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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2023 NBA Semifinals round - Series 1546.
Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets

Schedule and 2022-23 Results
Regular Season Records: Denver 53-29, Los Angeles Lakers 43-39
Game 1 on Tuesday, 16 May: Los Angeles Lakers lose at Denver, 132-pts-126
Game 2 on Thursday, 18 May: Los Angeles Lakers lose at Denver, 108-pts-103
Game 3 on Saturday, 20 May: Denver wins at Los Angeles Lakers, 119-pts-108
Game 4 on Monday, 22 May: Denver wins at Los Angeles Lakers, 113-pts-111

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 4: The Denver Nuggets visited and defeated the Los Angeles Lakers 113-pts-111 to complete a 4-games-nil best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1546 victory. With the series 1546 win, the Denver Nuggets improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 11-21 overall and 1-4 in the Semifinals round. With the series 1546 loss, the Los Angeles Lakers see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 74-33 overall and 26-6 in the Semifinals round. The win order for the victorious Denver Nuggets in series 1546 was WWWW: Series 1546 thus becomes the 19th NBA Semifinals-round series, the 92nd NBA series (all rounds), and the 250th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The Denver Nuggets trailed their host Los Angeles Lakers by 15 points as late as after two quarters but emerged victorious: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games from 1947 through 21 May 2023, inclusive, road teams down 15 points as late as after two quarters had a game record of only 3-71 (.041) - the Denver Nuggets thus achieve a grade-A in-game comeback in series 1546 Game 4. The four-game sweep achieved by Denver is the 250th such sweep in best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series. The series 1546 Game 4 loss by the Los Angeles Lakers breaks their best-of-7 NBA Semifinals-round winning streak at eight, and drops their Game 4 record to 0-8 as the Lakers in Los Angeles when trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff series three-games-nil.

After Game 3: The Denver Nuggets visited and defeated the Los Angeles Lakers 119-pts-108 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1546 lead of 3-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 2-0 and a Game 4 record of 0-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the Los Angeles Lakers have a series record of 0-7 and a Game 4 record of 0-7. In both best-of-7 NBA playoff series in which the Denver Nuggets led 3-games-nil, the Nuggets lost Game 4, and won Game 5, in series 1082 (in the 2009 NBA Quarterfinals round over the Dallas Mavericks) and in series 1537 (in the 2023 NBA Preliminary round over the Minnesota Timberwolves). In series 1546, the Los Angeles Lakers become the 393rd MLB/NBA/NHL team to fall behind 3-games-nil, and will strive to become the sixth to rally for a 4-games-3 victory; the Denver Nuggets in series 1546 will in turn try to achieve the 250th MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 sweep in four games.

After Game 2: The Denver Nuggets hosted and defeated the Los Angeles Lakers 108-pts-103 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1546 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 6-0 and a Game 3 record of 2-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Los Angeles Lakers have a series record of 2-18 (with an active five-series losing streak) and a Game 3 record of 13-7. Trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 2-games-nil, the Los Angeles Lakers last won such a series in series 932, over the San Antonio Spurs in six games in the 2004 NBA Quarterfinals.

After Game 1: The Denver Nuggets hosted and bested the Los Angeles Lakers 132-pts-126 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1546 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 7-7 and a Game 2 record of 6-8. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Los Angeles Lakers have a series record of 13-25 and a Game 2 record of 18-20. Series 1546 Game 1 featured the highest total score in a best-of-7 NBA Semifinals Game 1 (258 points) since series 454, in which the Los Angeles Lakers hosted and defeated the Denver Nuggets 139-pts-122 (261 total points) in Game 1 of the 1985 NBA Semifinals series. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff series beginning in 1947, teams such as the Denver Nuggets which win Game 1 at home by six points have a 14-2 (.875) series record.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2022-23 NBA regular season, the Denver Nuggets finished ten games ahead of the Los Angeles Lakers. From 1947 through the 2023 NBA Quarterfinals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by ten regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 22-4 (.846) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1546 is the 32nd best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Denver Nuggets, and the 107th for the Los Angeles Lakers. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Denver Nuggets have an all-rounds series record of 10-21, a Semifinals-round series record of 0-4, and a Game 1 record of 14-17, while the Los Angeles Lakers have an all-rounds series record of 74-32, a Semifinals-round series record of 26-5 (with an active eight-Semifinals series winning streak), and a Game 1 record of 68-38. Series 1546 is the sixth best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Denver Nuggets and the Los Angeles Lakers. The Los Angeles Lakers won all five of the previous best-of-7 NBA playoff series pitting the Lakers against the Denver Nuggets.