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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2022 NBA Preliminary round - Series 1506.
Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors

Schedule and 2021-22 Results
Regular Season Records: Golden State 53-29, Denver 48-34
Game 1 on Saturday, 16 April: Denver loses at Golden State, 123-pts-107
Game 2 on Monday, 18 April: Denver loses at Golden State, 126-pts-106
Game 3 on Thursday, 21 April: Golden State wins at Denver, 118-pts-113
Game 4 on Sunday, 24 April: Golden State loses at Denver, 126-pts-121
Game 5 on Wednesday, 27 April: Denver loses at Golden State, 102-pts-98

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 5: The Golden State Warriors hosted and bested the Denver Nuggets 102-pts-98 to complete a 4-games-1 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1506 victory. With the series 1506 win, the Golden State Warriors improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 26-12 overall and 8-1 (with an active six-series winning streak in the Preliminary round) in the Preliminary round. With the series 1506 loss, the Denver Nuggets see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 8-21 overall and 4-10 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Golden State Warriors in series 1506 was WWWLW: Series 1506 thus becomes the 12th NBA Preliminary-round series, the 42nd NBA series (all rounds), and the 100th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The Warriors trailed the Denver Nuggets by eight points in San Francisco after three quarters of series 1506 Game 5, but prevailed. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff series beginning in 1947, home teams trailing by eight points after three quarters had a game record of 12-55 (.179): So it is that the Golden State Warriors achieve a Grade-B comeback (.100 - .199) in series 1506 Game 5.

After Game 4: The Denver Nuggets hosted and defeated the Golden State Warriors 126-pts-121 to reduce the Golden State Warriors best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1506 lead to 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 9-1 (with an active four-series winning streak) and a Game 5 record of 6-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 2-14 and a Game 5 record of 8-8. The sole Golden State Warriors best-of-7 NBA playoff series loss in the wake of a 3-games-1 lead occurred in series 1316, to the Cleveland Cavaliers in the 2016 NBA Finals. The Denver Nuggets surmounted 3-games-1 deficits in best-of-7 NBA playoff series back-to-back, in the 2020 NBA Preliminary and Quarterfinals rounds.

After Game 3: The Golden State Warriors visited and defeated the Denver Nuggets 118-pts-113 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1506 lead of 3-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 10-0 and a Game 4 record of 7-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 0-5 and a Game 4 record of 3-2. With their series 1506 Game 3 loss, the Denver Nuggets become the 145th NBA team and the 383rd MLB/NBA/NHL team to fall behind 3-games-nil in a best-of-7 playoff series, and thus have the opportunity (along with the Toronto Raptors) to become the sixth MLB/NBA/NHL team and the first NBA team to win Games 4-7 and the series.

After Game 2: The Golden State Warriors hosted and topped the Denver Nuggets 126-pts-106 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1506 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 14-1 (with an active nine-series winning streak) and a Game 3 record of 10-5. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 0-10 and a Game 3 record of 5-5. Leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 2-games-nil (as the Golden State Warriors now do against the Denver Nuggets in series 1506), Golden State suffered its sole series loss in series 1316, to the Cleveland Cavaliers in the 2016 NBA Finals. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff series (beginning in 1947), home teams winning Games 1-2 both by a skunk (14 points or more) have a 46-4 (.920) series record.

After Game 1: The Golden State Warriors hosted and defeated the Denver Nuggets 123-pts-107 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1506 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Golden State Warriors have a series record of 22-4 (with an active 11-series winning streak) and a Game 2 record of 15-11. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Denver Nuggets have a series record of 3-13 and a Game 2 record of 6-10. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff series (from 1947 through 2021, inclusive), home teams winning Game 1 by 16 points (such as Golden State in series 1506) have a 12-0 series record.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2021-22 NBA regular season, the Golden State Warriors finished five games ahead of the Denver Nuggets. From 1947 through the 2021 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by five regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 28-13 (.683) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1506 is the 38th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Golden State Warriors, and the 29th for the Denver Nuggets. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Golden State Warriors have an all-rounds series record of 25-12, a Preliminary-round series record of 7-1 (with an active five-series winning streak in the Preliminary round), and a Game 1 record of 26-11, while the Denver Nuggets have an all-rounds series record of 8-20, a Preliminary-round series record of 4-9, and a Game 1 record of 12-16 (with an active four-Game 1 losing streak). Series 1506 is the second best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Golden State Warriors and the Denver Nuggets. In their only previous best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting, Golden State defeated Denver in series 1209 (in the 2013 NBA Preliminary round). In their last dozen previous best-of-7 NBA series, the Golden State Warriors have seen their Game 1 outcome presage their series outcome (eleven wins, one loss).