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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

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SEMIFINALS
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QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
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PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
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BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
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QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
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BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
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BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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2024 NHL Preliminary round - Series 1556.
Colorado Avalanche vs Winnipeg Jets (II)

Schedule and 2023-24 Results
Regular Season Records: Winnipeg (II) 52-24-6=110pts, Colorado 50-25-7=107pts
Game 1 on Sunday, 21 April: Colorado loses at Winnipeg (II), 7-goals-6
Game 2 on Tuesday, 23 April: Colorado wins at Winnipeg (II), 5-goals-2
Game 3 on Friday, 26 April: Winnipeg (II) loses at Colorado, 6-goals-2
Game 4 on Sunday, 28 April: Winnipeg (II) loses at Colorado, 5-goals-1
Game 5 on Tuesday, 30 April: Colorado wins at Winnipeg (II), 6-goals-3

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 5: The Colorado Avalanche visited and bested the Winnipeg Jets (II) 6-goals-3 to complete a 4-games-1 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1556 victory. With the series 1556 win, the Colorado Avalanche improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 27-16 overall and 14-6 in the Preliminary round. With the series 1556 loss, the Winnipeg Jets (II) see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 3-6 overall and 2-4 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Colorado Avalanche in series 1556 was LWWWW: Series 1556 thus becomes the thirteenth NHL Preliminary-round series, the 42nd NHL series (all rounds), and the 76th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion.

After Game 4: The Colorado Avalanche hosted and bested the Winnipeg Jets (II) 5-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1556 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 13-2 (with an active six-series winning streak) and a Game 5 record of 8-7. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Winnipeg Jets (II) have a series record of 0-2 and a Game 5 record of 0-2. Both Game 5 and series losses by the Winnipeg Jets (II) were to the Vegas Golden Knights, in series 1366 in the 2018 NHL Semifinals, and in series 1524 in the 2023 NHL Preliminary round.

After Game 3: The Colorado Avalanche hosted and bested the Winnipeg Jets (II) 6-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1556 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 15-7 and a Game 4 record of 13-9. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Winnipeg Jets (II) have a series record of 0-3 and a Game 4 record of 1-2. Leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 2-game-1 (as they now do in series 1556), the Colorado Avalanche have seen their Game 4 outcome presage their series outcome in their last nine such series (five wins, four losses). The Colorado Avalanche trailed the visiting Winnipeg Jets (II) by one goal as late as 2:10 into the third period but emerged victorious: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2023, inclusive, home teams down one goal as late as 2:10 into the third period had a game record of only 179-536 (.250) - the Colorado Avalanche thus achieve a grade-C (.200 - .299) in-game comeback.

After Game 2: The Colorado Avalanche visited and defeated the Winnipeg Jets (II) 5-goals-2 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1556 at 1-games-all. When tied 1-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Winnipeg Jets (II) have a series record of 1-2 and a Game 3 record of 1-2, while the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 8-9 and a Game 3 record of 10-7. The Colorado Avalanche trailed the host Winnipeg Jets (II) by one goal as late as 14:15 into the second period but emerged victorious in series 1556 Game 2: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2023, inclusive, road teams down one goal as late as 14:15 into the second period had a game record of only 218-717 (.233) - the Colorado Avalanche thus achieve a grade-C (.200 - .299) in-game comeback.

After Game 1: The Winnipeg Jets (II) hosted and defeated the Colorado Avalanche 7-goals-6 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1556 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Winnipeg Jets (II) have a series record of 3-2 and a Game 2 record of 2-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 5-10 and a Game 2 record of 9-6. The 13 combined goals by Colorado and Winnipeg (II) in series 1556 Game 1 are the most combined goals in a best-of-7 NHL playoff series Game 1 since series 1498, in which the Avalanche teamed with the visiting Edmonton Oilers to net 14 total goals in Game 1 of their 2022 NHL Semifinals series (won 8-goals-6 by Colorado, en route to a four-game sweep of Edmonton and the 2022 NHL championship).

Pre-series assessment: In the 2023-24 NHL regular season, the Winnipeg Jets (II) finished three points ahead of the Colorado Avalanche. From 1939 through the 2023 NHL Finals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by three regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 17-22 (.436) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1556 is the ninth best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Winnipeg Jets (II), and the 43rd for the Colorado Avalanche. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Winnipeg Jets (II) have an all-rounds series record of 3-5, a Preliminary-round series record of 2-3, and a Game 1 record of 5-3, while the Colorado Avalanche have an all-rounds series record of 26-16, a Preliminary-round series record of 13-6, and a Game 1 record of 27-15. Series 1556 is the first best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Winnipeg Jets (II) and the Colorado Avalanche.