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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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2022 NBA Quarterfinals round - Series 1509.
Milwaukee Bucks vs Boston Celtics

Schedule and 2021-22 Results:
Regular Season Records: Boston 51-31, Milwaukee 51-31
Game 1 on Sunday, 01 May: Milwaukee wins at Boston, 101-pts-89
Game 2 on Tuesday, 03 May: Milwaukee loses at Boston, 109-pts-86
Game 3 on Saturday, 07 May: Boston loses at Milwaukee, 103-pts-101
Game 4 on Monday, 09 May: Boston wins at Milwaukee, 116-pts-108
Game 5 on Wednesday, 11 May: Milwaukee wins at Boston, 110-pts-107
Game 6 on Friday, 13 May: Boston wins at Milwaukee, 108-pts-95
Game 7 on Sunday, 15 May: Milwaukee loses at Boston, 109-pts-81

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 7: The Boston Celtics hosted and bested the Milwaukee Bucks 109-pts-81 to complete a 4-games-3 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1509 victory. With the series 1509 win, the Boston Celtics improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 71-30 overall and 23-8 in the Quarterfinals round. With the series 1509 loss, the Milwaukee Bucks see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 19-26 overall and 10-10 in the Quarterfinals round. The win order for the victorious Boston Celtics in series 1509 was LWLWLWW: Series 1509 thus becomes the second NBA Quarterfinals-round series, the seventh NBA series (all rounds), and the 26th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. Series 1509 Game 7 becomes the 25th Boston Celtics Game 7 victory, which is far and away the most best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL Game 7 victories by one team (next are the NHL Montreal Canadiens and Boston Bruins with 15 Game 7 victories each); the NHL Boston Bruins have a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL Game 7-leading 14 Game 7 losses (although they are tied with the NHL Toronto Maple Leafs in that category). The 71 Boston Celtics series victories in best-of-7 NBA playoff series are third-most in best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff history, behind the 80 NHL Montreal Canadiens series victories and the 72 NBA Los Angeles Lakers series victories; the Celtics can tie the Lakers with a 2022 NBA Semifinals victory over the Miami Heat.

After Game 6: The Boston Celtics visited and topped the Milwaukee Bucks 108-pts-95 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1509 at 3-games-all. When tied 3-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Boston Celtics have a Game 7 record of 24-9, while the Milwaukee Bucks have a Game 7 record of 3-8. The Boston Celtics have a best-of-7 NBA playoff series home-court Game 7 record of 20-5. The Milwaukee Bucks have a best-of-7 NBA playoff series road-court Game 7 record of 1-7, with the sole victory in the last Game 7 by the Bucks away from Milwaukee (in series 1476, over the Nets in Brooklyn in the 2021 NBA Quarterfinals).

After Game 5: The Milwaukee Bucks visited and defeated the Boston Celtics 110-pts-107 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1509 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Milwaukee Bucks have a series record of 4-2 and a Game 6 record of 3-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 5-15 (with an active eight-series losing streak) and a Game 6 record of 10-10. Milwaukee trailed the Celtics in Boston by nine points after three quarters of their series 1509 Game 5, but rallied for the victory: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games beginning in 1947 and ending before tonight, road teams down nine points after three quarters had a game record of 7-90 (.072); so it is that the Milwaukee Bucks in series 1509 Game 5 achieved a Grade-A (.000 - .099) comeback.

After Game 4: The Boston Celtics visited and defeated the Milwaukee Bucks 116-pts-108 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1509 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 33-13 and a Game 5 record of 34-12, while the Milwaukee Bucks have a series record of 6-11 and a Game 5 record of 6-11. The Boston Celtics trailed series 1509 Game 4 against the Bucks in Milwaukee by seven points after three quarters, but prevailed: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games before series 1509 Game 4, road teams trailing by seven games after three quarters had a game record of 15-108 (.122); so it is that the Boston Celtics in series 1509 Game 4 achieved a Grade-B (.100 - .199) in-game comeback.

After Game 3: The Milwaukee Bucks hosted and outscored the Boston Celtics 103-pts-101 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1509 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Milwaukee Bucks have a series record of 10-5 and a Game 4 record of 7-8. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 10-20 (with an active four-series losing streak) and a Game 4 record of 17-13 (with an active four-Game 4 losing streak). Once before have the Milwaukee Bucks led a best-of-7 NBA playoff series WLW @ VVH (in series 1337, in which the Bucks lost Games 4-6 and the series to the Toronto Raptors in the 2017 NBA Preliminary round). The Boston Celtics have a 3-4 series record upon trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff series LWL @ HHV.

After Game 2: The Boston Celtics hosted and topped the Milwaukee Bucks 109-pts-86 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1509 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 27-14 and a Game 3 record of 22-19, while the Milwaukee Bucks have a series record of 8-9 (with an active four-series winning streak) and a Game 3 record of 11-6 (with an active five-Game 2 winning streak). Posting a LW @ HH win/site order (as they have in series 1509 through two games), the Boston Celtics have a 5-5 series record in best-of-7 NBA playoff series. Through their series 1509 Game 2 victory, the Boston Celtics end their eight-Game 2 losing streak in best-of-7 NBA playoff series upon trailing 1-game-nil.

After Game 1: The Milwaukee Bucks visited and defeated the Boston Celtics 101-pts-89 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1509 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Milwaukee Bucks have a series record of 11-4 and a Game 2 record of 10-5. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Boston Celtics have a series record of 11-23 and a Game 2 record of 17-17 (with an active eight-Game 2 losing streak). In best-of-7 NBA playoff series (all rounds), road teams winning Game 1 (such as the Milwaukee Bucks in series 1509 Game 1) have an active four-Game 2 losing streak.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2021-22 NBA regular season, the Boston Celtics finished zero games ahead of the Milwaukee Bucks, winning home-court advantage through the NBA tiebreaking system. From 1947 through the 2022 NBA Preliminary round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by zero regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 13-12 (.520, for the team playing Game 1 at home) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1509 is the 101st best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Boston Celtics, and the 45th for the Milwaukee Bucks. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Boston Celtics have an all-rounds series record of 70-30, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 22-8, and a Game 1 record of 66-34, while the Milwaukee Bucks have an all-rounds series record of 19-25 (with an active five-series winning streak befitting a defending NBA champion), a Quarterfinals-round series record of 10-9, and a Game 1 record of 15-29. Series 1509 is the eighth best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Boston Celtics and the Milwaukee Bucks. Boston owns a 5-2 series record in their previous seven best-of-7 NBA playoff series meetings against Milwaukee, with the sole Bucks wins occurring in the 1983 NBA Quarterfinals and in the 2019 NBA Quarterfinals; three of those previous seven series required the full seven games (all Boston victories).