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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2022 NHL Preliminary round - Series 1492.
Los Angeles Kings vs Edmonton Oilers

Schedule and 2021-22 Results:
Regular Season Records: Edmonton 49-27-6=104pts, Los Angeles 44-27-11=99pts
Game 1 on Monday, 02 May: Los Angeles wins at Edmonton, 4-goals-3
Game 2 on Wednesday, 04 May: Los Angeles loses at Edmonton, 6-goals-nil
Game 3 on Friday, 06 May: Edmonton wins at Los Angeles, 8-goals-2
Game 4 on Sunday, 08 May: Edmonton loses at Los Angeles, 4-goals-nil
Game 5 on Tuesday, 10 May: Los Angeles wins at Edmonton, 5-goals-4(OT)
Game 6 on Thursday, 12 May: Edmonton wins at Los Angeles, 4-goals-2
Game 7 on Saturday, 14 May: Los Angeles loses at Edmonton, 2-goals-nil

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 7: The Edmonton Oilers hosted and shut out the Los Angeles Kings 2-goals-nil to complete a 4-games-3 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1492 victory. With the series 1492 win, the Edmonton Oilers improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 31-15 overall and 10-6 in the Preliminary round. With the series 1492 loss, the Los Angeles Kings see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 18-23 overall and 8-11 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Edmonton Oilers in series 1492 was LWWLLWW: Series 1492 thus becomes the fourth NHL Preliminary-round series, the eleventh NHL series (all rounds), and the 18th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The shutout Game 7 win in series 1492 was the first NHL Preliminary-round shutout Game 7 victory since series 1255, in which the Tampa Bay Lightning whitewashed the Detroit Red Wings in the 2015 NHL Preliminary round. The Edmonton Oilers also posted a shutout Game 7 victory in series 753, over the Colorado Avalanche in the 1998 NHL Preliminary round.

After Game 6: The Edmonton Oilers visited and defeated the Los Angeles Kings 4-goals-2 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1492 at 3-games-all. When tied 3-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Edmonton Oilers have a Game 7 record of 6-4, while the Los Angeles Kings have a Game 7 record of 7-4 (with an active four-Game 7 winning streak). Series 1492 Game 7 for the Oilers in Edmonton will end a streak of five consecutive Game 7s on the road by the Oilers. The last Game 7 by the Oilers in Edmonton occurred in series 558, in the 1990 NHL Preliminary round against the old Winnipeg Jets (I) (as a prelude to the Edmonton 1990 NHL championship). The Edmonton Oilers have a 3-1 Game 7 record at home; the Los Angeles Kings have a 5-3 Game 7 record on the road.

After Game 5: The Los Angeles Kings visited and defeated the Edmonton Oilers 5-goals-4(OT) to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1492 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Los Angeles Kings have a series record of 9-1 (with an active nine-series winning streak) and a Game 6 record of 7-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Edmonton Oilers have a series record of 2-6 (with an active four-series losing streak) and a Game 6 record of 5-3. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Edmonton Oilers have an active five-Game 6 winning streak irrespective of Games 1-5 outcomes.

After Game 4: The Los Angeles Kings hosted and shut out the Edmonton Oilers 4-goals-nil to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1492 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Edmonton Oilers have a series record of 7-4 and a Game 5 record of 7-4, while the Los Angeles Kings have a series record of 9-4 and a Game 5 record of 7-6. In all eleven best-of-7 NHL playoff series in which the Edmonton Oilers were tied 2-games-all, the Oilers Game 5 outcome presaged their series outcome (seven wins, four losses).

After Game 3: The Edmonton Oilers visited and bested the Los Angeles Kings 8-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1492 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Edmonton Oilers have a series record of 17-3 and a Game 4 record of 13-7. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Los Angeles Kings have a series record of 6-11 and a Game 4 record of 6-11. The eight goals in series 1492 Game 3 by the Edmonton Oilers against the Kings in Los Angeles are the most road goals in a best-of-7 NHL playoff game since series 1356 Game 6, in which the Pittsburgh Penguins defeated the Flyers in Philadelphia 8-goals-5 in the 2018 NHL Preliminary round. Series 1492 Game 3 becomes the sixth best-of-7 NHL playoff game in which the Edmonton Oilers scored 8+ goals on the road.

After Game 2: The Edmonton Oilers hosted and shut out the Los Angeles Kings 6-goals-nil to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1492 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Edmonton Oilers have a series record of 15-6 and a Game 3 record of 14-7, while the Los Angeles Kings have a series record of 8-9 and a Game 3 record of 6-11. Series 1492 Game 2 becomes the most one-sided shutout victory by a home team to avenge a best-of-7 NHL playoff Game 1 loss at home since series 371, when the Flyers in Philadelphia whitewashed the old Minnesota North Stars 7-goals-nil to knot their 1980 NHL Semifinals series 1-game-all en route to a 4-games-1 series victory.

After Game 1: The Los Angeles Kings visited and defeated the Edmonton Oilers 4-goals-3 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1492 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Los Angeles Kings have a series record of 10-5 (with an active seven-series winning streak) and a Game 2 record of 8-7 (with an active seven-Game 2 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Edmonton Oilers have a series record of 9-12 and a Game 2 record of 12-9. The series 1492 Game 1 victory by the Los Angeles Kings is their first best-of-7 NHL playoff Game 1 victory since series 1235, in the 2014 NHL Finals (which the Kings won against the New York Rangers).

Pre-series assessment: In the 2021-22 NHL regular season, the Edmonton Oilers finished five points ahead of the Los Angeles Kings. From 1939 through the 2021 NHL Finals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by five regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 27-17 (.614) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1492 is the 46th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Edmonton Oilers, and the 41st for the Los Angeles Kings. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Edmonton Oilers have an all-rounds series record of 30-15, a Preliminary-round series record of 9-6, and a Game 1 record of 24-21, while the Los Angeles Kings have an all-rounds series record of 18-22, a Preliminary-round series record of 8-10, and a Game 1 record of 15-25. Series 1492 is the sixth best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Edmonton Oilers and the Los Angeles Kings. Edmonton owns a 4-1 series record in their previous best-of-7 NHL playoff series meetings against Los Angeles, with the sole Kings victory occurring in series 533 (in the 1989 NHL Preliminary round). The teams met in 1987 and in each year during 1989-1992 (inclusive), but not since.