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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
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2022 NBA Preliminary round - Series 1500.
Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat

Schedule and 2021-22 Results
Regular Season Records: Miami 53-29, Atlanta 43-39
Game 1 on Sunday, 17 April: Atlanta loses at Miami, 115-pts-91
Game 2 on Tuesday, 19 April: Atlanta loses at Miami, 115-pts-105
Game 3 on Friday, 22 April: Miami loses at Atlanta, 111-pts-110
Game 4 on Sunday, 24 April: Miami wins at Atlanta, 110-pts-86
Game 5 on Tuesday, 26 April: Atlanta loses at Miami, 97-pts-94

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 5: The Miami Heat hosted and bested the Atlanta Hawks 97-pts-94 to complete a 4-games-1 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1500 victory. With the series 1500 win, the Miami Heat improve their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record to 27-13 overall and 10-5 in the Preliminary round. With the series 1500 loss, the Atlanta Hawks see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 10-26 overall and 6-6 in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Miami Heat in series 1500 was WWLWW: Series 1500 thus becomes the 21st NBA Preliminary-round series, the 64th NBA series (all rounds), and the 129th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. With their series 1500 loss, the Atlanta Hawks see their best-of-7 NBA playoff series record fall to 1-22 upon having lost Game 1 of the series.

After Game 4: The Miami Heat visited and defeated the Atlanta Hawks 110-pts-86 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1500 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Miami Heat have a series record of 12-0 and a Game 5 record of 9-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Atlanta Hawks have a series record of 0-10 and a Game 5 record of 3-7. In best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, teams posting a WWLW @ HHVV win/site order through four games (such as the Miami Heat in series 1500) own an active sixteen-series winning streak; the last team to post such a win/site order through four games and lose the series was the Golden State Warriors, in series 1316 (to the Cleveland Cavaliers in the 2016 NBA Finals).

After Game 3: The Atlanta Hawks hosted and defeated the Miami Heat 111-pts-110 to reduce the Miami Heat best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1500 lead to 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Miami Heat have a series record of 14-4 (with an active eight-series winning streak) and a Game 4 record of 9-9. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Atlanta Hawks have a series record of 3-16 and a Game 4 record of 11-8 (with an active five-Game 4 winning streak). In series 1500 Game 3, the Atlanta Hawks trailed the visiting Miami Heat by eight points after three quarters, but rallied for the victory: In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games from 1947 through Thursday, inclusive, home teams trailing by eight points after three quarters had a game record of 11-55 (.167); so it is that the Atlanta Hawks achieve a Grade-B comeback (.100 - .199) at home against the Heat.

After Game 2: The Miami Heat hosted and bested the Atlanta Hawks 115-pts-105 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1500 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Miami Heat have a series record of 15-0 and a Game 3 record of 8-7. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Atlanta Hawks have a series record of 0-15 and a Game 3 record of 7-8. After two games of series 1500, Miami has thus far led Atlanta after all eight quarters of the series. Series 1500 becomes the 27th best-of-7 NBA playoff series in which a team scored the same number of points (Miami in series 1500; 115 points in each game) after both Games 1 and 2.

After Game 1: The Miami Heat hosted and defeated the Atlanta Hawks 115-pts-91 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1500 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Miami Heat have a series record of 18-3 and a Game 2 record of 15-6. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Atlanta Hawks have a series record of 1-21 and a Game 2 record of 7-15. Trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 1-game-nil (as they now do against the Miami Heat in best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1500), the Atlanta Hawks notched their sole series victory in series 1277, over the Washington Wizards in the 2015 NBA Quarterfinals. In the history of best-of-7 format NBA Preliminary-round series, home teams (such as Miami in series 1500) which win Game 1 by 22+ points have a perfect 20-0 Preliminary-round series record.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2021-22 NBA regular season, the Miami Heat finished ten games ahead of the Atlanta Hawks. From 1947 through the 2021 NBA Finals round, when NBA teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by ten regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 20-4 (.833) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1500 is the 40th best-of-7 NBA playoff series for the Miami Heat, and the 36th for the Atlanta Hawks. In best-of-7 NBA playoff series, the Miami Heat have an all-rounds series record of 26-13, a Preliminary-round series record of 9-5, and a Game 1 record of 21-18, while the Atlanta Hawks have an all-rounds series record of 10-25, a Preliminary-round series record of 6-5, and a Game 1 record of 13-22. Series 1500 is the second best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting between the Miami Heat and the Atlanta Hawks. In their only previous best-of-7 NBA playoff series meeting, the Atlanta Hawks defeated the Miami Heat in series 1074, in the 2009 NBA Preliminary round. In all 14 of their previous best-of-7 NBA Preliminary-round series, the Miami Heat have seen their Game 1 outcome presage their series outcome (nine wins, five losses).