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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2022 MLB Semifinals round - Series 1515.
New York Yankees vs Houston Astros

Schedule and 2022 Results
Regular Season Records: Houston 106-56, New York Yankees 99-63
Game 1 on Wednesday, 19 October: New York Yankees lose at Houston, 4-runs-2
Game 2 on Thursday, 20 October: New York Yankees lose at Houston, 3-runs-2
Game 3 on Saturday, 22 October: Houston wins at New York Yankees, 5-runs-nil
Game 4 on Sunday, 23 October: Houston wins at New York Yankees, 6-runs-5

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 4: The Houston Astros visited and defeated the New York Yankees 6-runs-5 to complete a 4-games-nil best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1515 sweep. With the series 1515 win, the Houston Astros improve their best-of-7 MLB playoff series record to 6-7 overall and 5-4 in the Semifinals round. With the series 1515 loss, the New York Yankees see their best-of-7 MLB playoff series record fall to 34-18 (with an active five-series losing streak) overall and 7-6 (with an active five-Semifinals series losing streak) in the Semifinals round. The win order for the victorious Houston Astros in series 1515 was WWWW: Series 1515 thus becomes the tenth MLB Semifinals-round series, the 31st MLB series (all rounds), and the 248th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. With the series 1515 Game 4 loss, the New York Yankees see their Game 4 record fall to 0-5 when trailing 3-games-nil in a best-of-7 MLB playoff series. The series 1515 loss extends the best-of-7 MLB playoff series losing streak by the Yankees to a franchise-worst five series. With their series 1515 victory, the Houston Astros record their first sweep of a best-of-7 MLB playoff series. The Houston Astros trailed the host New York Yankees by three runs as late as after 2.0 innings of series 1515 Game 4, but won: In the history of best-of-7 MLB playoff games from 1905 through 2022, inclusive, road teams down three runs as late as after 2.0 innings had a game record of only 11-43 (.204, with three of those eleven comeback victories by the New York Yankees) - the Houston Astros thus achieve a grade-C in-game comeback in their series 1515 Game 4 victory.

After Game 3: The Houston Astros visited and shut out the New York Yankees 5-runs-nil to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1515 lead of 3-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the Houston Astros have a series record of 0-0 and a Game 4 record of 0-0. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-nil, the New York Yankees have a series record of 0-4 and a Game 4 record of 0-4. The New York Yankees thus become the 389th MLB/NBA/NHL team (and the 40th MLB team) to fall behind three-games-nil in a best-of-7 playoff series, and will now attempt to become the sixth MLB/NBA/NHL team (and the second MLB team) to rally for a four-games-three series victory.

After Game 2: The Houston Astros hosted and defeated the New York Yankees 3-runs-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1515 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Houston Astros have a series record of 1-0 and a Game 3 record of 0-1. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the New York Yankees have a series record of 4-6 and a Game 3 record of 6-4. The sole previous best-of-7 MLB playoff series in which the Houston Astros held a 2-games-nil lead was series 1350, in which the Astros lost Games 3-5 but won Games 6-7 to defeat the New York Yankees in the 2017 American League Championship Series.

After Game 1: The Houston Astros hosted and topped the New York Yankees 4-runs-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1515 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Houston Astros have a series record of 2-2 and a Game 2 record of 1-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the New York Yankees have a series record of 11-9 and a Game 2 record of 10-10. In the history of best-of-7 MLB playoff series from 1905 through 2021, inclusive, home teams winning Game 1 by two runs (such as the Houston Astros in series 1515) had a 14-9 (.609) series record.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2022 MLB regular season, the Houston Astros finished seven games ahead of the New York Yankees. From 1905 through the 2021 MLB Finals round, when MLB teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by seven regular-season games, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 3-9 (.250, with an active five-series losing streak for the team with the better regular-season record) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1515 is the 13th best-of-7 MLB playoff series for the Houston Astros, and the 52nd for the New York Yankees. In best-of-7 MLB playoff series, the Houston Astros have an all-rounds series record of 5-7, a Semifinals-round series record of 4-4, and a Game 1 record of 4-8, while the New York Yankees have an all-rounds series record of 34-17 (with an active four-series losing streak), a Semifinals-round series record of 7-5 (with an active four-Semifinals series losing streak), and a Game 1 record of 31-20. Series 1515 is the third best-of-7 MLB playoff series meeting between the Houston Astros and the New York Yankees. Twice before have the Houston Astros faced the New York Yankees in best-of-7 MLB playoff series, with Houston winning both series (series 1350, in seven games in the 2017 MLB Semifinals; series 1416, in six games in the 2019 MLB Semifinals).