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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2023 NBA Quarterfinals round - Series 1541.
Miami Heat vs New York Knickerbockers

Schedule and 2022-23 Results:
Regular Season Records: New York 47-35, Miami 44-38
Game 1 on Sunday, 30 April: Miami wins at New York, 108-pts-101
Game 2 on Tuesday, 02 May: Miami loses at New York, 111-pts-105
Game 3 on Saturday, 06 May: New York loses at Miami, 105-pts-86
Game 4 on Monday, 08 May: New York loses at Miami, 109-pts-101
Game 5 on Wednesday, 10 May: Miami loses at New York, 112-pts-103
Game 6 on Friday, 12 May: New York loses at Miami, 96-pts-92

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Miami Heat hosted and bested the New York Knickerbockers 96-pts-92 to complete a 4-games-2 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1541 victory. With the series 1541 win, the Miami Heat improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 30-14 overall and 10-3 in the Quarterfinals round. With the series 1541 loss, the New York Knickerbockers see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 19-28 overall and 10-13 in the Quarterfinals round. The win order for the victorious Miami Heat in series 1541 was WLWWLW: Series 1541 thus becomes the ninth NBA Quarterfinals-round series, the 27th NBA series (all rounds), and the 55th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. In series 1541, the Miami Heat followed a WLWWLW @ VVHHVH win/site order to series victory just 2.5 hours before the Los Angeles Lakers in series 1544 did likewise.

After Game 5: The New York Knickerbockers hosted and topped the Miami Heat 112-pts-103 to drop the Miami Heat best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1541 lead to 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Miami Heat have a series record of 9-2 (with an active eight-series winning streak) and a Game 6 record of 7-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the New York Knickerbockers have a series record of 2-11 and a Game 6 record of 7-6. The New York Knickerbockers trailed the visiting Miami Heat by ten points as late as after one quarter of series 1541 Game 5, but won: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games from 1947 through Tuesday 09 May 2023, inclusive, home teams down ten points as late as after one quarter had a game record of only 17-34 (.333) - the New York Knickerbockers thus achieve a minor in-game comeback.

After Game 4: The Miami Heat hosted and defeated the New York Knickerbockers 109-pts-101 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1541 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Miami Heat have a series record of 14-0 and a Game 5 record of 11-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the New York Knickerbockers have a series record of 0-14 and a Game 5 record of 5-9.

After Game 3: The Miami Heat hosted and bested the New York Knickerbockers 105-pts-86 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1541 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Miami Heat have a series record of 17-5 and a Game 4 record of 11-11. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the New York Knickerbockers have a series record of 3-18 and a Game 4 record of 9-12. The last best-of-7 NBA playoff series won by the New York Knickerbockers upon facing a 2-games-1 deficit was series 814, in seven games in the 2000 NBA Quarterfinals, also against the Miami Heat.

After Game 2: The New York Knickerbockers hosted and bested the Miami Heat 111-pts-105 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1541 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the New York Knickerbockers have a series record of 9-11 and a Game 3 record of 7-13, while the Miami Heat have a series record of 11-8 and a Game 3 record of 13-6.

After Game 1: The Miami Heat visited and defeated the New York Knickerbockers 108-pts-101 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1541 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Miami Heat have a series record of 21-4 and a Game 2 record of 17-8. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the New York Knickerbockers have a series record of 4-21 (with an active six-series losing streak) and a Game 2 record of 11-14. The Miami Heat trailed the host New York Knickerbockers by eleven points after one quarter but prevailed: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games from 1947 through Saturday 29 April 2023, inclusive, road teams down eleven points as late as after one quarter had a game record of only 10-82 (.109) - the Miami Heat thus achieve a grade-B in-game comeback. Ironically, the last NBA team to trail a best-of-7 NBA playoff game by eleven points after one quarter on the road and win the game was also the Miami Heat, in Game 1 of a best-of-7 NBA Quarterfinals series (in series 1442 in Milwaukee, in their 2020 NBA Quarterfinals series). With their series 1541 Game 1 win, the Miami Heat extend their Game 1 winning streak in best-of-7 NBA playoff series to five games.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2022-23 NBA regular season, the New York Knickerbockers finished three games ahead of the Miami Heat. From 1947 through the 2023 NBA Preliminary round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by three regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 22-18 (.550) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1541 is the 47th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the New York Knickerbockers, and the 44th for the Miami Heat. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the New York Knickerbockers have an all-rounds series record of 19-27, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 10-12, and a Game 1 record of 21-25, while the Miami Heat have an all-rounds series record of 29-14, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 9-3, and a Game 1 record of 25-18 (with an active four-Game 1 winning streak). Series 1541 is the fourth best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the New York Knickerbockers and the Miami Heat. The Miami Heat defeated the New York Knickerbockers in two of their three previous best-of-7 NBA playoff series meetings. In their last eight best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the New York Knickerbockers have seen their Game 1 outcome presage their series outcome (two wins, six losses).