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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

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Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2020 NHL Quarterfinals round - Series 1429.
Vancouver Canucks vs Vegas Golden Knights

Schedule and 2019-20 Results
Regular Season Records: Vegas 39-24-8=86pts, Vancouver 36-27-6=78pts
Game 1 on Sunday, 23 August: Vancouver loses at Vegas, 5-goals-nil
Game 2 on Tuesday, 25 August: Vancouver wins at Vegas, 5-goals-2
Game 3 on Saturday, 29 August: Vegas wins at Vancouver, 3-goals-nil
Game 4 on Sunday, 30 August: Vegas wins at Vancouver, 5-goals-3
Game 5 on Tuesday, 01 September: Vancouver wins at Vegas, 2-goals-1
Game 6 on Thursday, 03 September: Vegas loses at Vancouver, 4-goals-nil
Game 7 on Friday, 04 September: Vancouver loses at Vegas, 3-goals-nil

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 7: The Vegas Golden Knights hosted and shut out the Vancouver Canucks 3-goals-nil to complete a 4-games-3 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1429 victory. With the series 1429 win, the Vegas Golden Knights improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 5-2 overall and 2-0 in the Quarterfinals round. With the series 1429 loss, the Vancouver Canucks see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 16-21 overall and 3-9 in the Quarterfinals round. The win order for the victorious Vegas Golden Knights in series 1429 was WLWWLLW: Series 1429 thus becomes the fourth NHL Quarterfinals-round series, the ninth NHL series (all rounds), and the 16th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion.

After Game 6: The Vancouver Canucks hosted and shut out the Vegas Golden Knights 4-goals-nil to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1429 at 3-games-all. When tied 3-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Vegas Golden Knights have a Game 7 record of 0-1, while the Vancouver Canucks have a Game 7 record of 6-5. The Vegas Golden Knights will be (pseudo-)hosting their first Game 7 with series 1429 Game 7 against Vancouver. The Vancouver Canucks have a 2-2 Game 7 record on the road.

After Game 5: The Vancouver Canucks visited and defeated the Vegas Golden Knights 2-goals-1 to reduce the Vegas Golden Knights best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL series 1429 lead to 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 1-1 and a Game 6 record of 1-1. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the Vancouver Canucks have a series record of 3-11 and a Game 6 record of 6-8. The Vancouver Canucks trailed the pseudo-host Vegas Golden Knights by a goal as late as 15:35 into the second period but prevailed: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2019, inclusive, road teams down a goal as late as 15:35 into the second period had a game record of only 188-656 (.223) - the Vancouver Canucks thus achieve a grade-C in-game comeback.

After Game 4: The Vegas Golden Knights visited and bested the Vancouver Canucks 5-goals-3 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1429 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 2-1 and a Game 5 record of 2-1. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Vancouver Canucks have a series record of 3-7 (with an active four-series losing streak) and a Game 5 record of 7-3. The Vegas Golden Knights in series 1429 Game 4 trailed their pseudo-host Vancouver Canucks by a goal as late as 2:51 into the third period, but won: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2019, inclusive, road teams down a goal as late as 2:51 into the third period had a game record of only 144-630 (.186) - the Vegas Golden Knights thus achieve a grade-B in-game comeback. When leading a best-of-7 NHL playoff series 3-games-1 (as they now do against the Vancouver Canucks), the Vegas Golden Knights have either won Game 5 to win the series (twice), or lost Games 5-7 to lose the series (once).

After Game 3: The Vegas Golden Knights visited and shut out the Vancouver Canucks 3-goals-nil to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1429 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 2-1 and a Game 4 record of 2-1. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Vancouver Canucks have a series record of 4-9 and a Game 4 record of 4-9.

After Game 2: The Vancouver Canucks visited and defeated the Vegas Golden Knights 5-goals-2 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1429 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 2-2 and a Game 3 record of 3-1, while the Vancouver Canucks have a series record of 10-13 and a Game 3 record of 10-13.

After Game 1: The Vegas Golden Knights hosted and shut out the Vancouver Canucks 5-goals-nil to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1429 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Vegas Golden Knights have a series record of 3-1 and a Game 2 record of 2-2. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Vancouver Canucks have a series record of 4-10 and a Game 2 record of 9-5.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2019-20 NHL regular season, the Vegas Golden Knights finished eight points ahead of the Vancouver Canucks. From 1939 through the 2020 NHL Preliminary round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by eight regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 20-8 (.714) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1429 is the seventh best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Vegas Golden Knights, and the 37th for the Vancouver Canucks. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Vegas Golden Knights have an all-rounds series record of 4-2, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 1-0, and a Game 1 record of 4-2, while the Vancouver Canucks have an all-rounds series record of 16-20, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 3-8, and a Game 1 record of 22-14. Series 1429 is the first best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Vegas Golden Knights and the Vancouver Canucks.