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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
Societies, books, and other resources.

BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2024 NHL Preliminary round - Series 1554.
New York Islanders vs Carolina Hurricanes

Schedule and 2023-24 Results
Regular Season Records: Carolina 52-23-7=111pts, NY Islanders 39-27-16=94pts
Game 1 on Saturday, 20 April: New York Islanders lose at Carolina, 3-goals-1
Game 2 on Monday, 22 April: New York Islanders lose at Carolina, 5-goals-3
Game 3 on Thursday, 25 April: Carolina wins at New York Islanders, 3-goals-2
Game 4 on Saturday, 27 April: Carolina loses at New York Islanders, 3-goals-2(2OT)
Game 5 on Tuesday, 30 April: New York Islanders lose at Carolina, 6-goals-3

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 5: The Carolina Hurricanes hosted and defeated the New York Islanders 6-goals-3 to complete a 4-games-1 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1554 victory. With the series 1554 win, the Carolina Hurricanes improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 16-9 overall and 8-3 (with an active four-Preliminary round series winning streak) in the Preliminary round. With the series 1554 loss, the New York Islanders see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 27-24 overall and 6-11 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Carolina Hurricanes in series 1554 was WWWLW: Series 1554 thus becomes the 20th NHL Preliminary-round series, the 56th NHL series (all rounds), and the 106th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion.

After Game 4: The New York Islanders hosted and defeated the Carolina Hurricanes 3-goals-2(2OT) to reduce the Carolina Hurricanes best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1554 lead to 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Carolina Hurricanes have a series record of 6-0 and a Game 5 record of 2-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the New York Islanders have a series record of 2-14 (with an active nine-series losing streak) and a Game 5 record of 7-9. Trailing a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-1: In addition to their epic surmounting of a 3-games-nil deficit against the Pittsburgh Penguins in series 295 in the 1975 NHL Quarterfinals, the New York Islanders also overcame a 3-games-1 deficit against the Washington Capitals in series 479 in the 1987 NHL Preliminary round.

After Game 3: The Carolina Hurricanes visited and topped the New York Islanders 3-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1554 lead of 3-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the Carolina Hurricanes have a series record of 2-0 and a Game 4 record of 1-1. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the New York Islanders have a series record of 1-6 (with an active six-series losing streak) and a Game 4 record of 5-2. With their series 1554 Game 3 victory, the Carolina Hurricanes break a five-Game 3 losing streak in best-of-7 NHL playoff series. The last 3-games-nil lead by the Carolina Hurricanes in a best-of-7 NHL playoff series was also against the New York Islanders; Carolina won Game 4 for the sweep in series 1395, in the 2019 NHL Quarterfinals. In series 295 against the Pittsburgh Penguins, the New York Islanders in their first-ever best-of-7 NHL playoff series surmounted a 3-games-nil deficit for a 4-games 3 series victory (the second-ever MLB/NBA/NHL successful comeback from such a deficit) in the 1975 NHL Quarterfinals. The Carolina Hurricanes have become the 398th MLB/NBA/NHL team to take a three-games-nil lead in a best-of-7 playoff series; the Islanders will attempt to become the sixth MLB/NBA/NHL team (and the first two-time achiever) to surmount a three-games-nil deficit to win four-games-three.

After Game 2: The Carolina Hurricanes hosted and defeated the New York Islanders 5-goals-3 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1554 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Carolina Hurricanes have a series record of 8-1 and a Game 3 record of 2-7 (with an active five-Game 3 losing streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the New York Islanders have a series record of 3-11 (with an active eight-series losing streak) and a Game 3 record of 7-7. The Carolina Hurricanes trailed the visiting New York Islanders by three goals as late as 13:00 into the second period of series 1554 Game 2, but prevailed: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2023, inclusive, home teams down three goals as late as 13:00 into the second period had a game record of only 6-144 (.040) - the Carolina Hurricanes thus achieve a grade-A (.000 - .099) in-game comeback.

After Game 1: The Carolina Hurricanes hosted and defeated the New York Islanders 3-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1554 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Carolina Hurricanes have a series record of 9-2 and a Game 2 record of 9-2 (with an active eight-Game 2 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the New York Islanders have a series record of 8-17 and a Game 2 record of 11-14.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2023-24 NHL regular season, the Carolina Hurricanes finished 17 points ahead of the New York Islanders. From 1939 through the 2023 NHL Finals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by 17 regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 15-4 (.789) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1554 is the 25th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Carolina Hurricanes, and the 51st for the New York Islanders. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Carolina Hurricanes have an all-rounds series record of 15-9, a Preliminary-round series record of 7-3, and a Game 1 record of 11-13, while the New York Islanders have an all-rounds series record of 27-23, a Preliminary-round series record of 6-10, and a Game 1 record of 25-25. Series 1554 is the third best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Carolina Hurricanes and the New York Islanders. The Carolina Hurricanes won both of their previous two best-of-7 NHL playoff series against the New York Islanders (series 1395, in the 2019 NHL Quarterfinals; series 1520, in the 2023 NHL Preliminary round).