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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
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Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
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NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2022 NHL Semifinals round - Series 1498.
Edmonton Oilers vs Colorado Avalanche

Schedule and 2021-22 Results
Regular Season Records: Colorado 56-19-7=119pts, Edmonton 49-27-6=104pts
Game 1 on Tuesday, 31 May: Edmonton loses at Colorado, 8-goals-6
Game 2 on Thursday, 02 June: Edmonton loses at Colorado, 4-goals-nil
Game 3 on Saturday, 04 June: Colorado wins at Edmonton, 4-goals-2
Game 4 on Monday, 06 June: Colorado wins at Edmonton, 6-goals-5(OT)

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 4: The Colorado Avalanche visited and bested the Edmonton Oilers 6-goals-5(OT) to complete a 4-games-nil best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1498 victory. With the series 1498 win, the Colorado Avalanche improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 25-15 overall and 3-4 in the Semifinals round. With the series 1498 loss, the Edmonton Oilers see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 32-16 overall and 7-3 in the Semifinals round. The win order for the victorious Colorado Avalanche in series 1498 was WWWW: Series 1498 thus becomes the 27th NHL Semifinals-round series, the 127th NHL series (all rounds), and the 247th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. At low ebb, the Colorado Avalanche trailed the Oilers in Edmonton by two goals as late as 8:57 into the third period of series 1498 Game 4, but prevailed in overtime: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games (1939-2021, inclusive), road teams down two goals 8:57 into the third period had a game record of 11-498 (.022); so it is that the Colorado Avalanche achieved a Grade-A (.000 - .099) comeback in series 1498 Game 4. Trailing a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the Edmonton Oilers now have a 0-5 Game 4 record after their series 1498 Game 4 loss.

After Game 3: The Colorado Avalanche visited and defeated the Edmonton Oilers 4-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1498 lead of 3-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 6-0 and a Game 4 record of 4-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the Edmonton Oilers have a series record of 0-4 and a Game 4 record of 0-4. In best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, teams such as the Colorado Avalanche in series 1498 with a 3-games-nil lead have an active 68-series winning streak.

After Game 2: The Colorado Avalanche hosted and shut out the Edmonton Oilers 4-goals-nil to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1498 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 15-2 and a Game 3 record of 6-11. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Edmonton Oilers have a series record of 1-8 and a Game 3 record of 5-4. The sole best-of-7 NHL playoff series victory by the Edmonton Oilers in the wake of a 2-games-nil deficit occurred in series 967, in the 2006 NHL Quarterfinals over the San Jose Sharks.

After Game 1: The Colorado Avalanche hosted and defeated the Edmonton Oilers 8-goals-6 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1498 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 19-6 and a Game 2 record of 17-8. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Edmonton Oilers have a series record of 11-12 and a Game 2 record of 14-9. Trailing a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 1-game-nil (as they now do to the Colorado Avalanche in series 1498), the Edmonton Oilers have seen their Game 2 outcome presage their series outcome in their last five such series (three wins, two losses). The fourteen total goals in series 1498 Game 1 are the second-most ever in a best-of-7 NHL playoff Game 1, next only to the fifteen total goals in series 1496 Game 1 in which the Calgary Flames defeated the Edmonton Oilers 9-goals-6 in the just-concluded 2022 NHL Quarterfinals.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2021-22 NHL regular season, the Colorado Avalanche finished 15 points ahead of the Edmonton Oilers. From 1939 through the 2022 NHL Quarterfinals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by 15 regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 21-8 (.724) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1498 is the 40th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Colorado Avalanche, and the 48th for the Edmonton Oilers. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Colorado Avalanche have an all-rounds series record of 24-15, a Semifinals-round series record of 2-4, and a Game 1 record of 25-14 (with an active four-Game 1 winning streak), while the Edmonton Oilers have an all-rounds series record of 32-15, a Semifinals-round series record of 7-2, and a Game 1 record of 24-23. Series 1498 is the third best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Colorado Avalanche and the Edmonton Oilers. Colorado defeated Edmonton in series 731 (in the 1997 NHL Quarterfinals), while Edmonton defeated Colorado in series 753 (in the 1998 NHL Preliminary round).