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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

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Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
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QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
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Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
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Game 1 played at home
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BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
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All | Home Games | Road Games
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QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
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All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
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BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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2024 NHL Quarterfinals round - Series 1561.
Colorado Avalanche vs Dallas Stars

Schedule and 2023-24 Results
Regular Season Records: Dallas 52-21-9=113pts, Colorado 50-25-7=107pts
Game 1 on Tuesday, 07 May: Colorado wins at Dallas, 4-goals-3(OT)
Game 2 on Thursday, 09 May: Colorado loses at Dallas, 5-goals-3
Game 3 on Saturday, 11 May: Dallas wins at Colorado, 4-goals-1
Game 4 on Monday, 13 May: Dallas wins at Colorado, 5-goals-1
Game 5 on Wednesday, 15 May: Colorado wins at Dallas, 5-goals-3
Game 6 on Friday, 17 May: Dallas wins at Colorado, 2-goals-1(2OT)

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Dallas Stars visited and topped the Colorado Avalanche 2-goals-1(2OT) to complete a 4-games-2 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1561 victory. With the series 1561 win, the Dallas Stars improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 23-17 overall and 7-5 in the Quarterfinals round. With the series 1561 loss, the Colorado Avalanche see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 27-17 overall and 7-7 in the Quarterfinals round. The win order for the victorious Dallas Stars in series 1561 was LWWWLW: Series 1561 thus becomes the tenth NHL Quarterfinals-round series, the 26th NHL series (all rounds), and the 57th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The Dallas Stars trailed their host Colorado Avalanche by one goal as late as 1:55 into the third period, but prevailed in series 1561 Game 6: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2023, inclusive, road teams down one goal as late as 1:55 into the third period had a game record of only 169-684 (.198) - the Dallas Stars thus achieve a grade-B (.100 - .199) in-game comeback.

After Game 5: The Colorado Avalanche visited and defeated the Dallas Stars 5-goals-3 to reduce the Dallas Stars best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1561 lead to 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 15-1 (with an active five-series winning streak) and a Game 6 record of 11-5. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 2-9 (with an active seven-series losing streak) and a Game 6 record of 6-5. The series 1561 Game 5 loss by the Dallas Stars ended their best-of-7 NHL playoff Game 5 winning streak of four. Leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Dallas Stars suffered their sole loss in series 1396, to the eventual 2019 NHL champion St. Louis Blues in the 2019 NHL Quarterfinals round.

After Game 4: The Dallas Stars visited and bested the Colorado Avalanche 5-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1561 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 8-0 and a Game 5 record of 4-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 0-4 and a Game 5 record of 4-0. With their series 1561 Game 4 victory, the Dallas Stars lengthen their best-of-7 NHL playoff Game 4 winning streak to five consecutive Game 4s (irrespective of Games 1-3 outcomes). Irrespective of Games 1-3 outcomes, the Colorado Avalanche in best-of-7 NHL playoff series have seen their Game 4 outcome presage their series outcome in their last ten such series (seven wins, three losses).

After Game 3: The Dallas Stars visited and topped the Colorado Avalanche 4-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1561 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 12-1 and a Game 4 record of 7-6. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 4-6 and a Game 4 record of 7-3. Leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Dallas Stars suffered their sole series loss in their last such series (series 1491, to the Calgary Flames in the 2022 NHL Preliminary round).

After Game 2: The Dallas Stars hosted and bested the Colorado Avalanche 5-goals-3 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1561 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 11-8 and a Game 3 record of 6-13, while the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 9-9 and a Game 3 record of 11-7. The series 1561 Game 2 loss by the Colorado Avalanche ends their best-of-7 NHL playoff Game 2 winning streak (irrespective of Game 1 outcome) at four.

After Game 1: The Colorado Avalanche visited and bested the Dallas Stars 4-goals-3(OT) to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1561 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 21-6 (with an active four-series winning streak) and a Game 2 record of 19-8. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 8-14 and a Game 2 record of 12-10. With their series 1561 Game 1 loss, the Dallas Stars in best-of-7 NHL playoffs now have an active six-Game 1 losing streak. The Colorado Avalanche trailed their host Dallas Stars by three goals as late as 5:30 into the second period, but prevailed in series 1561 Game 1: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2023, inclusive, road teams down three goals as late as 5:30 into the second period had a game record of only 6-158 (.037) - the Colorado Avalanche thus achieve a grade-A (.000 - .099) in-game comeback in series 1561 Game 1.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2023-24 NHL regular season, the Dallas Stars finished six points ahead of the Colorado Avalanche. From 1939 through the 2024 NHL Preliminary round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by six regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 22-11 (.667) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1561 is the 40th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Dallas Stars, and the 44th for the Colorado Avalanche. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Dallas Stars have an all-rounds series record of 22-17, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 6-5, and a Game 1 record of 17-22 (with an active five-Game 1 losing streak), while the Colorado Avalanche have an all-rounds series record of 27-16, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 7-6, and a Game 1 record of 27-16. Series 1561 is the sixth best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Dallas Stars and the Colorado Avalanche. Dallas leads 3-2 in their previous best-of-7 NHL playoff series encounters with Colorado, with Colorado prevailing in the 2004 and 2006 NHL Preliminary rounds, and Dallas winning in the 1999 NHL Semifinals, 2000 NHL Semifinals, and 2020 NHL Quarterfinals.