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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

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Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
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QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
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PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
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Game 1 played at home
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BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
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All | Home Games | Road Games
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QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
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BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
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BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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2022 NHL Preliminary round - Series 1491.
Dallas Stars vs Calgary Flames

Schedule and 2021-22 Results:
Regular Season Records: Calgary 50-21-11=111pts, Dallas 46-30-6=98pts
Game 1 on Tuesday, 03 May: Dallas loses at Calgary, 1-goal-nil
Game 2 on Thursday, 05 May: Dallas wins at Calgary, 2-goals-nil
Game 3 on Saturday, 07 May: Calgary loses at Dallas, 4-goals-2
Game 4 on Monday, 09 May: Calgary wins at Dallas, 4-goals-1
Game 5 on Wednesday, 11 May: Dallas loses at Calgary, 3-goals-1
Game 6 on Friday, 13 May: Calgary loses at Dallas, 4-goals-2
Game 7 on Sunday, 15 May: Dallas loses at Calgary, 3-goals-2(OT)

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 7: The Calgary Flames hosted and bested the Dallas Stars 3-goals-2(OT) to complete a 4-games-3 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1491 victory. With the series 1491 win, the Calgary Flames improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 13-21 overall and 5-14 in the Preliminary round. With the series 1491 loss, the Dallas Stars see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 19-16 overall and 10-7 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Calgary Flames in series 1491 was WLLWWLW: Series 1491 thus becomes the third NHL Preliminary-round series, the tenth NHL series (all rounds), and the 22nd MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The series 1491 victory by the Calgary Flames ends a Calgary four-series best-of-7 NHL playoffs losing streak.

After Game 6: The Dallas Stars hosted and bested the Calgary Flames 4-goals-2 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1491 at 3-games-all. When tied 3-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Calgary Flames have a Game 7 record of 5-7, while the Dallas Stars have a Game 7 record of 3-4. The Calgary Flames have a best-of-7 NHL playoff series home-ice Game 7 record of 2-4, with an active four-Game 7 losing streak. The Dallas Stars have a best-of-7 NHL playoff series road-ice Game 7 record of 1-2.

After Game 5: The Calgary Flames hosted and outscored the Dallas Stars 3-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1491 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Calgary Flames have a series record of 9-4 and a Game 6 record of 4-9. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 1-9 (with an active seven-series losing streak) and a Game 6 record of 4-6. At low ebb, the Calgary Flames trailed series 1491 Game 5 by a goal at home against the Dallas Stars as late as 6:48 into the third period, but rallied for the game victory: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games (1939-2021, inclusive), home teams down a goal as late as 6:48 into the third period had a game record of only 138-533 (.206); so it is that the Calgary Flames achieve a Grade-C (.200 - .299) comeback in series 1491 Game 5. Trailing a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Dallas Stars won their sole series in series 786 over the Colorado Avalanche in the 1999 NHL Semifinals (en route to the Dallas Stars 1999 NHL championship).

After Game 4: The Calgary Flames visited and vanquished the Dallas Stars 4-goals-1 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1491 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Calgary Flames have a series record of 7-8 (with an active six-series losing streak) and a Game 5 record of 10-5 (with an active four-Game 5 losing streak), while the Dallas Stars have a series record of 9-4 and a Game 5 record of 9-4. Once before did the Calgary Flames follow a WLLW @ HHVV win/site order into four games of a best-of-7 NHL playoff series: In series 540, the Calgary Flames opened the 1989 NHL Finals WLLW @ HHVV against the Montreal Canadiens, and won Games 5-6 for their first (and thus far only) NHL championship.

After Game 3: The Dallas Stars hosted and bested the Calgary Flames 4-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1491 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 12-0 and a Game 4 record of 7-5. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Calgary Flames have a series record of 2-11 (with an active four-series losing streak) and a Game 4 record of 5-8. The two Calgary series victories in the wake of a 2-games-1 deficit in a best-of-7 NHL playoff series occurred in series 540 (in the 1989 NHL Finals over the Montreal Canadiens) and in series 912 (in the 2004 NHL Preliminary round over the Vancouver Canucks).

After Game 2: The Dallas Stars visited and shut out the Calgary Flames 2-goals-nil to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1491 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Calgary Flames have a series record of 6-11 (with an active seven-series losing streak) and a Game 3 record of 9-8, while the Dallas Stars have a series record of 9-7 and a Game 3 record of 5-11. With their series 1491 Game 2 loss, the Calgary Flames have now lost eleven consecutive Game 2s in best-of-7 NHL playoff series irrespective of Game 1 outcome. In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff series, teams such as the Calgary Flames in series 1491 which win Game 1 by shutout but lose Game 2 by shutout have a 2-6 series record, with the two wins occurring in the last two such series.

After Game 1: The Calgary Flames hosted and shut out the Dallas Stars 1-goal-nil to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1491 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Calgary Flames have a series record of 8-6 and a Game 2 record of 3-11 (with an active six-Game 2 losing streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 5-12 and a Game 2 record of 9-8. Calgary scored the sole goal of series 1491 Game 1 at 5:01 into the first period: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games (1939-2021, inclusive), the only previous 1-goal-nil home team victory in which the sole goal was tallied earlier than in series 1491 Game 1 occurred in series 1359 Game 1, in which the Vegas Golden Knights scored at 3:23 into the first period to defeat the Los Angeles Kings in their 2018 NHL Preliminary round game. Irrespective of Game 1 outcome, the Calgary Flames bring a ten-Game 2 best-of-7 NHL playoff losing streak into series 1491 Game 2.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2021-22 NHL regular season, the Calgary Flames finished 13 points ahead of the Dallas Stars. From 1939 through the 2021 NHL Finals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by 13 regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 14-10 (.583) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1491 is the 34th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Calgary Flames, and the 35th for the Dallas Stars. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Calgary Flames have an all-rounds series record of 12-21 (with an active four-series losing streak), a Preliminary-round series record of 4-14, and a Game 1 record of 14-19, while the Dallas Stars have an all-rounds series record of 19-15, a Preliminary-round series record of 10-6, and a Game 1 record of 17-17. Series 1491 is the second best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Calgary Flames and the Dallas Stars. In their only previous best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting, Dallas defeated Calgary in series 1425 (in the 2020 NHL Preliminary round).