Schedule and 2025 Results
Regular Season Records: Toronto 94-68, Los Angeles Dodgers 93-69
Game 1 on Friday, 24 October: Los Angeles Dodgers lose at Toronto, 11-runs-4
Game 2 on Saturday, 25 October: Los Angeles Dodgers win at Toronto, 5-runs-1
Game 3 on Monday, 27 October: Toronto loses at Los Angeles Dodgers, 6-runs-5 (18 innings)
Game 4 on Tuesday, 28 October: Toronto wins at Los Angeles Dodgers, 6-runs-2
Game 5 on Wednesday, 29 October: Toronto wins at Los Angeles Dodgers, 6-runs-1
Game 6 on Friday, 31 October: Los Angeles Dodgers at Toronto
Game 7* on Saturday, 01 November: Los Angeles Dodgers at Toronto
* if needed
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-2:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 3-games-2 irrespective of site order (Toronto) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2025 MLB Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 745-187 (.799)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 124-38 (.765)
series record, MLB only, all rounds: 80-36 (.690)
series record, MLB only, Finals round: 46-21 (.687)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 514-418 (.552)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 84-78 (.519)
Game 6 record, MLB only, all rounds: 54-62 (.466)
Game 6 record, MLB only, Finals round: 27-40 (.403)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1615 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2025 MLB Semifinals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-2 @ HHVVV:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 3-games-2 with site order HHVVV (Toronto) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2025 MLB Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 53-14 (.791)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 31-8 (.795)
series record, MLB only, all rounds: 41-14 (.745)
series record, MLB only, Finals round: 19-8 (.704)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 41-26 (.612)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 24-15 (.615)
Game 6 record, MLB only, all rounds: 31-24 (.564)
Game 6 record, MLB only, Finals round: 14-13 (.519)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1615 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2025 MLB Semifinals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLLWW:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading WLLWW irrespective of site order (Toronto) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2025 MLB Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 70-19 (.787)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 9-4 (.692)
series record, MLB only, all rounds: 9-4 (.692)
series record, MLB only, Finals round: 5-3 (.625)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 46-43 (.517)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 6-7 (.462)
Game 6 record, MLB only, all rounds: 6-7 (.462)
Game 6 record, MLB only, Finals round: 2-6 (.250)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1615 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2025 MLB Semifinals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLLWW @ HHVVV:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team leading WLLWW with site order HHVVV (Toronto) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2025 MLB Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 7-2 (.778)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 3-1 (.750)
series record, MLB only, all rounds: 7-2 (.778)
series record, MLB only, Finals round: 3-1 (.750)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 5-4 (.556)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 1-3 (.250)
Game 6 record, MLB only, all rounds: 5-4 (.556)
Game 6 record, MLB only, Finals round: 1-3 (.250)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1615 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2025 MLB Semifinals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction:
For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.
SERIES NOTES:
After Game 5: The Toronto Blue Jays visited and defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 6-runs-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1616 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Toronto Blue Jays have a series record of 4-1 (with an active four-series winning streak) and a Game 6 record of 4-1 (with an active four-Game 6 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Los Angeles Dodgers have a series record of 1-7 and a Game 6 record of 2-6. Trailing a best-of-7 MLB playoff series 3-games-2, the Los Angeles Dodgers achieved their sole series victory in series 1450, over the Atlanta Braves in the 2020 National League Championship Series. In best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, teams posting a WLLWW @ HHVVV win-site order (as the Toronto Blue Jays have through five games of series 1616) have an active five-series winning streak and an active five-Game 6 winning streak. In best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, teams which post a LWWLL @ VVHHH win-site order (such as the Los Angeles Dodgers) but win Games 6-7 on the road were the St. Louis Cardinals in series 19 (in New York over the Yankees in the 1926 World Series) and the Atlanta Braves in series 599 (in Pittsburgh over the Pirates in the 1991 National League Championship Series).
After Game 4: The Toronto Blue Jays visited and bested the Los Angeles Dodgers 6-runs-2 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1616 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Toronto Blue Jays have a series record of 2-0 and a Game 5 record of 1-1, while the Los Angeles Dodgers have a series record of 5-4 and a Game 5 record of 5-4. Tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB playoff series (as the Los Angeles Dodgers are after series 1616 Game 4), the Los Angeles Dodgers have seen their Game 5 outcome presage their series outcome in all nine of their previous such series (five wins; four losses).
