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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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2023 NBA Quarterfinals round - Series 1544.
Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State Warriors

Schedule and 2022-23 Results:
Regular Season Records: Golden State 44-38, Los Angeles Lakers 43-39
Game 1 on Tuesday, 02 May: Los Angeles Lakers win at Golden State, 117-pts-112
Game 2 on Thursday, 04 May: Los Angeles Lakers lose at Golden State, 127-pts-100
Game 3 on Saturday, 06 May: Golden State loses at Los Angeles Lakers, 127-pts-97
Game 4 on Monday, 08 May: Golden State loses at Los Angeles Lakers, 104-pts-101
Game 5 on Wednesday, 10 May: Los Angeles Lakers lose at Golden State, 121-pts-106
Game 6 on Friday, 12 May: Golden State loses at Los Angeles Lakers, 122-pts-101

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Los Angeles Lakers hosted and defeated the Golden State Warriors 122-pts-101 to complete a 4-games-2 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1544 victory. With the series 1544 win, the Los Angeles Lakers improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 74-32 overall and 27-9 in the Quarterfinals round. With the series 1544 loss, the Golden State Warriors see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 30-13 overall and 9-8 in the Quarterfinals round. The win order for the victorious Los Angeles Lakers in series 1544 was WLWWLW: Series 1544 thus becomes the tenth NBA Quarterfinals-round series, the 28th NBA series (all rounds), and the 56th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The Los Angeles Lakers also followed a WLWWLW win order to victory in best-of-7 NBA playoff series 1538 as well, over the Memphis Grizzlies in the 2023 NBA Preliminary round. The series 1544 loss by the Golden State Warriors snaps their five-series winning streak in best-of-7 NBA playoff series overall, their six-series winning streak in best-of-7 NBA Quarterfinals series, and their 19-series winning streak in best-of-7 NBA playoff series outside of the NBA Finals.

After Game 5: The Golden State Warriors hosted and topped the Los Angeles Lakers 121-pts-106 to reduce the Los Angeles Lakers best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1544 lead to 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Los Angeles Lakers have a series record of 33-4 (with an active nine-series winning streak) and a Game 6 record of 23-14. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 3-4 and a Game 6 record of 5-2. Irrespective of Games 1-3 outcomes, the Los Angeles Lakers with their series 1544 Game 5 loss see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series Game 5 losing streak extended to four games.

After Game 4: The Los Angeles Lakers hosted and defeated the Golden State Warriors 104-pts-101 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1544 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Los Angeles Lakers have a series record of 36-1 (with an active nine-series winning streak) and a Game 5 record of 23-14. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 1-7 and a Game 5 record of 2-6. Leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-1, the Los Angeles Lakers suffered their sole loss in series 977 (to the Phoenix Suns in the 2006 NBA Preliminary round). Trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-1, the Golden State Warriors achieved their sole victory in series 1315 (over the Oklahoma City Thunder in the 2016 NBA Semifinals round). The Los Angeles Lakers trailed the visiting Golden State Warriors by seven points as late as after three quarters but prevailed: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games from 1947 through 2022, inclusive, home teams down seven points as late as after three quarters had a game record of only 14-58 (.194) - the Los Angeles Lakers thus achieve a grade-B in-game comeback.

After Game 3: The Los Angeles Lakers hosted and defeated the Golden State Warriors 127-pts-97 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1544 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Los Angeles Lakers have a series record of 47-6 and a Game 4 record of 30-23. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 7-8 and a Game 4 record of 9-6. In series 1544, the Los Angeles Lakers have won Game 1, lost Game 2 by 27 points, and won Game 3 by 30 points. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff series beginning in 1947, only once before had a team won Game 1 by any margin, lost Game 2 by 25 or more points, and won Game 3 by 25 or more points: In series 1315, the Oklahoma City Thunder did so in the 2016 NBA Semifinals; the Thunder won Game 4 for a 3-games-1 lead, but then lost Games 5-7 and the series to the Golden State Warriors.

After Game 2: The Golden State Warriors hosted and defeated the Los Angeles Lakers 127-pts-100 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1544 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 13-7 and a Game 3 record of 8-12, while the Los Angeles Lakers have a series record of 27-13 and a Game 3 record of 28-12 (with an active nine-Game 3 winning streak).

After Game 1: The Los Angeles Lakers visited and bested the Golden State Warriors 117-pts-112 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1544 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Los Angeles Lakers have a series record of 60-7 (with an active 25-series winning streak) and a Game 2 record of 45-22. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 5-8 and a Game 2 record of 8-5. With their series 1544 Game 1 loss, the Golden State Warriors now have an active three-Game 1 losing streak.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2022-23 NBA regular season, the Golden State Warriors finished one game ahead of the Los Angeles Lakers. From 1947 through the 2023 NBA Preliminary round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by one regular-season game, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 22-24 (.478) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1544 is the 43rd best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Golden State Warriors, and the 106th for the Los Angeles Lakers. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Golden State Warriors have an all-rounds series record of 30-12 (with an active five-series winning streak befitting a defending NBA champion), a Quarterfinals-round series record of 9-7 (with an active six-Quarterfinals series winning streak), and a Game 1 record of 29-13, while the Los Angeles Lakers have an all-rounds series record of 73-32, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 26-9, and a Game 1 record of 67-38. Series 1544 is the fifth best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Golden State Warriors and the Los Angeles Lakers. The Los Angeles Lakers defeated the Golden State Warriors in all four of their previous best-of-7 NBA playoff series, in series 274 (in the 1973 NBA Semifinals), series 331 (in the 1977 NBA Quarterfinals), series 494 (in the 1987 NBA Quarterfinals), and series 593 (in the 1991 NBA Quarterfinals). The Golden State Warriors also have an active six-Game 1 winning streak in best-of-7 NBA Quarterfinals series. In their last 14 best-of-7 NBA Quarterfinals series, the Golden State Warriors have seen their Game 1 outcome presage their series outcome (eight wins [including in the last six such series], six losses).