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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2023 NBA Finals round - Series 1547.
Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Schedule and 2022-23 Results
Regular Season Records: Denver 53-29, Miami 44-38
Game 1 on Thursday, 01 June: Miami loses at Denver, 104-pts-93
Game 2 on Sunday, 04 June: Miami wins at Denver, 111-pts-108
Game 3 on Wednesday, 07 June: Denver wins at Miami, 109-pts-94
Game 4 on Friday, 09 June: Denver wins at Miami, 108-pts-95
Game 5 on Monday, 12 June: Miami loses at Denver, 94-pts-89

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 5: The Denver Nuggets hosted and defeated the Miami Heat 94-pts-89 to complete a 4-games-1 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1547 victory. With the series 1547 win, the Denver Nuggets improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 12-21 overall and 1-0 in the Finals round. With the series 1547 loss, the Miami Heat see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 31-15 overall and 3-4 in the Finals round. The win order for the victorious Denver Nuggets in series 1547 was WLWWW: Series 1547 thus becomes the fifth NBA Finals-round series, the 33rd NBA series (all rounds), and the 91st MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The 2023 best-of-7 NBA playoff season required 84 games to crown a champion, the fewest since 83 in 2020. Since the NBA adopted the format of four best-of-7 playoff rounds in 2003, the most total games in a best-of-7 NBA playoff season have been 89 (in 2006 and in 2014), while the least have been 79 (in 2007 and in 2017). The Denver Nuggets required 20 best-of-7 NBA playoff games in 2023 to win the 2023 NBA championship, the fewest since the Golden State Warriors won the 2017 NBA championship in 17 best-of-7 NBA playoff games.

After Game 4: The Denver Nuggets visited and bested the Miami Heat 108-pts-95 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1547 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 5-0 and a Game 5 record of 4-1 (with an active four-Game 5 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Miami Heat have a series record of 1-5 (with an active five-series losing streak) and a Game 5 record of 2-4. The sole best-of-7 NBA playoff series victory achieved by the Miami Heat in the wake of a 3-games-1 deficit occurred in series 739, over the New York Knickerbockers in the 1997 NBA Quarterfinals round.

After Game 3: The Denver Nuggets visited and defeated the Miami Heat 109-pts-94 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1547 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 5-1 and a Game 4 record of 3-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Miami Heat have a series record of 4-5 (with an active four-series losing streak) and a Game 4 record of 5-4. The series 1547 Game 3 loss by the Miami Heat ends a four-Game 3 winning streak in best-of-7 NBA playoff series by the Heat. The sole loss by the Denver Nuggets upon leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 2-games-1 occurred in series 519, to the Dallas Mavericks in the 1988 NBA Quarterfinals.

After Game 2: The Miami Heat visited and defeated the Denver Nuggets 111-pts-108 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1547 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 4-10 and a Game 3 record of 2-12, while the Miami Heat have a series record of 12-8 and a Game 3 record of 14-6. The Miami Heat trailed the host Denver Nuggets by eight points as late as after three quarters but prevailed: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games from 1947 through 03 June 2023, inclusive, road teams down eight points as late as after three quarters had a game record of only 21-94 (.183) - the Miami Heat thus achieve a grade-B in-game comeback. Prior to series 1547 Game 2, the last best-of-7 NBA playoff game in which the road team rallied from an eight-point deficit after three quarters was in series 1545, in which the Miami Heat also did so against the Celtics in Boston in their 2023 NBA Semifinals Game 2. Series 1547 has become the first NBA Finals to post a WL @ HH win/site order since series 1415, in which the Toronto Raptors opened WL @ HH against the Golden State Warriors in the 2019 NBA Finals. Tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Denver Nuggets have a 4-10 series record overall, but a 4-1 series record in their last five such series. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Miami Heat have a four-Game 3 winning streak irrespective of Games 1-2 outcomes.

After Game 1: The Denver Nuggets hosted and bested the Miami Heat 104-pts-93 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1547 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 8-7 (with an active four-series winning streak) and a Game 2 record of 7-8. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Miami Heat have a series record of 8-10 (with an active four-series losing streak) and a Game 2 record of 11-7. The series 1547 Game 1 loss by the Miami Heat ends a six-Game 1 winning streak by the Heat in best-of-7 NBA playoff series. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff series, teams such as the Denver Nuggets which win Game 1 at home by 11 points have a 22-6 (.786) series record overall, and a 2-2 (.500) Finals-round series record.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2022-23 NBA regular season, the Denver Nuggets finished nine games ahead of the Miami Heat. From 1947 through the 2023 NBA Semifinals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by nine regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 28-4 (.875), with an active four-series winning streak in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1547 is the 33rd best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Denver Nuggets, and the 46th for the Miami Heat. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Denver Nuggets have an all-rounds series record of 11-21, a Finals-round series record of 0-0, and a Game 1 record of 15-17, while the Miami Heat have an all-rounds series record of 31-14, a Finals-round series record of 3-3, and a Game 1 record of 27-18 (with an active six-Game 1 winning streak). Series 1547 is the first best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Denver Nuggets and the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat have a 1-5 Game 1 record in best-of-7 NBA Finals series, with an active four-Game 1 losing streak; the sole Miami Game 1 victory in the NBA Finals occurred in series 1151, over the Dallas Mavericks in the 2011 NBA Finals.