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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2020 NHL Semifinals round - Series 1431.
New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Schedule and 2019-20 Results
Regular Season Records: Tampa Bay 43-21-6=92pts, New York Islanders 35-23-10=80pts
Game 1 on Monday, 07 September: New York Islanders lose at Tampa Bay, 8-goals-2
Game 2 on Wednesday, 09 September: New York Islanders lose at Tampa Bay, 2-goals-1
Game 3 on Friday, 11 September: Tampa Bay loses at New York Islanders, 5-goals-3
Game 4 on Sunday, 13 September: Tampa Bay wins at New York Islanders, 4-goals-1
Game 5 on Tuesday, 15 September: New York Islanders win at Tampa Bay, 2-goals-1 (2OT)
Game 6 on Thursday, 17 September: Tampa Bay wins at New York Islanders, 2-goals-1 (OT)

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The Tampa Bay Lightning visited and topped the New York Islanders 2-goals-1 (OT) to complete a 4-games-2 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1431 victory. With the series 1431 win, the Tampa Bay Lightning improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 17-10 overall and 3-3 in the Semifinals round. With the series 1431 loss, the New York Islanders see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 25-21 overall and 5-6 in the Semifinals round. The win order for the victorious Tampa Bay Lightning in series 1431 was WWLWLW: Series 1431 thus becomes the sixth NHL Semifinals-round series, the 22nd NHL series (all rounds), and the 46th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion.

After Game 5: The New York Islanders visited and bested the Tampa Bay Lightning 2-goals-1 (2OT) to reduce the Tampa Bay Lightning best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1431 lead to 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a series record of 4-2 and a Game 6 record of 2-4. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the New York Islanders have a series record of 3-8 and a Game 6 record of 7-4.

After Game 4: The Tampa Bay Lightning visited and bested the New York Islanders 4-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1431 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a series record of 8-0 and a Game 5 record of 7-1 (with an active six-Game 5 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the New York Islanders have a series record of 2-12 (with an active seven-series losing streak) and a Game 5 record of 5-9 (with an active six-Game 5 losing streak).

After Game 3: The New York Islanders hosted and bested the Tampa Bay Lightning 5-goals-3 to reduce the Tampa Bay Lightning best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1431 lead to 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a series record of 9-3 (with an active six-series winning streak) and a Game 4 record of 7-5 (with an active six-Game 4 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the New York Islanders have a series record of 4-12 (with an active six-series losing streak) and a Game 4 record of 7-9.

After Game 2: The Tampa Bay Lightning hosted and topped the New York Islanders 2-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1431 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a series record of 5-0 and a Game 3 record of 3-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the New York Islanders have a series record of 3-9 (with an active six-series losing streak) and a Game 3 record of 5-7.

After Game 1: The Tampa Bay Lightning hosted and bested the New York Islanders 8-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1431 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a series record of 8-2 and a Game 2 record of 5-5. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the New York Islanders have a series record of 7-15 (with an active seven-series losing streak) and a Game 2 record of 10-12.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2019-20 NHL regular season, the Tampa Bay Lightning finished twelve points ahead of the New York Islanders. From 1939 through the 2020 NHL Quarterfinals round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by twelve regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 12-9 (.571) with an active five-series winning streak in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1431 is the 27th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Tampa Bay Lightning, and the 46th for the New York Islanders. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Tampa Bay Lightning have an all-rounds series record of 16-10, a Semifinals-round series record of 2-3, and a Game 1 record of 10-16, while the New York Islanders have an all-rounds series record of 25-20, a Semifinals-round series record of 5-5, and a Game 1 record of 23-22. Series 1431 is the third best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the New York Islanders. Tampa Bay won the first two series between the two entities, in series 906 (in the 2004 NHL Preliminary round) and in series 1295 (in the 2016 NHL Quarterfinals).