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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2020 NHL Quarterfinals round - Series 1430.
Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche

Schedule and 2019-20 Results
Regular Season Records: Colorado 42-20-8=92pts, Dallas 37-24-8=82pts
Game 1 on Saturday, 22 August: Dallas wins at Colorado, 5-goals-3
Game 2 on Monday, 24 August: Dallas wins at Colorado, 5-goals-2
Game 3 on Wednesday, 26 August: Colorado wins at Dallas, 6-goals-4
Game 4 on Sunday, 30 August: Colorado loses at Dallas, 5-goals-4
Game 5 on Monday, 31 August: Dallas loses at Colorado, 6-goals-3
Game 6 on Wednesday, 02 September: Colorado wins at Dallas, 4-goals-1
Game 7 on Friday, 04 September: Dallas wins at Colorado, 5-goals-4 (OT)

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 7: The Dallas Stars visited and defeated the Colorado Avalanche 5-goals-4 (OT) to complete a 4-games-3 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1430 victory. With the series 1430 win, the Dallas Stars improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 18-14 overall and 5-5 in the Quarterfinals round. With the series 1430 loss, the Colorado Avalanche see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 21-14 overall and 6-5 (with an active five-series losing streak in the Quarterfinals round) in the Quarterfinals round. The win order for the victorious Dallas Stars in series 1430 was WWLWLLW: Series 1430 thus becomes the second NHL Quarterfinals-round series, the seventh NHL series (all rounds), and the 15th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion. The Dallas Stars trailed their pseudo-host Colorado Avalanche by a goal as late as 16:29 into the third period but emerged victorious: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2019, inclusive, road teams down a goal as late as 16:29 into the third period had a game record of only 41-669 (.058) - the Dallas Stars thus achieve a grade-A in-game comeback. Dallas trailed Colorado on three discrete occasions in series 1430 Game 7, but prevailed.

After Game 6: The Colorado Avalanche visited and vanquished the Dallas Stars 4-goals-1 to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1430 at 3-games-all. When tied 3-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Colorado Avalanche have a Game 7 record of 4-7, while the Dallas Stars have a Game 7 record of 2-4. The Colorado Avalanche have a 4-3 Game 7 record in Colorado. The Dallas Stars have a 0-2 Game 7 record on the road.

After Game 5: The Colorado Avalanche hosted and defeated the Dallas Stars 6-goals-3 to drop the Dallas Stars best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1430 lead to 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 11-1 and a Game 6 record of 10-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 2-6 (with an active four-series losing streak) and a Game 6 record of 4-4.

After Game 4: The Dallas Stars hosted and bested the Colorado Avalanche 5-goals-4 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1430 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 6-0 and a Game 5 record of 3-3. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 0-3 and a Game 5 record of 3-0. Trailing a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Colorado Avalanche have a 3-0 Game 5 record but a 0-3 Game 6 record for a 0-3 series record.

After Game 3: The Colorado Avalanche visited and bested the Dallas Stars 6-goals-4 to drop the Dallas Stars best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1430 lead to 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 10-0 and a Game 4 record of 5-5. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 4-5 and a Game 4 record of 7-2. The Colorado Avalanche trailed the pseudo-host Dallas Stars by a goal as late as 12:01 into the third period but won: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2019, inclusive, road teams down a goal as late as 12:01 into the third period had a game record of only 85-632 (.119) - the Colorado Avalanche thus achieve a grade-B in-game comeback. Series 1430 Game 3 featured four discrete leads by (in order) Dallas, Colorado, Dallas, and finally Colorado.

After Game 2: The Dallas Stars visited and topped the Colorado Avalanche 5-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1430 lead of 2-games-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 9-0 and a Game 3 record of 3-6. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-nil, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 1-4 (with an active four-series losing streak) and a Game 3 record of 2-3. The Dallas Stars trailed their pseudo-host Colorado Avalanche by two goals as late as 9:53 into the second period but emerged victorious: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2019, inclusive, road teams down two goals as late as 9:53 into the second period had a game record of only 48-425 (.101) - the Dallas Stars thus achieve a grade-B in-game comeback.

After Game 1: The Dallas Stars visited and defeated the Colorado Avalanche 5-goals-3 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1430 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Dallas Stars have a series record of 12-2 and a Game 2 record of 9-5. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Colorado Avalanche have a series record of 5-8 and a Game 2 record of 8-5.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2019-20 NHL regular season, the Colorado Avalanche finished ten points ahead of the Dallas Stars. From 1939 through the 2020 NHL Preliminary round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by ten regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 11-11 (.500) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1430 is the 35th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Colorado Avalanche, and the 32nd for the Dallas Stars. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Colorado Avalanche have an all-rounds series record of 21-13, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 6-4 (with an active four-Quarterfinals series losing streak), and a Game 1 record of 21-13, while the Dallas Stars have an all-rounds series record of 17-14, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 4-5, and a Game 1 record of 14-17. Series 1430 is the fifth best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Colorado Avalanche and the Dallas Stars. The teams split the previous four best-of-7 NHL playoff series between them, with Dallas winning the first two and Colorado winning the latest two.