in best-of-7 NBA playoff home games (2008 NBA Semifinals Game 6 through 2025 NBA Preliminary-round Game 4), tying the Philadelphia 76ers (1968 NBA Semifinals Game 5 through 1971 Quarterfinals Game 4) for the longest such streak in best-of-7 NBA playoff history.

After Game 3: The New York Knickerbockers visited and bested the Detroit Pistons 118-pts-116 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1601 lead of 2-games-1.

After Game 2: The Detroit Pistons visited and defeated the New York Knickerbockers 100-pts-94 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1601 at 1-game-all. The victory by the Detroit Pistons in series 1601 Game 2 snaps a best-of-7 format NBA playoffs 15-game losing streak by the Pistons, begun with series 1050 (2008 NBA Semifinals) Games 5-6 to the Boston Celtics, continuing through series losses through sweeps from series 1071 (2009 NBA Preliminary round by the Cleveland Cavaliers), 1302 (2016 Preliminary round by Cleveland again), and 1401 (2019 Preliminary round by the Milwaukee Bucks), and finally terminated after series 1601 Game 1.

After Game 1: The New York Knickerbockers hosted and bested the Detroit Pistons 123-pts-112 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1601 lead of 1-game-nil.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2024-25 NBA regular season, the New York Knickerbockers finished seven games ahead of the Detroit Pistons. From 1947 through the 2024 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by seven regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 29-7 (.806) in those series against those opponents. Best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1601 is the 50th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the New York Knickerbockers, and the 44th for the Detroit Pistons. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the New York Knickerbockers have an all-rounds series record of 20-29, a Preliminary-round series record of 3-4, and a Game 1 record of 23-26, while the Detroit Pistons have an all-rounds series record of 25-18, a Preliminary-round series record of 6-3, and a Game 1 record of 25-18. Series 1601 is the second best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the New York Knickerbockers and the Detroit Pistons. In their only previous best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting, the Detroit Pistons defeated the New York Knickerbockers in five games in best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 567 (in the 1990 NBA Quarterfinals round, en route to the 1990 NBA championship).