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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES AND TEAM PERFORMANCE RECORDS FOR BEST-OF-7 FORMAT MLB, NBA, AND NHL PLAYOFF SERIES

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BEST-OF-7 SERIES RESULTS
The master list: Winner and loser of each and every best-of-7 MLB, NBA, and NHL playoff series from 1905 (the year of the first best-of-7 series).

BEST-OF-7 HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES
SERIES STATUS IN GAMES
leading, 1-game-nil
leading, 2-games-nil
leading, 3-games-nil
leading, 2-games-1
leading, 3-games-1
leading, 3-games-2

WhoWins™ BEST-OF-7 GREATEST COMEBACK EVER
Surmounting the 3-games-nil deficit.

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The ultimate ignominy: Sweeps during which the swept team never, ever leads.

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SERIES OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
FINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
SEMIFINALS
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
Irrespective of Game 1 site
Game 1 played at home
Game 1 played on road

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE GAME OUTCOMES
ALL ROUNDS
All | Home Games | Road Games
FINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
SEMIFINALS
All | Home Games | Road Games
QUARTERFINALS (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games
PRELIMINARIES (NBA, NHL)
All | Home Games | Road Games

BEST-OF-7 FRANCHISE SCORING OUTCOMES
MLB: all runs for/against
NBA: all points for/against
NHL: all goals for/against

BEST-OF-7 SCORING RECORDS
BEST-OF-7 MLB, NBA, NHL Series and Game Scoring Records

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Articles on best-of-7 series phenomena.

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PROBABILITY FORMULAE
Mathematical formulae for best-of-7 probability computations.

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2019 NHL Semifinals round - Series 1399.
St. Louis Blues vs San Jose Sharks

Schedule and 2018-19 Results:
Regular Season Records: San Jose 46-27-9=101pts, St. Louis 45-28-9=99pts
Game 1 on Saturday, 11 May: St. Louis loses at San Jose, 6-goals-3
Game 2 on Monday, 13 May: St. Louis wins at San Jose, 4-goals-2
Game 3 on Wednesday, 15 May: San Jose wins at St. Louis, 5-goals-4 (OT)
Game 4 on Friday, 17 May: San Jose loses at St. Louis, 2-goals-1
Game 5 on Sunday, 19 May: St. Louis wins at San Jose, 5-goals-nil
Game 6 on Tuesday, 21 May: San Jose loses at St. Louis, 5-goals-1

SERIES NOTES:

After Game 6: The St. Louis Blues hosted and bested the San Jose Sharks 5-goals-1 to complete a 4-games-2 best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1399 victory. With the series 1399 win, the St. Louis Blues improve their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record to 26-36 overall and 4-4 in the Semifinals round. With the series 1399 loss, the San Jose Sharks see their best-of-7 NHL playoff series record fall to 20-21 overall and 1-4 in the Semifinals round. The win order for the victorious St. Louis Blues in series 1399 was LWLWWW: Series 1399 thus becomes the fifth NHL Semifinals-round series, the 18th NHL series (all rounds), and the 37th MLB/NBA/NHL series (all rounds) to follow that win order to completion.

After Game 5: The St. Louis Blues visited and shut out the San Jose Sharks 5-goals-nil to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1399 lead of 3-games-2. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the St. Louis Blues have a series record of 10-2 and a Game 6 record of 5-7. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 3-games-2, the San Jose Sharks have a series record of 2-12 and a Game 6 record of 3-11. The two San Jose best-of-7 NHL playoff series victories upon having trailed 3-games-2 occurred in the first (series 678, in the 1995 NHL Preliminary round against the Calgary Flames) and last (series 1393, in the 2019 NHL Preliminary round against the Vegas Golden Knights) such series for San Jose. The St. Louis Blues with their series 1399 Game 5 victory force a best-of-7 NHL Semifinals elimination game for the first time since series 222 (against the Pittsburgh Penguins in Game 5 of the 1970 NHL Semifinals). St. Louis in series 1399 has posted a win/site order of LWLWW @ VVHHV through five games against San Jose; ironically, the Dallas Stars posted a LWLWW @ VVHHV against St. Louis in the 2019 NHL Quarterfinals before losing to St. Louis in Games 6-7 - so it is that the St. Louis Blues in the 2019 NHL Quarterfinals set a favorable precedent for the San Jose Sharks against the St. Louis Blues in the 2019 NHL Semifinals.

After Game 4: The St. Louis Blues hosted and topped the San Jose Sharks 2-goals-1 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1399 at 2-games-all. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the San Jose Sharks have a series record of 7-11 and a Game 5 record of 8-10, while the St. Louis Blues have a series record of 9-15 and a Game 5 record of 8-16. When tied 2-games-all in a best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the San Jose Sharks have seen their Game 5 outcome match their series outcome in their last eleven such series.

After Game 3: The San Jose Sharks visited and defeated the St. Louis Blues 5-goals-4 in overtime to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1399 lead of 2-games-1. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the San Jose Sharks have a series record of 11-4 (with an active five-series winning streak) and a Game 4 record of 7-8. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 2-games-1, the St. Louis Blues have a series record of 5-18 (with an active eight-series losing streak) and a Game 4 record of 10-13. San Jose trailed the Blues in St. Louis by a goal as late as 18:58 into the third period of series 1399 Game 3, but won in overtime: In the history of best-of-7 NHL playoff games from 1939 through 2018, inclusive, road teams down a goal as late as 18:58 into the third period had a game record of only 23-638 (.035).

After Game 2: The St. Louis Blues visited and bested the San Jose Sharks 4-goals-2 to tie best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1399 at 1-game-all. When tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, the San Jose Sharks have a series record of 11-7 and a Game 3 record of 10-8, while the St. Louis Blues have a series record of 12-19 and a Game 3 record of 15-16. Tied 1-game-all in a best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the St. Louis Blues have seen their Game 3 outcome match their series outcome in their last seven such series.

After Game 1: The San Jose Sharks hosted and defeated the St. Louis Blues 6-goals-3 to take a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1399 lead of 1-game-nil. When leading a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the San Jose Sharks have a series record of 15-7 and a Game 2 record of 11-11. When trailing a best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series 1-game-nil, the St. Louis Blues have a series record of 5-24 and a Game 2 record of 13-16.

Pre-series assessment: In the 2018-19 NHL regular season, the San Jose Sharks finished two points ahead of the St. Louis Blues. From 1939 through the 2019 NHL Quarterfinals and NBA Preliminary rounds, when NHL teams led their best-of-7 playoff series opponents by two regular-season points, they have posted a best-of-7 playoff series record of 20-17 (.541) in those series against those opponents. MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1399 is the 41st best-of-7 NHL playoff series for the San Jose Sharks, and the 62nd for the St. Louis Blues. In best-of-7 NHL playoff series, the San Jose Sharks have an all-rounds series record of 20-20, a Semifinals-round series record of 1-3, and a Game 1 record of 22-18, while the St. Louis Blues have an all-rounds series record of 25-36, a Semifinals-round series record of 3-4 (with an active four-series losing streak), and a Game 1 record of 32-29. Series 1399 is the sixth best-of-7 NHL playoff series meeting between the San Jose Sharks and the St. Louis Blues. San Jose won three of the previous five best-of-7 NHL playoff series against the Blues, through a Sharks/Blues/Sharks/Blues/Sharks alternating win pattern. The first four of the five previous series between these two teams were in the NHL Preliminary round; the last was the 2016 NHL Semifinals. The advance to series 1399 by the St. Louis Blues breaks a pattern of their reaching the NHL Semifinals only once every fifteen years (2016, 2001, 1986).