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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2024 NHL Preliminary round - Series 1552.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs Boston Bruins

Schedule and 2023-24 Results
Regular Season Records: Boston 47-20-15=109pts, Toronto 46-26-10=102pts
Game 1 on Saturday, 20 April: Toronto loses at Boston, 5-goals-1
Game 2 on Monday, 22 April: Toronto wins at Boston, 3-goals-2
Game 3 on Wednesday, 24 April: Boston wins at Toronto, 4-goals-2
Game 4 on Saturday, 27 April: Boston wins at Toronto, 3-goals-1
Game 5 on Tuesday, 30 April: Toronto wins at Boston, 2-goals-1(OT)
Game 6 on Thursday, 02 May: Boston loses at Toronto, 2-goals-1
Game 7 on Saturday, 04 May: Toronto loses at Boston, 2-goals-1(OT)

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 7: The Boston Bruins hosted and defeated the Toronto Maple Leafs 2-goals-1(OT) to complete a 4-games-3 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1552 victory. With the series 1552 win, the Boston Bruins improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 55-55 overall and 17-13 in the Preliminary round. With the series 1552 loss, the Toronto Maple Leafs see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 36-46 overall and 9-12 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Boston Bruins in series 1552 was WLWWLLW: Series 1552 thus becomes the fifth NHL Preliminary-round series, the 11th NHL series (all rounds), and the 18th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The first goal of series 1552 Game 7 was scored 9:01 into the third period by the Toronto Maple Leafs; the goal was the fifth-latest best-of-7 NHL playoff Game 7 goal by a road team as the first goal of the game. The Boston Bruins trailed the visiting Toronto Maple Leafs by one goal as late as 10:21 into the third period of their Game 7, but won: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2023, inclusive, home teams down one goal as late as 10:21 into the third period had a game record of only 117-550 (.175) - the Boston Bruins thus achieve a grade-B (.100 - .199) in-game comeback in series 1552 Game 7. The series 1552 Game 7 loss by the Toronto Maple Leafs is the best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL-leading 12th road Game 7 loss by the Toronto Maple Leafs.

After Game 6: The Toronto Maple Leafs hosted and bested the Boston Bruins 2-goals-1 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1552 at 3-games-all. When tied 3-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Boston Bruins have a Game 7 record of 15-15, while the Toronto Maple Leafs have a Game 7 record of 12-14 (with an active five-Game 7 losing streak). In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Boston Bruins on home ice have a 14-10 Game 7 record, while the Toronto Maple Leafs on road ice have a 5-11 Game 7 record (with an active six-Game 7 road losing streak). The last Game 7 victory by the Toronto Maple Leafs was in series 909, over their provincial rival Ottawa Senators in the 2004 NHL Preliminary round. The first three Game 7 losses by the Toronto Maple Leafs in their current five-Game 7 losing streak were to the Boston Bruins (in the Preliminary rounds of 2013, 2018, and 2019). Overall in best-of-7 NHL playoff series, Boston leads Toronto 4-1 in best-of-7 NHL playoff Game 7 head-to-head competition. Into series 1552 Game 7, the Boston Bruins bring a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff-leading 55 series losses, 303 game losses, 15 Game 7 losses, and ten home Game 7 losses, while the Toronto Maple Leafs bring a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff-leading eleven road Game 7 losses and an NHL championship drought dating back to 1967.

After Game 5: The Toronto Maple Leafs visited and defeated the Boston Bruins 2-goals-1(OT) to reduce the Boston Bruins best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1552 lead to 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Boston Bruins have a series record of 22-6 and a Game 6 record of 11-17. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Toronto Maple Leafs have a series record of 6-17 (with an active six-series losing streak) and a Game 6 record of 12-11. The Toronto Maple Leafs won series 1552 Game 5 at 2:26 into the first overtime period; series 1552 Game 5 becomes the fourth best-of-7 NHL playoff game to end at 2:26 into the first overtime period (series 856: Montreal Canadiens over the visiting Carolina Hurricanes in their 2002 Quarterfinals Game 3; series 965: Buffalo Sabres at the Ottawa Senators in their 2006 Quarterfinals Game 5; series 1265: Anaheim Ducks over the visiting Calgary Flames in their 2015 Quarterfinals Game 5). With their series 1552 Game 5 loss, the Boston Bruins have an active four-Game 5 losing streak irrespective of Games 1-4 outcomes.

After Game 4: The Boston Bruins visited and bested the Toronto Maple Leafs 3-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1552 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Boston Bruins have a series record of 21-3 and a Game 5 record of 13-11. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Toronto Maple Leafs have a series record of 1-16 (with an active 15-series losing streak) and a Game 5 record of 6-11. In the wake of a 3-games-1 deficit in a best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Toronto Maple Leafs achieved their sole comeback series victory in series 42, in which the Leafs achieved the first-ever comeback from a 3-games-nil deficit in an MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series.

After Game 3: The Boston Bruins visited and defeated the Toronto Maple Leafs 4-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1552 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Boston Bruins have a series record of 24-12 and a Game 4 record of 18-18. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Toronto Maple Leafs have a series record of 10-21 (with an active four-series losing streak) and a Game 4 record of 18-13. The series 1552 Game 3 victory by the Boston Bruins gives the Bruins a five-Game 3 winning streak in best-of-7 NHL playoff Game 3s.

After Game 2: The Toronto Maple Leafs visited and topped the Boston Bruins 3-goals-2 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1552 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Boston Bruins have a series record of 27-21 and a Game 3 record of 25-23, while the Toronto Maple Leafs have a series record of 17-24 and a Game 3 record of 19-22 (with an active five-Game 3 winning streak). The Toronto Maple Leafs trailed the host Boston Bruins by one goal as late as 18:25 into the second period of series 1552 Game 2, but prevailed: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2023, inclusive, road teams down one goal as late as 18:25 into the second period had a game record of only 181-686 (.209) - the Toronto Maple Leafs thus achieve a grade-C (.200 - .299) in-game comeback.

After Game 1: The Boston Bruins hosted and topped the Toronto Maple Leafs 5-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1552 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Boston Bruins have a series record of 38-20 and a Game 2 record of 32-26 (with an active five-Game 2 losing streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Toronto Maple Leafs have a series record of 17-30 and a Game 2 record of 25-22.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2023-24 NHL regular season, the Boston Bruins finished seven points ahead of the Toronto Maple Leafs. From 1939 through the 2023 NHL Finals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by seven regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 21-17 (.553) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1552 is the 110th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Boston Bruins, and the 82nd for the Toronto Maple Leafs. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Boston Bruins have an all-rounds series record of 54-55, a Preliminary-round series record of 16-13, and a Game 1 record of 58-51, while the Toronto Maple Leafs have an all-rounds series record of 36-45, a Preliminary-round series record of 9-11, and a Game 1 record of 34-47. Series 1552 is the thirteenth best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Boston Bruins and the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Boston Bruins hold an 8-4 best-of-7 NHL playoff series record against the Toronto Maple Leafs, with an active six-series winning streak; the last Toronto victory over Boston in a best-of-7 NHL playoff series occurred in series 125, when the Maple Leafs prevailed in seven games in the 1959 NHL Semifinals.