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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2024 NHL Preliminary round - Series 1558.
Los Angeles Kings vs Edmonton Oilers

Schedule and 2023-24 Results
Regular Season Records: Edmonton 49-27-6=104pts, Los Angeles 44-27-11=99pts
Game 1 on Monday, 22 April: Los Angeles loses at Edmonton, 7-goals-4
Game 2 on Wednesday, 24 April: Los Angeles wins at Edmonton, 5-goals-4(OT)
Game 3 on Friday, 26 April: Edmonton wins at Los Angeles, 6-goals-1
Game 4 on Sunday, 28 April: Edmonton wins at Los Angeles, 1-goal-nil
Game 5 on Wednesday, 01 May: Los Angeles loses at Edmonton, 4-goals-3

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 5: The Edmonton Oilers hosted and defeated the Los Angeles Kings 4-goals-3 to complete a 4-games-1 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1558 victory. With the series 1558 win, the Edmonton Oilers improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 34-17 overall and 12-6 in the Preliminary round. With the series 1558 loss, the Los Angeles Kings see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 18-25 (with an active five-series losing streak) overall and 8-13 (with an active five Preliminary-round series losing streak) in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Edmonton Oilers in series 1558 was WLWWW: Series 1558 thus becomes the fifteenth NHL Preliminary-round series, the 42nd NHL series (all rounds), and the 94th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. Since winning the NHL championship in 2014, the Los Angeles Kings now have a 0-5 series record in best-of-7 NHL playoff series.

After Game 4: The Edmonton Oilers visited and shut out the Los Angeles Kings 1-goal-nil to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1558 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Edmonton Oilers have a series record of 15-1 (with an active six-series winning streak) and a Game 5 record of 10-6. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Los Angeles Kings have a series record of 2-12 and a Game 5 record of 7-7. Leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Edmonton Oilers suffered their sole series loss to the Los Angeles Kings (in series 533, in the 1989 NHL Preliminary round).

After Game 3: The Edmonton Oilers visited and defeated the Los Angeles Kings 6-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1558 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Edmonton Oilers have a series record of 19-3 and a Game 4 record of 14-8. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Los Angeles Kings have a series record of 6-12 and a Game 4 record of 7-11.

After Game 2: The Los Angeles Kings visited and defeated the Edmonton Oilers 5-goals-4(OT) to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1558 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Edmonton Oilers have a series record of 18-7 and a Game 3 record of 16-9, while the Los Angeles Kings have a series record of 8-11 and a Game 3 record of 7-12. The series 1558 Game 2 victory by the Los Angeles Kings ends a four-Game 2 losing streak (irrespective of Game 1 outcome) by the Kings in best-of-7 NHL playoff Game 2s.

After Game 1: The Edmonton Oilers hosted and defeated the Los Angeles Kings 7-goals-4 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1558 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Edmonton Oilers have a series record of 21-3 and a Game 2 record of 15-9. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Los Angeles Kings have a series record of 8-17 and a Game 2 record of 10-15. The series 1558 Game 1 victory by Edmonton breaks a best-of-7 NHL playoffs Game 1 losing streak of six games by Edmonton; the last Game 1 win by the Oilers occurred in series 1331 (at Anaheim, over the Ducks) in the 2017 NHL Quarterfinals, while the last Game 1 win by the Oilers in Edmonton occurred in series 564 (over the visiting Chicago Blackhawks) in the 1990 NHL Semifinals en route to the 1990 NHL championship.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2023-24 NHL regular season, the Edmonton Oilers finished five points ahead of the Los Angeles Kings. From 1939 through the 2023 NHL Finals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by five regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 31-18 (.633) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1558 is the 51st best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Edmonton Oilers, and the 43rd for the Los Angeles Kings. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Edmonton Oilers have an all-rounds series record of 33-17, a Preliminary-round series record of 11-6, and a Game 1 record of 24-26 (with an active six-Game 1 losing streak), while the Los Angeles Kings have an all-rounds series record of 18-24 (with an active four-series losing streak), a Preliminary-round series record of 8-12 (with an active four Preliminary-round series losing streak), and a Game 1 record of 17-25. Series 1558 is the eighth best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Edmonton Oilers and the Los Angeles Kings. For the third consecutive best-of-7 NHL playoff season, the Edmonton Oilers and the Los Angeles Kings meet in a best-of-7 NHL Preliminary-round series. In their best-of-7 NHL playoff series match-ups, Edmonton leads Los Angeles 6-1, with an active five-series winning streak.