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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2020 NHL Semifinals round - Series 1432.
Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights

Schedule and 2019-20 Results
Regular Season Records: Vegas 39-24-8=86pts, Dallas 37-24-8=82pts
Game 1 on Sunday, 06 September: Dallas wins at Vegas, 1-goal-nil
Game 2 on Tuesday, 08 September: Dallas loses at Vegas, 3-goals-nil
Game 3 on Thursday, 10 September: Vegas loses at Dallas, 3-goals-2 (OT)
Game 4 on Saturday, 12 September: Vegas loses at Dallas, 2-goals-1
Game 5 on Monday, 14 September: Dallas wins at Vegas, 3-goals-2 (OT)

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 5: The Dallas Stars visited and defeated the Vegas Golden Knights 3-goals-2 to complete a 4-games-1 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1432 victory. With the series 1432 win, the Dallas Stars improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 19-14 overall and 3-2 in the Semifinals round. With the series 1432 loss, the Vegas Golden Knights see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 5-3 overall and 1-1 in the Semifinals round. The win order for the victorious Dallas Stars in series 1432 was WLWWW: Series 1432 thus becomes the 14th NHL Semifinals-round series, the 41st NHL series (all rounds), and the 85th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. In series 1432 Game 5, the Dallas Stars trailed the pseudo-host Vegas Golden Knights by two goals as late as 9:53 into the third period but emerged victorious: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2019, inclusive, road teams down two goals as late as 9:53 into the third period had a game record of only 8-479 (.016). Dallas then trailed their pseudo-host Vegas by a goal as late as 16:12 into the third period but won: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2019, inclusive, road teams down a goal as late as 16:12 into the third period had a game record of only 44-666 (.062) - the Dallas Stars thus achieve a grade-A in-game comeback.

After Game 4: The Dallas Stars hosted and bested the Vegas Golden Knights 2-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1432 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 7-0 and a Game 5 record of 3-4 (with an active four-Game 5 losing streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 0-1 and a Game 5 record of 0-1.

After Game 3: The Dallas Stars hosted and defeated the Vegas Golden Knights 3-goals-2 (OT) to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1432 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 11-0 and a Game 4 record of 6-5. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 0-1 and a Game 4 record of 0-1. Dallas scored 0:31 into the first overtime period to win series 1432 Game 3, with the earliest goal in a best-of-7 NHL playoff game overtime since series 1257 Game 3, in which the host New York Islanders tallied 0:15 into overtime to defeat the visiting Washington Capitals in their 2015 NHL Preliminary-round series.

After Game 2: The Vegas Golden Knights hosted and shut out the Dallas Stars 3-goals-nil to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1432 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 3-2 and a Game 3 record of 4-1, while the Dallas Stars have a series record of 8-6 and a Game 3 record of 4-10 (with an active six-Game 3 losing streak).

After Game 1: The Dallas Stars visited and shut out the Vegas Golden Knights 1-goal-nil to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1432 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 13-2 and a Game 2 record of 10-5. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 1-1 and a Game 2 record of 2-0. Dallas scored the sole goal of series 1432 Game 1 at 2:36 into the first period; it is the second-earliest sole goal scored by the visitors in a best-of-7 NHL playoff game (next only to the sole goal scored 0:40 into the first period by the Chicago Blackhawks against the Kings in Los Angeles in series 280 Game 3, in the 1974 NHL Quarterfinals).

Pre-series assessment: In the 2019-20 NHL regular season, the Vegas Golden Knights finished four points ahead of the Dallas Stars. From 1939 through the 2020 NHL Quarterfinals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by four regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 14-18 (.438) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1432 is the eighth best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Vegas Golden Knights, and the 33rd for the Dallas Stars. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Vegas Golden Knights have an all-rounds series record of 5-2, a Semifinals-round series record of 1-0, and a Game 1 record of 5-2, while the Dallas Stars have an all-rounds series record of 18-14, a Semifinals-round series record of 2-2, and a Game 1 record of 15-17. Series 1432 is the first best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Vegas Golden Knights and the Dallas Stars.