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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

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Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
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Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2024 NBA Quarterfinals round - Series 1575.
Indiana Pacers vs New York Knickerbockers

Schedule and 2023-24 Results:
Regular Season Records: New York 50-32, Indiana 47-35
Game 1 on Monday, 06 May: Indiana loses at New York, 121-pts-117
Game 2 on Wednesday, 08 May: Indiana loses at New York, 130-pts-121
Game 3 on Friday, 10 May: New York loses at Indiana, 111-pts-106
Game 4 on Sunday, 12 May: New York loses at Indiana, 121-pts-89
Game 5 on Tuesday, 14 May: Indiana loses at New York, 121-pts-91
Game 6 on Friday, 17 May: New York loses at Indiana, 116-pts-103
Game 7 on Sunday, 19 May: Indiana wins at New York, 130-pts-109

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 7: The Indiana Pacers visited and defeated the New York Knickerbockers 130-pts-109 to complete a 4-games-3 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1575 victory. With the series 1575 win, the Indiana Pacers improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 16-18 overall and 9-2 in the Quarterfinals round. With the series 1575 loss, the New York Knickerbockers see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 20-29 overall and 10-14 in the Quarterfinals round. The win order for the victorious Indiana Pacers in series 1575 was LLWWLWW: Series 1575 thus becomes the fourth NBA Quarterfinals-round series, the ninth NBA series (all rounds), and the 22nd MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The series 1575 victory by the Indiana Pacers over the New York Knickerbockers improves the Indiana best-of-7 NBA Quarterfinals-round playoff series record over the New York Knickerbockers to 4-0 (Indiana also defeated New York in the Quarterfinals rounds of 2013, 1998, and 1995). The 21-point road Game 7 victory by the Indiana Pacers over the Knickerbockers in New York is the fourth-largest road Game 7 victory margin in best-of-7 NBA playoff series history, next only to the 39-point road Game 7 victory margin by the old Philadelphia Warriors (in series 69, over the old Bombers in St. Louis in their 1948 NBA Semifinals Game 7), the 33-point road Game 7 victory margin by the Dallas Mavericks (in series 1510, over the Suns in Phoenix in their 2022 NBA Quarterfinals Game 7), and the 27-point road Game 7 victory margin by the Indiana Pacers (in series 941, over the Celtics in Boston in their 2005 NBA Preliminary-round Game 7).

After Game 6: The Indiana Pacers hosted and defeated the New York Knickerbockers 116-pts-103 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1575 at 3-games-all. When tied 3-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the New York Knickerbockers have a Game 7 record of 7-8, while the Indiana Pacers have a Game 7 record of 3-6. In best-of-7 NBA playoff Game 7s, the Knickerbockers in New York have a 5-2 record: The last two Game 7s played by the Knickerbockers in New York were against the Indiana Pacers (in series 670, won by New York in the 1994 NBA Semifinals; in series 688, won by Indiana in the 1995 NBA Quarterfinals). The last two Game 7s played by the Knickerbockers in New York were the first two Game 7s played by the Indiana Pacers in best-of-7 NBA playoff series. In best-of-7 NBA playoff Game 7s played by the Indiana Pacers on the road, the Pacers have a 2-6 record; the first of those two wins was in the aforementioned series 688 in New York.

After Game 5: The New York Knickerbockers hosted and defeated the Indiana Pacers 121-pts-91 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1575 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the New York Knickerbockers have a series record of 9-3 and a Game 6 record of 4-8. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Indiana Pacers have a series record of 1-13 and a Game 6 record of 6-8. Trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-2, the Indiana Pacers achieved their sole series victory in series 1236, over the Atlanta Hawks in the 2014 NBA Preliminary round.

After Game 4: The Indiana Pacers hosted and defeated the New York Knickerbockers 121-pts-89 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1575 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the New York Knickerbockers have a series record of 8-8 and a Game 5 record of 8-8, while the Indiana Pacers have a series record of 5-11 and a Game 5 record of 5-11 (with an active four-Game 5 losing streak). The Indiana Pacers in series 1575 Game 4 became the first team in the 2024 NBA playoffs to post over one-hundred points in the first three quarters of a playoff game. The New York Knickerbockers are tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the first time since series 817, against the Indiana Pacers in the 2000 NBA Semifinals (won by Indiana).

After Game 3: The Indiana Pacers hosted and bested the New York Knickerbockers 111-pts-106 to reduce the New York Knickerbockers best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1575 lead to 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the New York Knickerbockers have a series record of 13-3 and a Game 4 record of 9-7. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Indiana Pacers have a series record of 1-10 and a Game 4 record of 8-3. The sole best-of-7 NBA playoff series victory achieved by the Indiana Pacers in the wake of a 2-games-1 deficit was in series 1236, in which Indiana defeated the Atlanta Hawks in the 2014 NBA Preliminary round.

After Game 2: The New York Knickerbockers hosted and defeated the Indiana Pacers 130-pts-121 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1575 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the New York Knickerbockers have a series record of 11-2 (with an active five-series winning streak) and a Game 3 record of 4-9. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Indiana Pacers have a series record of 0-8 and a Game 3 record of 4-4 (with an active four-Game 3 losing streak). The two series losses by the New York Knickerbockers in the wake of a 2-games-nil best-of-7 NBA playoff series lead occurred in series 243 (to the old Baltimore Bullets (II) in the 1971 NBA Semifinals) and series 645 (to the Chicago Bulls in the 1993 NBA Semifinals). In their last three best-of-7 NBA playoff series trailing 2-games-nil, the Indiana Pacers also lost Games 3 and 4 en route to sweep-ousters. The New York Knickerbockers trailed the visiting Indiana Pacers by ten points as late as after two quarters, but won series 1575 Game 2: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games from 1947, inclusive, home teams down ten points after two quarters had a game record of only 15-37 (.289) - the New York Knickerbockers thus achieve a grade-C (.200 - .299) in-game comeback in series 1575 Game 2.

After Game 1: The New York Knickerbockers hosted and defeated the Indiana Pacers 121-pts-117 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1575 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the New York Knickerbockers have a series record of 16-6 (with an active five-series winning streak) and a Game 2 record of 13-9. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Indiana Pacers have a series record of 5-13 and a Game 2 record of 10-8. With their series 1575 Game 1 loss, the Indiana Pacers now have an active four-Game 1 losing streak in best-of-7 NBA playoff series. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff series beginning in 1947, home teams winning Game 1 by four points (as the New York Knickerbockers did in series 1575 Game 1) have a 17-3 series record; one of the three losers were the New York Knickerbockers (in series 814, to the Miami Heat in the 2000 NBA Quarterfinals).

Pre-series assessment: In the 2023-24 NBA regular season, the New York Knickerbockers finished three games ahead of the Indiana Pacers. From 1947 through the 2023 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by three regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 23-19 (.548) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1575 is the 49th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the New York Knickerbockers, and the 34th for the Indiana Pacers. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the New York Knickerbockers have an all-rounds series record of 20-28, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 10-13, and a Game 1 record of 22-26, while the Indiana Pacers have an all-rounds series record of 15-18, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 8-2, and a Game 1 record of 15-18. Series 1575 is the seventh best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the New York Knickerbockers and the Indiana Pacers. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, Indiana has a 4-2 series lead over New York (3-0 in the Quarterfinals round, in 1995, 1998, and 2013). In each of their last ten best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the New York Knickerbockers have seen their Game 1 outcome presage their series outcome (three wins, seven losses).