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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2024 NBA Semifinals round - Series 1579.
Dallas Mavericks vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Schedule and 2023-24 Results
Regular Season Records: Minnesota 56-26, Dallas 50-32
Game 1 on Wednesday, 22 May: Dallas wins at Minnesota, 108-pts-105
Game 2 on Friday, 24 May: Dallas wins at Minnesota, 109-pts-108
Game 3 on Sunday, 26 May: Minnesota loses at Dallas, 116-pts-107
Game 4 on Tuesday, 28 May: Minnesota wins at Dallas, 105-pts-100
Game 5 on Thursday, 30 May: Dallas wins at Minnesota, 124-pts-103

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 5: The Dallas Mavericks visited and bested the Minnesota Timberwolves 124-pts-103 to complete a 4-games-1 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1579 victory. With the series 1579 win, the Dallas Mavericks improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 17-20 overall and 3-3 in the Semifinals round. With the series 1579 loss, the Minnesota Timberwolves see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 4-6 overall and 0-2 in the Semifinals round. The win order for the victorious Dallas Mavericks in series 1579 was WWWLW: Series 1579 thus becomes the 12th NBA Semifinals-round series, the 46th NBA series (all rounds), and the 107th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. With their series 1579 Game 5 loss, the Minnesota Timberwolves now have an active five-Game 5 losing streak (irrespective of Games 1-4 outcomes).

After Game 4: The Minnesota Timberwolves visited and bested the Dallas Mavericks 105-pts-100 to drop the Dallas Mavericks best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1579 lead to 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Dallas Mavericks have a series record of 4-0 and a Game 5 record of 2-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Minnesota Timberwolves have a series record of 0-3 and a Game 5 record of 1-2. In the only previous best-of-7 NBA playoff series in which they led 3-games-nil, the Dallas Mavericks in series 894 lost Games 4-6 to the Portland Trailblazers in their 2003 NBA Preliminary-round series before prevailing in Game 7.

After Game 3: The Dallas Mavericks hosted and bested the Minnesota Timberwolves 116-pts-107 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1579 lead of 3-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the Dallas Mavericks have a series record of 3-0 and a Game 4 record of 2-1. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the Minnesota Timberwolves have a series record of 0-1 and a Game 4 record of 1-0. Series 1579 thus becomes the 405th best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series to feature a 3-games-nil lead. For the second consecutive year, both best-of-7 NBA Semifinals series stand at 3-games-nil after the first three games: In 2023, the Miami Heat led the Boston Celtics 3-games-nil but needed all seven games to oust the Celtics in series 1545, while the eventual 2023 NBA champion Denver Nuggets swept the Los Angeles Lakers in four games in series 1546.

After Game 2: The Dallas Mavericks visited and topped the Minnesota Timberwolves 109-pts-108 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1579 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Dallas Mavericks have a series record of 4-2 and a Game 3 record of 3-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Minnesota Timberwolves have a series record of 0-2 and a Game 3 record of 1-1. The Dallas Mavericks trailed the host Minnesota Timberwolves by twelve points after two quarters of series 1579 Game 2, but emerged victorious: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games from 1947, inclusive, road teams down twelve points after two quarters had a game record of only 8-78 (.093) - the Dallas Mavericks thus achieve a grade-A (.000 - .099) in-game comeback to take their 2-games-nil lead over the Minnesota Timberwolves.

After Game 1: The Dallas Mavericks visited and topped the Minnesota Timberwolves 108-pts-105 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1579 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Dallas Mavericks have a series record of 6-4 and a Game 2 record of 6-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Minnesota Timberwolves have a series record of 1-4 and a Game 2 record of 3-2. The series 1579 Game 1 victory by the Dallas Mavericks breaks their best-of-7 NBA playoff Game 1 losing streak at five Game 1s. Trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 1-game-nil, the Minnesota Timberwolves achieved their sole series victory in series 931, over the Sacramento Kings in the 2004 NBA Quarterfinals.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2023-24 NBA regular season, the Minnesota Timberwolves finished six games ahead of the Dallas Mavericks. From 1947 through the 2024 NBA Quarterfinals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by six regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 25-4 (.862) with an active ten-series winning streak in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1579 is the tenth best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Minnesota Timberwolves, and the 37th for the Dallas Mavericks. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Minnesota Timberwolves have an all-rounds series record of 4-5, a Semifinals-round series record of 0-1, and a Game 1 record of 4-5, while the Dallas Mavericks have an all-rounds series record of 16-20, a Semifinals-round series record of 2-3, and a Game 1 record of 10-26 (with an active five-Game 1 losing streak). Series 1579 is the first best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Dallas Mavericks. The sole previous best-of-7 NBA Semifinals appearance by the Minnesota Timberwolves was in series 934, which they lost to the Los Angeles Lakers in six games in the 2004 NBA Semifinals.