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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2022 NBA Preliminary round - Series 1507.
Utah Jazz vs Dallas Mavericks

Schedule and 2021-22 Results
Regular Season Records: Dallas 52-30, Utah 49-33
Game 1 on Saturday, 16 April: Utah wins at Dallas, 99-pts-93
Game 2 on Monday, 18 April: Utah loses at Dallas, 110-pts-104
Game 3 on Thursday, 21 April: Dallas wins at Utah, 126-pts-118
Game 4 on Saturday, 23 April: Dallas loses at Utah, 100-pts-99
Game 5 on Monday, 25 April: Utah loses at Dallas, 102-pts-77
Game 6 on Thursday, 28 April: Dallas wins at Utah, 98-pts-96

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Dallas Mavericks visited and outscored the Utah Jazz 98-pts-96 to complete a 4-games-2 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1507 victory. With the series 1507 win, the Dallas Mavericks improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 13-19 overall and 6-10 in the Preliminary round. With the series 1507 loss, the Utah Jazz see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 14-23 overall and 6-6 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Dallas Mavericks in series 1507 was LWWLWW: Series 1507 thus becomes the fifth NBA Preliminary-round series, the 14th NBA series (all rounds), and the 39th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The series 1507 win by the Dallas Mavericks ends their best-of-7 NBA Preliminary-round playoff series losing streak at six; the last Dallas series win was in the 2011 NBA Finals. Dallas trailed series 1507 Game 6 in Utah by a dozen points at halftime, but prevailed: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games beginning in 1947 and prior to series 1507 Game 6, road teams down 12 points at halftime had a game record of 7-68 (.093). So it is that Dallas achieved a Grade-A comeback (.000 - .099) in series 1507 Game 6.

After Game 5: The Dallas Mavericks hosted and bested the Utah Jazz 102-pts-77 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1507 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Dallas Mavericks have a series record of 8-1 and a Game 6 record of 4-5. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Utah Jazz have a series record of 1-9 and a Game 6 record of 3-7. The sole best-of-7 NBA playoff series loss by the Dallas Mavericks in the wake of a 3-games-2 lead occurred in the last such series which Dallas had led 3-games-2, in series 1474 to the Los Angeles Clippers in the 2021 NBA Preliminary round. The sole Utah Jazz best-of-7 NBA playoff series victory in the wake of a 3-games-2 deficit occurred in series 1012, over the Houston Rockets in the 2007 NBA Preliminary round. Through five games of series 1507, the win order for the series-leading Dallas Mavericks is LWWLW: In the history of best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, teams posting a LWWLW win order have an active 12-series winning streak.

After Game 4: The Utah Jazz hosted and defeated the Dallas Mavericks 100-pts-99 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1507 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Dallas Mavericks have a series record of 6-7 and a Game 5 record of 7-6, while the Utah Jazz have a series record of 3-5 and a Game 5 record of 2-6. The sum of the victory margins of series 1507 through the first four games is only 21 points, thus making series 1507 the closest best-of-7 NBA Preliminary-round series tied 2-games-all through four games since series 1073, with only 16 points separating the Orlando Magic and the Philadelphia 76ers through the first four games of their 2009 NBA Preliminary-round series.

After Game 3: The Dallas Mavericks visited and bested the Utah Jazz 126-pts-118 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1507 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Dallas Mavericks have a series record of 6-3 and a Game 4 record of 3-6. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Utah Jazz have a series record of 2-14 and a Game 4 record of 5-11. Twice before had the Dallas Mavericks led a best-of-7 NBA playoff series LWW @ HHV - in each case, Dallas prevailed in the series.

After Game 2: The Dallas Mavericks hosted and bested the Utah Jazz 110-pts-104 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1507 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Dallas Mavericks have a series record of 7-8 and a Game 3 record of 6-9, while the Utah Jazz have a series record of 5-6 and a Game 3 record of 6-5. With their series 1507 Game 2 victory over the Utah Jazz, the Dallas Mavericks lengthen their best-of-7 NBA playoff Game 2 winning streak to four Game 2s; the loss ended the Utah Jazz best-of-7 NBA playoff Game 2 winning streak at three Game 2s. The host Dallas Mavericks trailed the visiting Utah Jazz by seven points at halftime in series 1507 Game 2, but prevailed: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games (1947-2021, inclusive), home teams trailing by seven points after two quarters had a 26-53 (.329) game record.

After Game 1: The Utah Jazz visited and bested the Dallas Mavericks 99-pts-93 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1507 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Utah Jazz have a series record of 10-4 and a Game 2 record of 9-5. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Dallas Mavericks have a series record of 6-15 (with an active five-series losing streak) and a Game 2 record of 11-10. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff series (from 1947 through 2021, inclusive), road teams winning Game 1 by six points (such as Utah in series 1507) have a 1-12 series record with an active dozen-series losing streak. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff series over that time, road teams trailing by three points after one quarter (such as Utah in series 1507) had a game record of 55-113 (.327) - so it is that the Utah Jazz stage a Grade-D comeback (.300 - .399) in series 1507 Game 1.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2021-22 NBA regular season, the Dallas Mavericks finished three games ahead of the Utah Jazz. From 1947 through the 2021 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by three regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 20-17 (.541) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1507 is the 32nd best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Dallas Mavericks, and the 37th for the Utah Jazz. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Dallas Mavericks have an all-rounds series record of 12-19 (with an active six-series losing streak), a Preliminary-round series record of 5-10, and a Game 1 record of 10-21, while the Utah Jazz have an all-rounds series record of 14-22, a Preliminary-round series record of 6-5, and a Game 1 record of 14-22. Series 1507 is the first best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Dallas Mavericks and the Utah Jazz.