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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 ANNIHILATIONS
The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

RESOURCES
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BEST-OF-7 FEATURES
Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

FAQ
Frequently-asked questions.

SEARCH RESULTS
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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2020 NHL Quarterfinals round - Series 1428.
Boston Bruins vs Tampa Bay Lightning

Schedule and 2019-20 Results
Regular Season Records: Tampa Bay 43-21-6=92pts, Boston 44-14-12=100pts
Game 1 on Sunday, 23 August: Boston wins at Tampa Bay, 3-goals-2
Game 2 on Tuesday, 25 August: Boston loses at Tampa Bay, 4-goals-3 (OT)
Game 3 on Wednesday, 26 August: Tampa Bay wins at Boston, 7-goals-1
Game 4 on Saturday, 29 August: Tampa Bay wins at Boston, 3-goals-1
Game 5 on Monday, 31 August: Boston loses at Tampa Bay, 3-goals-2 (2OT)

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 5: The Tampa Bay Lightning hosted and bested the Boston Bruins 3-goals-2 (2OT) to complete a 4-games-1 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1428 victory. With the series 1428 win, the Tampa Bay Lightning improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 16-10 overall and 6-1 (with an active six-series winning streak in the NHL Quarterfinals round) in the Quarterfinals round. With the series 1428 loss, the Boston Bruins see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 53-52 overall and 16-13 in the Quarterfinals round. The win order for the victorious Tampa Bay Lightning in series 1428 was LWWWW: Series 1428 thus becomes the 12th NHL Quarterfinals-round series, the 38th NHL series (all rounds), and the 69th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion.

After Game 4: The Tampa Bay Lightning visited and bested the Boston Bruins 3-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1428 lead of 3-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a series record of 7-0 and a Game 5 record of 6-1 (with an active five-Game 5 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-1, the Boston Bruins have a series record of 0-24 and a Game 5 record of 7-17.

After Game 3: The Tampa Bay Lightning visited and bested the Boston Bruins 7-goals-1 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1428 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a series record of 8-3 (with an active five-series winning streak) and a Game 4 record of 6-5 (with an active five-Game 4 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the Boston Bruins have a series record of 10-25 and a Game 4 record of 18-17.

After Game 2: The Tampa Bay Lightning hosted and bested the Boston Bruins 4-goals-3 (OT) to knot best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1428 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a series record of 9-6 and a Game 3 record of 9-6, while the Boston Bruins have a series record of 26-18 and a Game 3 record of 22-22.

After Game 1: The Boston Bruins visited and bested the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-goals-2 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1428 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Boston Bruins have a series record of 38-17 and a Game 2 record of 32-23. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the Tampa Bay Lightning have a series record of 7-8 and a Game 2 record of 10-5. With their series 1440 Game 1 win, the Boston Bruins extend their best-of-7 NHL playoff Game 1 winning streak to five.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2019-20 NHL regular season, the Tampa Bay Lightning finished eight* points behind the Boston Bruins. From 1939 through the 2020 NHL Preliminary round, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by eight regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 20-8 (.714) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1428 is the 26th best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the Tampa Bay Lightning, and the 105th for the Boston Bruins. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the Tampa Bay Lightning have an all-rounds series record of 15-10, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 5-1 (with an active five-Quarterfinals series winning streak), and a Game 1 record of 10-15, while the Boston Bruins have an all-rounds series record of 53-51, a Quarterfinals-round series record of 16-12, and a Game 1 record of 55-49 (with an active four-Game 1 winning streak). Series 1428 is the third best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Boston Bruins. The teams split the previous two best-of-7 NHL playoff series against each other. Boston outscored Tampa Bay by eight points during the 2019-20 NHL regular season, but Tampa Bay won home-ice advance in the pre-Preliminary-round round robin.