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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2021 NHL Preliminary round - Series 1457.
Minnesota Wild vs Vegas Golden Knights

Schedule and 2020-21 Results
Regular Season Records: Vegas 40-14-2=82pts, Minnesota 35-16-5=75pts
Game 1 on Sunday, 16 May: Minnesota wins at Vegas, 1-goal-nil(OT)
Game 2 on Tuesday, 18 May: Minnesota loses at Vegas, 3-goals-1
Game 3 on Thursday, 20 May: Vegas wins at Minnesota, 5-goals-2
Game 4 on Saturday, 22 May: Vegas wins at Minnesota, 4-goals-nil
Game 5 on Monday, 24 May: Minnesota wins at Vegas, 4-goals-2
Game 6 on Wednesday, 26 May: Vegas loses at Minnesota, 3-goals-nil
Game 7 on Friday, 28 May: Minnesota loses at Vegas, 6-goals-2

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 7: The Vegas Golden Knights hosted and topped the Minnesota Wild 6-goals-2 to complete a 4-games-3 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1457 victory. With the series 1457 win, the Vegas Golden Knights improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 6-3 overall and 3-1 in the Preliminary round. With the series 1457 loss, the Minnesota Wild see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 4-10 (with an active five-series losing streak) overall and 3-7 (with an active four-series losing streak in the Preliminary round) in the Preliminary round. The win order for the victorious Vegas Golden Knights in series 1457 was LWWWLLW: Series 1457 thus becomes the fourth NHL Preliminary-round series, the tenth NHL series (all rounds), and the 18th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion.

After Game 6: The Minnesota Wild hosted and shut out the Vegas Golden Knights 3-goals-nil to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1457 at 3-games-all. When tied 3-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Vegas Golden Knights have a Game 7 record of 1-1, while the Minnesota Wild have a Game 7 record of 3-0. The Vegas Golden Knights have a 1-0 Game 7 record at home, having defeated the Vancouver Canucks in Las Vegas in series 1429 Game 7 in the 2020 NHL Quarterfinals. The perfect 3-0 Game 7 record by the Minnesota Wild entering series 1457 Game 7 was achieved entirely away from Minnesota ice.

After Game 5: The Minnesota Wild visited and defeated the Vegas Golden Knights 4-goals-2 to reduce the Vegas Golden Knights best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1457 lead to 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 2-1 and a Game 6 record of 1-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Minnesota Wild have a series record of 3-3 and a Game 6 record of 3-3. The Minnesota Wild have trailed six previous best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-2 after five games: In each of those six series, the Game 6 outcome by the Wild presaged the Minnesota series outcome (three wins, three losses).

After Game 4: The Vegas Golden Knights visited and shut out the Minnesota Wild 4-goals-nil to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1457 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 3-1 and a Game 5 record of 2-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Minnesota Wild have a series record of 2-5 (with a five-series losing streak) and a Game 5 record of 3-4. The sole loss sustained by the Vegas Golden Knights upon having led a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-1 occurred in series 1393, to the San Jose Sharks in the 2019 NHL Preliminary round.

After Game 3: The Vegas Golden Knights visited and topped the Minnesota Wild 5-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1457 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 3-1 and a Game 4 record of 3-1. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Minnesota Wild have a series record of 3-4 and a Game 4 record of 2-5. The Vegas Golden Knights trailed the host Minnesota Wild by two goals as late as 8:38 into the second period but won: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2020, inclusive, road teams down two goals as late as 8:38 into the second period had a game record of only 57-410 (.122) - the Vegas Golden Knights thus achieve a grade-B in-game comeback.

After Game 2: The Vegas Golden Knights hosted and outscored the Minnesota Wild 3-goals-1 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1457 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 3-3 and a Game 3 record of 4-2, while the Minnesota Wild have a series record of 3-1 and a Game 3 record of 2-2. The series 1457 Game 2 loss extends the NHL playoffs Game 2 losing streak by the Wild to nine.

After Game 1: The Minnesota Wild visited and shut out the Vegas Golden Knights 1-goal-nil(OT) to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1457 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Minnesota Wild have a series record of 2-0 and a Game 2 record of 0-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 1-2 and a Game 2 record of 3-0. The series 1457 Game 1 victory by the Minnesota Wild breaks an NHL playoff four-Game 1 losing streak by the Wild. In their last six NHL playoff series, the Minnesota Wild have seen their Game 1 outcome presage their series outcome (one win, five losses).

Pre-series assessment: In the 2020-21 NHL regular season, the Vegas Golden Knights finished seven points ahead of the Minnesota Wild. From 1939 through the 2020 NHL Finals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by seven regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 19-16 (.543) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1457 is the ninth best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Vegas Golden Knights, and the 14th for the Minnesota Wild. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Vegas Golden Knights have an all-rounds series record of 5-3, a Preliminary-round series record of 2-1, and a Game 1 record of 5-3, while the Minnesota Wild have an all-rounds series record of 4-9 (with an active four-series losing streak), a Preliminary-round series record of 3-6, and a Game 1 record of 2-11 (with an active four-Game 1 losing streak). Series 1457 is the first best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Vegas Golden Knights and the Minnesota Wild.