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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2023 NBA Preliminary round - Series 1533.
Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks

Schedule and 2022-23 Results
Regular Season Records: Milwaukee 58-24, Miami 44-38
Game 1 on Sunday, 16 April: Miami wins at Milwaukee, 130-pts-117
Game 2 on Wednesday, 19 April: Miami loses at Milwaukee, 138-pts-122
Game 3 on Saturday, 22 April: Milwaukee loses at Miami, 121-pts-99
Game 4 on Monday, 24 April: Milwaukee loses at Miami, 119-pts-114
Game 5 on Wednesday, 26 April: Miami wins at Milwaukee, 128-pts-126(OT)

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 5: The Miami Heat visited and defeated the Milwaukee Bucks 128-pts-126(OT) to complete a 4-games-1 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1533 victory. With the series 1533 win, the Miami Heat improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 29-14 overall and 11-5 in the Preliminary round. With the series 1533 loss, the Milwaukee Bucks see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 19-27 overall and 4-9 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Miami Heat in series 1533 was WLWWW: Series 1533 thus becomes the eighth NBA Preliminary-round series, the 32nd NBA series (all rounds), and the 90th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The Miami Heat trailed the host Milwaukee Bucks by 16 points as late as after three quarters but prevailed: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games from 1947 through Tuesday 25 April 2023, inclusive, road teams down 16 points as late as after three quarters had a game record of only 1-54 (.018) - the Miami Heat thus achieve a grade-A in-game comeback. The sole previous team to trail and win under such circumstances was the Memphis Grizzlies, which likewise trailed by sixteen points after three quarters in series 1505 Game 3 in the 2022 NBA Preliminary round, in Minnesota against the Timberwolves: Memphis outscored their hosts 37-pts-12 in the fourth quarter to win 104-pts-95.

After Game 4: The Miami Heat hosted and topped the Milwaukee Bucks 119-pts-114 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1533 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Miami Heat have a series record of 13-0 and a Game 5 record of 10-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Milwaukee Bucks have a series record of 0-10 and a Game 5 record of 4-6. The Miami Heat trailed the visiting Milwaukee Bucks by eleven points after three quarters but prevailed: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games from 1947 through 2022, inclusive, home teams down eleven points after three quarters had a game record of only 7-42 (.143) - the Miami Heat thus achieve a grade-B in-game comeback. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Milwaukee Bucks have an active four-Game 5 winning streak, irrespective of Games 1-4 outcomes.

After Game 3: The Miami Heat hosted and bested the Milwaukee Bucks 121-pts-99 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1533 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Miami Heat have a series record of 16-5 and a Game 4 record of 10-11. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Milwaukee Bucks have a series record of 3-12 and a Game 4 record of 9-6 (with a four-Game 4 winning streak). The series 1533 Game 3 win by the Miami Heat snaps the Milwaukee Bucks best-of-7 NBA playoffs Game 3 winning streak (irrespective of Games 1-2 outcome) at six games.

After Game 2: The Milwaukee Bucks hosted and defeated the Miami Heat 138-pts-122 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1533 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Milwaukee Bucks have a series record of 8-10 and a Game 3 record of 12-6 (with an active six-Game 3 winning streak), while the Miami Heat have a series record of 10-8 (with an active four-series losing streak) and a Game 3 record of 12-6. For the Milwaukee Bucks, their active six-Game 3 winning streak in best-of-7 NBA playoff series is irrespective of Game 1 and Game 2 outcomes. The 260 total points in series 1533 Game 2 fell just ten points shy of the best-of-7 NBA Preliminary-round Game 2 record for most points by both teams (270 total points, in series 1471 by the Utah Jazz and Memphis Grizzlies in the 2021 NBA Preliminary round).

After Game 1: The Miami Heat visited and defeated the Milwaukee Bucks 130-pts-117 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1533 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Miami Heat have a series record of 20-4 and a Game 2 record of 17-7. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Milwaukee Bucks have a series record of 8-21 and a Game 2 record of 12-17. Leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 1-game-nil, the Miami Heat have seen their Game 2 outcome presage their series outcome in each of their last ten such series (eight wins, two losses).

Pre-series assessment: In the 2022-23 NBA regular season, the Milwaukee Bucks finished 14 games ahead of the Miami Heat. From 1947 through the 2022 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by 14 regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 19-0 (1.000) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1533 is the 46th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Milwaukee Bucks, and the 43rd for the Miami Heat. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Milwaukee Bucks have an all-rounds series record of 19-26, a Preliminary-round series record of 4-8 (with an active four-series winning streak), and a Game 1 record of 16-29, while the Miami Heat have an all-rounds series record of 28-14, a Preliminary-round series record of 10-5, and a Game 1 record of 24-18. Series 1533 is the fourth best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Milwaukee Bucks and the Miami Heat. Miami won the first two best-of-7 NBA series between the two teams, with Milwaukee winning the most recent.