After Game 3: The Los Angeles Dodgers hosted and defeated the Toronto Blue Jays 6-runs-5 (18 innings) to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1616 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Los Angeles Dodgers have a series record of 4-3 and a Game 4 record of 3-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Toronto Blue Jays have a series record of 1-3 and a Game 4 record of 1-3 (with their Game 4 outcome presaging their series outcome in all four instances). Series 1616 Game 3 ties series 1385 Game 3 (in which the Dodgers in Los Angeles defeated the Boston Red Sox 3-runs-2 in the 2018 World Series) for the longest best-of-7 MLB playoff game (all rounds) in terms of most innings played. In terms of base-out-runs states, the 158 in series 1616 Game 3 obliterated the previous high for a best-of-7 MLB Finals game of 135 base-out-runs states, set also by series 1385 Game 3. The last best-of-7 MLB Finals series to open with a LWW @ VVH win-site order was series 1352, in which the Houston Astros posted that win-site order en route to a seven-game series victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers in the 2017 World Series. With their series 1616 Game 3 victory, the Los Angeles Dodgers now have an active eight-Game 3 winning streak (irrespective of Games 1-2 outcomes) in best-of-7 MLB playoff series.
After Game 2: The Los Angeles Dodgers visited and bested the Toronto Blue Jays 5-runs-1 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1616 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Toronto Blue Jays have a series record of 3-1 and a Game 3 record of 3-1, while the Los Angeles Dodgers have a series record of 5-5 and a Game 3 record of 4-6. With their series 1616 Game 2 loss, the Toronto Blue Jays now have an active five-Game 2 losing streak in best-of-7 MLB playoff series. In best-of-7 MLB playoff series, teams such as the Toronto Blue Jays which open such a series with a win-site order of WL @ HH have an active four-series winning streak. In all four best-of-7 MLB playoff series in which the Toronto Blue Jays were tied 1-game-all, the Toronto Game 3 result presaged the Toronto series result (three wins, one loss).
After Game 1: The Toronto Blue Jays hosted and defeated the Los Angeles Dodgers 11-runs-4 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1616 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Toronto Blue Jays have a series record of 2-1 and a Game 2 record of 2-1. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Los Angeles Dodgers have a series record of 6-9 and a Game 2 record of 7-8. The nine-run bottom of the series 1616 Game 1 sixth inning is the highest-scoring best-of-7 MLB Finals half-inning since the Detroit Tigers plated ten runs in the top of the third inning of 1968 World Series Game 6, against the Cardinals in St. Louis in series 201. Irrespective of Game 1 outcome, the Toronto Blue Jays bring an active four-Game 2 losing streak into series 1616. In the history of best-of-7 MLB Finals history, home teams which win Game 1 by 7+ runs have a 6-1 series record with an active five-series winning streak; the sole comeback by the trounced Game 1 visitors was by the Los Angeles Dodgers in series 130, against the Chicago White Sox in the 1959 World Series.
Pre-series assessment: In the 2025 MLB regular season, the Toronto Blue Jays finished one game ahead of the Los Angeles Dodgers. From 1905 through the 2025 MLB Semifinals round, when MLB teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by one regular-season game, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 4-4 (.500) in those series against those opponents. Best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1616 is the eleventh best-of-7 MLB playoff series for the Toronto Blue Jays, and the 26th for the Los Angeles Dodgers. In best-of-7 MLB playoff series, the Toronto Blue Jays have an all-rounds series record of 5-5, a Finals-round series record of 2-0, and a Game 1 record of 3-7, while the Los Angeles Dodgers have an all-rounds series record of 13-12, a Finals-round series record of 7-6, and a Game 1 record of 10-15. Series 1616 is the first best-of-7 MLB playoff series meeting between the Toronto Blue Jays and the Los Angeles Dodgers. Once before had the Toronto Blue Jays led a best-of-7 MLB playoff series opponent by one regular season game: In 1993, the Jays finished one game ahead of the Chicago White Sox, and in series 648 defeated the White Sox in six games in the 1993 American League Championship Series. In 1941, the Dodgers as the old Brooklyn Dodgers finished one game behind the New York Yankees, and lost in series 40 to the Yankees in five games in the 1941 World Series. In their last five best-of-7 MLB playoff series, the Los Angeles Dodgers have seen their Game 1 outcome presage their series outcome (four wins, one loss). The Toronto Blue Jays have lost Games 1-2 in their last three best-of-7 MLB playoff series.